The top three contenders for the Democratic presidential nomination all lead President TrumpDonald TrumpGraham says he hopes that Trump runs again Trump says Stacey Abrams 'might be better than existing governor' Kemp Executive privilege fight poses hurdles for Trump MORE in deep-red Texas where a Democrat has not won a statewide race in 25 years, according to a new poll.
The latest Univision News survey of Texas finds Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersIn Washington, the road almost never taken Don't let partisan politics impede Texas' economic recovery The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Alibaba - Democrats argue price before policy amid scramble MORE (I) doing best in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up against Trump in Texas, leading the president 48 percent to 42 percent.
Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHaiti prime minister warns inequality will cause migration to continue Pelosi: House must pass 3 major pieces of spending legislation this week Erdoğan says Turkey plans to buy another Russian defense system MORE leads Trump 47 percent to 43 percent, and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenIn Washington, the road almost never taken Senate poised to battle over Biden's pick of big bank critic Treasury says more rental aid is reaching tenants, preventing evictions MORE (D-Mass.) has a narrow 44 percent to 42 percent advantage.
The Univision survey found that 40 percent of registered voters in Texas would cast a ballot for an unnamed Democrat, while 33 percent said they’d vote for Trump. When undecided voters leaning one way or the other are factored in, the Democrat leads Trump 47 percent to 42 percent.
The poll is the latest one to find Democrats running close to Trump or leading him in Texas, which has not gone for the Democratic presidential contender in more than 40 years.
Two other polls conducted this year have found Biden edging Trump in the Lone Star State.
Many Republicans believe predictions that Texas will go blue in 2020 are overblown, although they acknowledge the GOP must do more to reach suburban voters, women, young people and racial minorities in the rapidly changing state.
Trump won Texas by 9 points in 2016, which was the closest margin of victory for the GOP candidate in 20 years.
The Univision survey found that 69 percent of Hispanics, who make up about a quarter of registered voters in Texas, would vote for the Democrat, while only 19 percent said they plan to support Trump. Trump’s job approval rating is at 22 percent among Latino voters nationally, the poll found.
In the Democratic primary, Biden and Sanders are the most popular candidates among Latino voters nationally, with 22 percent saying they support Biden, followed by Sanders at 20 percent. Former San Antonio Mayor Julián Castro is at 12 percent, followed by Warren at 11 percent.
The Univision survey of 1,004 Texans was conducted between Aug. 31 and Sept. 6 and has a 3.1 percentage point margin of error. The national survey of 1,043 registered Latinos has a 3 percentage point margin of error.