The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden camp faces new challenges

The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden camp faces new challenges
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Welcome to The Hill's Campaign Report, your weekly rundown on all the latest news in the 2020 presidential, Senate and House races. Did someone forward this to you? Click here to subscribe.

We're Julia Manchester, Max Greenwood and Jonathan Easley. Here's what we're watching this week on the campaign trail. 

 

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LEADING THE DAY: 

Aides and allies of former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenCampaigns face attack ad dilemma amid coronavirus crisis Biden to host 'virtual fireside chat' with donors Esper faces tough questions on dismissal of aircraft carrier's commander MORE for weeks have dismissed concerns about his third-quarter fundraising haul, arguing that the $15.7 million he pulled in over the past three months is more than enough to allow him to compete in the early primary and caucus states.

That may be true, for now, but his third-quarter filings to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) show some warning signs for the former vice president. Biden reported having just $9 million in cash on hand, significantly less than his top rivals for the Democratic nomination. What's more, he spent more money than he brought in during the third quarter, leaving him with a burn rate of 112 percent.

By comparison, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersCampaigns face attack ad dilemma amid coronavirus crisis Cuomo's been good, but he's not going to be the Democratic nominee Does Joe Biden really want to be president? MORE (I-Vt.) has $33.7 million on hand, while Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenMomentum grows to change medical supply chain from China Why Gretchen Whitmer's stock is rising with Team Biden Democrats seize on Trump's firing of intelligence community watchdog MORE (D-Mass.) has $25.7 million and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegButtigieg launches new PAC to aid down-ballot candidates HuffPost political reporter on why Bernie fell way behind Biden Economists fear slow pace of testing will prolong recession MORE has $23.3 million. And they're all spending money at a slower rate than Biden. 

But Biden isn't the only one facing a spending dilemma. Indeed, roughly two-thirds of the Democratic presidential candidates face a similar challenge, one that could spell trouble for their campaigns in the months ahead. 

Here's a rundown of how much the candidates are spending relative to what they're raising. Note that we've excluded former Rep. John DelaneyJohn DelaneyJohn Delaney endorses Biden Nevada caucuses open with a few hiccups Lobbying world MORE (D-Md.) and billionaire philanthropist Tom SteyerTom SteyerProgressive advocates propose T 'green stimulus' plan Candidates want data privacy rules, except for their own campaigns Budowsky: Biden should pull together a 'dream team of rivals' MORE, because their campaigns are largely self-financed.

 

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Joe Biden: 112 percent (raised $15.7 million)

Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetDemocrats urge administration to automatically issue coronavirus checks to more people Five things being discussed for a new coronavirus relief bill Cyber threats spike during coronavirus pandemic MORE: 116 percent (raised $2.1 million)

Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerEnlisting tech to fight coronavirus sparks surveillance fears Democrats urge administration to automatically issue coronavirus checks to more people Democrats ask EPA, Interior to pause rulemaking amid coronavirus MORE: 119 percent (raised $6 million)

Steve BullockSteve BullockPolitics and the pandemic — Republicans are rightly worried The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden moves to unify party before general election Poll shows Daines, Bullock neck and neck in Montana Senate race MORE: 106 percent (raised $2.3 million)

Pete Buttigieg: 97 percent (raised $19.1 million)

Julián Castro: 113 percent (raised $3.5 million)

Tulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard20 House Dems call on Trump to issue two-week, nationwide shelter-in-place order The Hill's Morning Report — ,000,000,000,000: GOP unveils historic US rescue effort Gillibrand endorses Biden for president MORE: 110 percent (raised $3 million)

Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisWhy Gretchen Whitmer's stock is rising with Team Biden Enlisting tech to fight coronavirus sparks surveillance fears Biden says his administration could help grow 'bench' for Democrats MORE: 125 percent (raised $11.6 million)

Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharWhy Gretchen Whitmer's stock is rising with Team Biden Biden says his administration could help grow 'bench' for Democrats Democrats fear coronavirus impact on November turnout MORE: 163 percent (raised $4.8 million)

Beto O'RourkeBeto O'RourkeO'Rourke slams Texas official who suggested grandparents risk their lives for economy during pandemic Hispanic Caucus campaign arm unveils non-Hispanic endorsements Five Latinas who could be Biden's running mate MORE: 144 percent (raised $4.5 million)

Tim RyanTimothy (Tim) RyanDemocrats eye additional relief checks for coronavirus Lawmakers call for universal basic income amid coronavirus crisis Democrats tear into Trump's speech: It was a 'MAGA rally' MORE: 142 percent (raised $425,700)

Bernie Sanders: 85 percent (raised $25.3 million)

Elizabeth Warren: 76 percent (raised $24.6 million)

Marianne WilliamsonMarianne WilliamsonThe Hill's Campaign Report: Biden looks to stretch lead in Tuesday contests Pelosi: 'I usually always cast my vote for a woman' Pelosi: 'We'll have a woman president' someday MORE: 94 percent (raised $3 million)

Andrew YangAndrew YangCampaigns face attack ad dilemma amid coronavirus crisis Andrew Yang: Calling coronavirus 'China virus' only used to incite 'hostility' Andrew Yang to launch issues-based podcast MORE: 44 percent (raised $9.9 million)

 

READ MORE

Third-quarter fundraising sets Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg apart, via The Hill's Reid Wilson and Max Greenwood

 

FROM THE TRAIL:

Biden faces a new threat from Buttigieg, who is fresh off an eye-opening debate performance and positioning himself to be a top contender for the support of centrist Democrats if the former vice president falters. The Buttigieg campaign says it raised $1 million from tens of thousands of donors in the hours after Tuesday's debate concluded and recent polls show he's on the rise in Iowa, The Hill's Jonathan Easley and Amie Parnes report. 

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The Hill: Five Takeaways from the Democratic debate.

 

The Hill: Who came out on top at the Democratic debate?

 

Democratic divisions over how to tackle Big Tech were on display at the latest primary debate as presidential contenders sparred over whether to break up Silicon Valley's giants, how social media should handle President TrumpDonald John TrumpCampaigns face attack ad dilemma amid coronavirus crisis Outgoing inspector general says Trump fired him for carrying out his 'legal obligations' Trump hits Illinois governor after criticism: 'I hear him complaining all the time' MORE's tweets and whether the government is doing enough to prevent interference in U.S. elections using social media, The Hill's Emily Birnbaum and Maggie Miller report.

 

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Democrats are facing an uphill fight to win back Ohio in 2020 as Republicans look to solidify their grip on the Buckeye State two years after Trump carried it by 8 points, The Hill's Julia Manchester reports.

 

Trump's reelection campaign says it is hiring staff and opening field offices in Minnesota and New Mexico, two traditionally blue states the president's strategists have identified as having potential to flip in 2020, The Hill's Jonathan Easley reports.

 

Democrats are concerned the House impeachment inquiry could bleed into the primary season and take presidential candidates such as Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) off the campaign trail, The Hill's Amie Parnes reports.

 

PERSPECTIVES:

Michael Starr Hopkins: Democrats have reason to worry after last presidential debate.

 

Jessica Tarlov: Despite health concerns, 'Bernie or bust' is a potent political force.

 

Steve Israel and Tom Davis: Can Democrats and Republicans be friends again?

 

Valerie Jarrett: Democratic debates must include gender equity solutions.

 

Moira Donegan: Warren was attacked from all sides and didn't bat an eye.

 

William Saletan: Democrats could be in trouble if they nominate Warren.

 

POLICY ROLLOUTS:

Warren wants to eliminate "big money" in politics, taking aim at donations from PACs and urging her fellow presidential contenders to be transparent in their fundraising (The Hill) ... Sanders released new proposals that would aggressively raise rates on corporations and the wealthiest Americans (The Hill) ... NARAL Pro-Choice America will host a presidential forum focused on reproductive rights and abortion (The Hill) ... Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) has a plan to address barriers disabled people face during air travel (The Hill) ... Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is pitching a $100 billion plan to fight what she characterized as Trump's "war on rural America" (The Hill) ...

 

FROM CONGRESS:

Sen. Gary PetersGary Charles PetersUnprecedented health crisis called for historic expansion of unemployment insurance Coronavirus pushes GOP's Biden-Burisma probe to back burner Poll: Biden has small lead over Trump in Michigan MORE (D-Mich.) is running narrowly ahead of his Republican rival in what is likely to be one of the critical battleground states in next year's election, The Hill's Reid Wilson reports.

 

Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) is the latest Democrat to endorse the primary challenger to Rep. Daniel LipinskiDaniel William LipinskiThe Hill's Campaign Report: Campaigns scale back amid coronavirus threat Dan Lipinski defeated in Illinois House primary Ocasio-Cortez announces slate of all-female congressional endorsements MORE (D-Ill.), according to The Hill's Julia Manchester.

 

MONEY WATCH:

Democratic presidential candidates raised a combined $186 million during the third quarter, setting a breakneck pace even as Trump stockpiles a massive campaign account.

Three of the candidates who hope to face Trump next year -- Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg -- have set themselves apart from the crowded field, both by raising more and keeping more money on hand than their rivals. The Hill's Ried Wilson and Max Greenwood report.

 

Democratic fundraising platform ActBlue on Thursday announced that it has raised $297 million in the third quarter, putting it on track to raise $1 billion this year, The Hill's Rachel Frazin reports.

 

Members of Congress are taking advantage of the Washington Nationals going to the World Series with a number of them planning fundraisers centered around the team's appearance in the Fall Classic, The Hill's Alex Gangitano reports.

 

POLL WATCH:

MOODY'S ANALYTICS: Trump is on trajectory to win a second term in office according to three different historically accurate economic forecasting models.

 

EMERSON COLLEGE: Biden and Warren are tied in Iowa, with Buttigieg on the rise.

 

ECONOMIST/YOUGOV: Democrats have a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot.

 

MARK YOUR CALENDARS:

There are 108 days until the Iowa caucuses, 116 days until the New Hampshire primary, 127 days until the Nevada caucuses, 134 days until the South Carolina primary and 137 days until Super Tuesday.

 

ONE FUN THING: 

THE MCKINNON EFFECT: Comedian Kate McKinnon is back as a campaign staple after playing Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonDoes Joe Biden really want to be president? Trump team picks fight with Twitter, TV networks over political speech Why Gretchen Whitmer's stock is rising with Team Biden MORE and Kellyanne ConwayKellyanne Elizabeth ConwayBiden fights for attention in coronavirus news cycle Trump says he's open to speaking to Biden about coronavirus The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden offers to talk coronavirus response with Trump MORE on "Saturday Night Live" during the 2016 election campaign. McKinnon played Elizabeth Warren earlier this month on SNL's "Weekend Update" segment and the Massachusetts senator's campaign is taking note! 

Warren's campaign used the segment in an ad earlier this week to tout her latest fundraising numbers. 

"You raised all of this money without any corporate donations, is that right?" "Weekend Update" host Colin Jost asked McKinnon's Warren. 

"That's right," McKinnon replies. "That's grassroots."

The real-life Warren is then seen in a number of clips making phone calls to supporters.

 

 

Warren isn't the only candidate to get spoofed on "SNL" this season. Maya Rudolph played Harris earlier this month, while Lin-Manuel Miranda played former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro after the show was criticized for not including Castro in a previous  skit. 

We'll definitely be watching "SNL's" next new episode to see which other candidates get spoofed. 

Have a great weekend!