The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden camp faces new challenges

The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden camp faces new challenges
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Welcome to The Hill's Campaign Report, your weekly rundown on all the latest news in the 2020 presidential, Senate and House races. Did someone forward this to you? Click here to subscribe.

We're Julia Manchester, Max Greenwood and Jonathan Easley. Here's what we're watching this week on the campaign trail. 

 

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LEADING THE DAY: 

Aides and allies of former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenPerry delegation talking points stressed pushing Ukraine to deal with 'corruption' GOP senator airs anti-Biden ad in Iowa amid impeachment trial Biden photobombs live national news broadcast at one of his rallies MORE for weeks have dismissed concerns about his third-quarter fundraising haul, arguing that the $15.7 million he pulled in over the past three months is more than enough to allow him to compete in the early primary and caucus states.

That may be true, for now, but his third-quarter filings to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) show some warning signs for the former vice president. Biden reported having just $9 million in cash on hand, significantly less than his top rivals for the Democratic nomination. What's more, he spent more money than he brought in during the third quarter, leaving him with a burn rate of 112 percent.

By comparison, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersNew campaign ad goes after Sanders by mentioning heart attack Biden on whether Sanders can unify party as nominee: 'It depends' Steyer rebukes Biden for arguing with supporter he thought was Sanders voter MORE (I-Vt.) has $33.7 million on hand, while Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenBiden on whether Sanders can unify party as nominee: 'It depends' Overnight Health Care — Presented by Philip Morris International — HHS has no plans to declare emergency over coronavirus | GOP senator calls for travel ban to stop outbreak | Warren releases plan to contain infectious diseases Biden lines up high-profile surrogates to campaign in Iowa MORE (D-Mass.) has $25.7 million and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul ButtigiegBiden on whether Sanders can unify party as nominee: 'It depends' Biden lines up high-profile surrogates to campaign in Iowa Hill.TV's Krystal Ball: Failure to embrace Sanders as nominee would 'destroy' Democratic Party MORE has $23.3 million. And they're all spending money at a slower rate than Biden. 

But Biden isn't the only one facing a spending dilemma. Indeed, roughly two-thirds of the Democratic presidential candidates face a similar challenge, one that could spell trouble for their campaigns in the months ahead. 

Here's a rundown of how much the candidates are spending relative to what they're raising. Note that we've excluded former Rep. John DelaneyJohn Kevin DelaneyThe Iowa Democratic caucuses, mapped Biden leads 2020 pack in congressional endorsements The Hill's Morning Report - Trump trial begins with clash over rules MORE (D-Md.) and billionaire philanthropist Tom SteyerTom Fahr SteyerSteyer rebukes Biden for arguing with supporter he thought was Sanders voter Poll: 56 percent of Democrats say billionaire politicians more likely to cater to special interests South Carolina woman behind popular Obama slogan says she backs Steyer MORE, because their campaigns are largely self-financed.

 

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Joe Biden: 112 percent (raised $15.7 million)

Michael BennetMichael Farrand BennetBiden leads 2020 pack in congressional endorsements Sunday shows preview: Lawmakers prepare for week two of impeachment trial Impeachment throws curveball in Iowa to sidelined senators MORE: 116 percent (raised $2.1 million)

Cory BookerCory Anthony BookerOvernight Defense: White House threatens to veto House Iran bills | Dems 'frustrated' after Iran briefing | Lawmakers warn US, UK intel sharing at risk after Huawei decision White House Correspondents' Association blasts State for 'punitive action' against NPR Senate Democrat demands State Department reinstate NPR reporter on Pompeo trip MORE: 119 percent (raised $6 million)

Steve BullockSteve BullockBrent Budowsky: Bloomberg should give billion to Democrats Key moments in the 2020 Democratic presidential race so far Kamala Harris dropped out, but let's keep her mental health plan alive MORE: 106 percent (raised $2.3 million)

Pete Buttigieg: 97 percent (raised $19.1 million)

Julián Castro: 113 percent (raised $3.5 million)

Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardSanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll Yang qualifies for New Hampshire debate stage Poll: Bernie Sanders holds 9-point lead in New Hampshire MORE: 110 percent (raised $3 million)

Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisSanders allies in new uproar over DNC convention appointments Biden leads 2020 pack in congressional endorsements Harris on 2020 endorsement: 'I am not thinking about it right now' MORE: 125 percent (raised $11.6 million)

Amy KlobucharAmy Jean KlobucharSanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll Poll: 56 percent of Democrats say billionaire politicians more likely to cater to special interests Support for Biden, Sanders ticks up nationally: poll MORE: 163 percent (raised $4.8 million)

Beto O'RourkeBeto O'RourkeVeronica Escobar to give Spanish-language response to Trump State of the Union address Biden calls for revoking key online legal protection Trump mocks Booker over suspended presidential campaign MORE: 144 percent (raised $4.5 million)

Tim RyanTimothy (Tim) RyanBiden lines up high-profile surrogates to campaign in Iowa Office of Technology Assessment: It's time for a second coming Key moments in the 2020 Democratic presidential race so far MORE: 142 percent (raised $425,700)

Bernie Sanders: 85 percent (raised $25.3 million)

Elizabeth Warren: 76 percent (raised $24.6 million)

Marianne WilliamsonMarianne WilliamsonMarianne Williamson says she supports Yang in Iowa caucuses Patrick backs reparations in unveiling 'Equity Agenda for Black Americans' Marianne Williamson drops out of 2020 race MORE: 94 percent (raised $3 million)

Andrew YangAndrew YangPoll: 56 percent of Democrats say billionaire politicians more likely to cater to special interests Support for Biden, Sanders ticks up nationally: poll The Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump lawyers to offer closing arguments on day 7 MORE: 44 percent (raised $9.9 million)

 

READ MORE

Third-quarter fundraising sets Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg apart, via The Hill's Reid Wilson and Max Greenwood

 

FROM THE TRAIL:

Biden faces a new threat from Buttigieg, who is fresh off an eye-opening debate performance and positioning himself to be a top contender for the support of centrist Democrats if the former vice president falters. The Buttigieg campaign says it raised $1 million from tens of thousands of donors in the hours after Tuesday's debate concluded and recent polls show he's on the rise in Iowa, The Hill's Jonathan Easley and Amie Parnes report. 

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The Hill: Five Takeaways from the Democratic debate.

 

The Hill: Who came out on top at the Democratic debate?

 

Democratic divisions over how to tackle Big Tech were on display at the latest primary debate as presidential contenders sparred over whether to break up Silicon Valley's giants, how social media should handle President TrumpDonald John TrumpCNN's Don Lemon explains handling of segment after Trump criticism NPR reporter after Pompeo clash: Journalists don't interview government officials to score 'political points' Lawyer says Parnas can't attend Senate trial due to ankle bracelet MORE's tweets and whether the government is doing enough to prevent interference in U.S. elections using social media, The Hill's Emily Birnbaum and Maggie Miller report.

 

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Democrats are facing an uphill fight to win back Ohio in 2020 as Republicans look to solidify their grip on the Buckeye State two years after Trump carried it by 8 points, The Hill's Julia Manchester reports.

 

Trump's reelection campaign says it is hiring staff and opening field offices in Minnesota and New Mexico, two traditionally blue states the president's strategists have identified as having potential to flip in 2020, The Hill's Jonathan Easley reports.

 

Democrats are concerned the House impeachment inquiry could bleed into the primary season and take presidential candidates such as Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) off the campaign trail, The Hill's Amie Parnes reports.

 

PERSPECTIVES:

Michael Starr Hopkins: Democrats have reason to worry after last presidential debate.

 

Jessica Tarlov: Despite health concerns, 'Bernie or bust' is a potent political force.

 

Steve Israel and Tom Davis: Can Democrats and Republicans be friends again?

 

Valerie Jarrett: Democratic debates must include gender equity solutions.

 

Moira Donegan: Warren was attacked from all sides and didn't bat an eye.

 

William Saletan: Democrats could be in trouble if they nominate Warren.

 

POLICY ROLLOUTS:

Warren wants to eliminate "big money" in politics, taking aim at donations from PACs and urging her fellow presidential contenders to be transparent in their fundraising (The Hill) ... Sanders released new proposals that would aggressively raise rates on corporations and the wealthiest Americans (The Hill) ... NARAL Pro-Choice America will host a presidential forum focused on reproductive rights and abortion (The Hill) ... Former Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas) has a plan to address barriers disabled people face during air travel (The Hill) ... Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is pitching a $100 billion plan to fight what she characterized as Trump's "war on rural America" (The Hill) ...

 

FROM CONGRESS:

Sen. Gary PetersGary Charles PetersOvernight Health Care — Presented by Philip Morris International — HHS has no plans to declare emergency over coronavirus | GOP senator calls for travel ban to stop outbreak | Warren releases plan to contain infectious diseases On The Trail: Why 2020 is the most important election in our lifetime Hillicon Valley: Biden calls for revoking tech legal shield | DHS chief 'fully expects' Russia to try to interfere in 2020 | Smaller companies testify against Big Tech 'monopoly power' MORE (D-Mich.) is running narrowly ahead of his Republican rival in what is likely to be one of the critical battleground states in next year's election, The Hill's Reid Wilson reports.

 

Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) is the latest Democrat to endorse the primary challenger to Rep. Daniel LipinskiDaniel William LipinskiMore than 200 lawmakers urge Supreme Court to 'reconsider' Roe v. Wade Democratic group to only endorse attorney general candidates who back abortion rights Democrats unveil impeachment procedures MORE (D-Ill.), according to The Hill's Julia Manchester.

 

MONEY WATCH:

Democratic presidential candidates raised a combined $186 million during the third quarter, setting a breakneck pace even as Trump stockpiles a massive campaign account.

Three of the candidates who hope to face Trump next year -- Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg -- have set themselves apart from the crowded field, both by raising more and keeping more money on hand than their rivals. The Hill's Ried Wilson and Max Greenwood report.

 

Democratic fundraising platform ActBlue on Thursday announced that it has raised $297 million in the third quarter, putting it on track to raise $1 billion this year, The Hill's Rachel Frazin reports.

 

Members of Congress are taking advantage of the Washington Nationals going to the World Series with a number of them planning fundraisers centered around the team's appearance in the Fall Classic, The Hill's Alex Gangitano reports.

 

POLL WATCH:

MOODY'S ANALYTICS: Trump is on trajectory to win a second term in office according to three different historically accurate economic forecasting models.

 

EMERSON COLLEGE: Biden and Warren are tied in Iowa, with Buttigieg on the rise.

 

ECONOMIST/YOUGOV: Democrats have a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot.

 

MARK YOUR CALENDARS:

There are 108 days until the Iowa caucuses, 116 days until the New Hampshire primary, 127 days until the Nevada caucuses, 134 days until the South Carolina primary and 137 days until Super Tuesday.

 

ONE FUN THING: 

THE MCKINNON EFFECT: Comedian Kate McKinnon is back as a campaign staple after playing Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHill.TV's Krystal Ball: Failure to embrace Sanders as nominee would 'destroy' Democratic Party Clinton says she feels the 'urge' to defeat Trump in 2020 Can Democrats flip the Texas House? Today's result will provide a clue MORE and Kellyanne ConwayKellyanne Elizabeth ConwayTrump rallies supporters for recently converted Republican Jefferson Van Drew George Conway: Witness missing from impeachment trial is Trump Kellyanne Conway knocks Biden, talks up Sanders in Wash Post op-ed MORE on "Saturday Night Live" during the 2016 election campaign. McKinnon played Elizabeth Warren earlier this month on SNL's "Weekend Update" segment and the Massachusetts senator's campaign is taking note! 

Warren's campaign used the segment in an ad earlier this week to tout her latest fundraising numbers. 

"You raised all of this money without any corporate donations, is that right?" "Weekend Update" host Colin Jost asked McKinnon's Warren. 

"That's right," McKinnon replies. "That's grassroots."

The real-life Warren is then seen in a number of clips making phone calls to supporters.

 

 

Warren isn't the only candidate to get spoofed on "SNL" this season. Maya Rudolph played Harris earlier this month, while Lin-Manuel Miranda played former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro after the show was criticized for not including Castro in a previous  skit. 

We'll definitely be watching "SNL's" next new episode to see which other candidates get spoofed. 

Have a great weekend!