Poll: Trump trails Biden, leads Warren in key states

Poll: Trump trails Biden, leads Warren in key states
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President TrumpDonald TrumpNYT: Rep. Perry played role in alleged Trump plan to oust acting AG Arizona GOP censures top state Republicans McCain, Flake and Ducey Biden and UK prime minister discuss NATO, multilateralism during call MORE is trailing former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenDC residents jumped at opportunity to pay for meals for National Guardsmen Joe Biden might bring 'unity' – to the Middle East Biden shouldn't let defeating cancer take a backseat to COVID MORE and leading Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenStudent loan forgiveness would be windfall for dentists, doctors and lawyers OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Biden's Interior Department temporarily blocks new drilling on public lands | Group of GOP senators seeks to block Biden moves on Paris, Keystone | Judge grants preliminary approval for 0M Flint water crisis settlement Senate approves waiver for Biden's Pentagon nominee MORE (D-Mass.) in key battleground states, according to a New York Times/Siena College survey released on Monday. 

The poll shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points in Arizona, 3 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and by 2 points in Florida, margins all near or within the poll's margin of error.

The president and former vice president are also neck and neck in Michigan, according to the survey. 


Trump led Biden by 2 points in North Carolina, however, which has become more competitive for Democrats in recent years. 

Trump won all six of the battleground states in 2016. 

Pollsters also found that the president leads Warren by 6 points in Michigan, by 4 points in Florida, and by 3 points in North Carolina. 

The two are even in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and Warren edges Trump by 2 points in Arizona. 

Another progressive 2020 White House hopeful, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersSunday shows preview: All eyes on Biden administration to tackle coronavirus The Hill's 12:30 Report: Next steps in the Trump impeachment Sanders selling sweatshirts with his famous inauguration pose for charity MORE (I-Vt.), leads Trump by 2 points in Michigan and Wisconsin, and by 1 point in Pennsylvania. Trump tops Sanders in Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. 

The poll can be seen as a warning for Democrats ahead of the 2020 presidential election, illustrating Trump's competitiveness in key battleground states. 

The results could also be used to back up Biden's argument that he stands the best chance of defeating Trump in 2020. The Biden campaign has repeatedly touted the former vice president's electability against the president as Warren has risen in a number of state and national-level polls. 

"We have got to beat this man. It’s not enough that we just beat him. We’ve got to beat him soundly so everyone knows we are not going back to a time when another president like him can hold that office,” Biden said in Iowa last Friday. “And I will beat him like a drum if I’m your nominee, and he knows it.”

The New York Times/Siena College poll was conducted from Oct. 13-26 among 3,766 registered voters. The margin error in each state poll is 4.4 percentage points. 

— This report was updated at 7:05 a.m.