New Quinnipiac poll finds Biden leading in New Hampshire

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenDavis: Supreme Court decision is bad news for Trump, good news for Vance Teachers face off against Trump on school reopenings Biden wins Puerto Rico primary MORE has a narrow lead in New Hampshire, but Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenIn politics, as in baseball, it ain't over till it's over Trump defends Roger Stone move: He was target of 'Witch Hunt' Democrats blast Trump for commuting Roger Stone: 'The most corrupt president in history' MORE (D-Mass.), South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegIn politics, as in baseball, it ain't over till it's over Biden campaign hires top cybersecurity officials to defend against threats Biden strikes populist tone in blistering rebuke of Trump, Wall Street MORE and Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersBiden wins Puerto Rico primary In politics, as in baseball, it ain't over till it's over Biden wins Louisiana primary MORE (I-Vt.) are all running strong near the top, according to a new poll.

The latest Quinnipiac University survey of New Hampshire finds Biden at 20 percent, followed by Warren at 16 percent, Buttigieg at 15 percent and Sanders at 14 percent.

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The Quinnipiac survey of Iowa released last week similarly found a four-candidate crunch at the top about three months out from the first ballots being cast.

“New Hampshire has mountains. Iowa has plains. They couldn’t be more different except for the results of the last two Quinnipiac University polls, which both show 4 candidates in the top tier,” said Quinnipiac pollster Tim Malloy. “Although Biden has a slight lead in the Granite State, it’s far from rock solid, and both states are clearly still up for grabs.”

Rounding out the field in New Hampshire are Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardFinancial firms facing serious hacking threat in COVID-19 era Gabbard drops defamation lawsuit against Clinton It's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE (D-Hawaii) at 6 percent, tech entrepreneur Andrew YangAndrew YangBiden campaign to take over 'Supernatural' star's Instagram for interview Hillicon Valley: Justice Department announces superseding indictment against WikiLeaks' Assange | Facebook ad boycott gains momentum | FBI sees spike in coronavirus-related cyber threats | Boston city government bans facial recognition technology The Hill's Campaign Report: Progressives feel momentum after primary night MORE at 4 percent and Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharThe Hill's Coronavirus Report: Fauci says focus should be on pausing reopenings rather than reverting to shutdowns; WHO director pleads for international unity in pandemic response State election officials warn budget cuts could lead to November chaos Biden strikes populist tone in blistering rebuke of Trump, Wall Street MORE (D-Minn.) and businessman Tom SteyerTom SteyerThe Hill's Campaign Report: Jacksonville mandates face coverings as GOP convention approaches Steyer endorses Markey in Massachusetts Senate primary Celebrities fundraise for Markey ahead of Massachusetts Senate primary MORE at 3 percent each.

A strong majority of voters, 61 percent, said they could still change their minds before Election Day, and 14 percent said they’re completely undecided at the moment.

Among independent or “undeclared” voters in New Hampshire who say they’re likely to vote in the Democratic primary, Biden leads at 16 percent, followed by Sanders and Buttigieg at 14 percent and Warren and Gabbard at 10 percent.

Biden also leads among registered Democrats who expect to vote on primary day, with 25 percent support, followed by Warren at 24 percent, Buttigieg at 16 percent and Sanders at 14 percent.

Sanders has the firmest and most enthusiastic base of support in New Hampshire.

Fifty-seven percent of Sanders’s backers say their mind is made up and they’ll definitely vote for him. The next closest is Biden at 43 percent, followed by Warren at 29 percent and Buttigieg at 24 percent.

And 44 percent of Sanders’s voters say they’re extremely excited to turn out for him on Election Day, a 23-point advantage over Warren, who is at 21 percent. Only 19 percent of Biden’s supporters described themselves as very excited and 12 percent of Buttigieg’s backers said the same.

About one-third of New Hampshire Democrats said the quality they want most in a candidate is the ability to defeat President TrumpDonald John TrumpDavis: Supreme Court decision is bad news for Trump, good news for Vance Meadows trying to root out suspected White House leakers by feeding them info: Axios Pressley hits DeVos over reopening schools: 'I wouldn't trust you to care for a house plant let alone my child' MORE in the general election.

Biden is boosted on this front, as 31 percent of those polled who said electability is most important are backing Biden, followed by Warren at 20 percent, Buttigieg at 19 percent and Sanders at 6 percent. Sanders leads among Democrats who said “honesty” is the most important quality in a candidate.

Quinnipiac asked voters if they would consider former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergWake up, America — see what's coming Bloomberg urges court to throw out lawsuit by former campaign staffers Former Obama Ebola czar Ron Klain says White House's bad decisions have put US behind many other nations on COVID-19; Fears of virus reemergence intensify MORE if he were to get into the race.

Two percent of voters said they would definitely cast a ballot for Bloomberg if he gets in and 37 percent said they would at least consider voting for him. Fifty-four percent said they definitely would not vote for Bloomberg.

"If he truly is in, there is a lot of work to do,” said Malloy. “But with vast resources to draw from, Michael Bloomberg's nascent campaign could morph from 'under construction' to 'full steam ahead' in a New York minute."

The Quinnipiac University survey of 1,134 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire was conducted between Nov. 6 and Nov. 10 and has a 3.8 percentage point margin of error.