Poll: Biden holds his lead nationally

Poll: Biden holds his lead nationally

Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenOVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Murkowski, Mattis criticism ratchets up pressure on GOP over Trump| Esper orders hundreds of active-duty troops outside DC sent home day after reversal | Iran releases US Navy veteran Michael White Davis: 72 hours cementing the real choice for November OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Trump signs order removing environmental reviews for major projects | New Trump air rule will limit future pollution regulations, critics say | DNC climate group calls for larger federal investment on climate than Biden plan MORE is holding his lead in the crowded Democratic presidential primary roughly two months out from the first nominating contests, according to a new national survey from Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released exclusively to The Hill. 

Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they would most likely vote for Biden in a Democratic primary, while 16 percent said they would back Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersOVERNIGHT ENERGY: Trump signs order removing environmental reviews for major projects | New Trump air rule will limit future pollution regulations, critics say | DNC climate group calls for larger federal investment on climate than Biden plan Google: Chinese and Iranian hackers targeting Biden, Trump campaigns Sanders: Police departments that violate civil rights should lose federal funding MORE (I-Vt.). 

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenGeorge Floyd protests show corporations must support racial and economic equality It's time to shut down industrial animal farming The Hill's Morning Report - Protesters' defiance met with calls to listen MORE (D-Mass.) rounded out the top three slots at 13 percent support. 

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"The data shows Joe Biden has a strong base of loyal Democrats that basically has neither grown nor shrunk in the last 6 months despite everyone’s efforts," said Mark PennMark PennThe Hill's Campaign Report: Biden leads Trump by 6 points in new poll Biden leads Trump by 6 points as voters sour on pandemic response: poll Poll: Two-thirds of voters say the economy is on the wrong track MORE, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris poll. "He remains the front-runner after Elizabeth Warren faltered with her 'Medicare for All' plan."

Meanwhile, South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE garnered 8 percent support, while former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergIt's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Liberals embrace super PACs they once shunned .7 billion expected to be spent in 2020 campaign despite coronavirus: report MORE came in at 7 percent support. 

Bloomberg gained traction quickly after formally entering the race last month, focusing his time and resources on Super Tuesday states.

Morning Consult survey released on Tuesday also showed Biden leading the pack at 29 percent support nationally, again followed by Sanders, Warren and Buttigieg, in that order.

The Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey was conducted online within the U.S. among a representative sample of 1,859 registered voters between Nov. 27-29 by the Harris Poll. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

The sampling margin of error of this poll is plus or minus 2 percentage points.