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Buttigieg, Biden tied with Trump in Arizona: poll

Democratic 2020 White House hopefuls Joe BidenJoe BidenFacebook, Twitter CEOs to testify before Senate Judiciary Committee on Nov. 17 Sanders hits back at Trump's attack on 'socialized medicine' Senate GOP to drop documentary series days before election hitting China, Democrats over coronavirus MORE and Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegLGBTQ voters must show up at the polls, or risk losing progress Buttigieg says it's time to 'turn the page' on Trump administration Sunday shows preview: Coronavirus cases surge in the Midwest; Trump hits campaign trail after COVID-19 MORE are in a statistical dead heat with President Trump among Arizona voters, according to a new poll. 

In a mock-up general election, Biden has 44 percent support compared to Trump’s 46 percent, according to the OH Predictive Insights poll released Monday. 

Buttigieg has 43 percent support compared to Trump’s 45 percent. Both of Trump’s narrow 2-point leads against the Democrats are within the 3.9 percentage point margin of error. 

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The results show a decrease in support for the former vice president, who led Trump 49 percent to 44 percent in the state based on a May poll.

But Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Ind., has increased his support 6 points, up from 37 percent when he was polled against Trump in May to meet Biden at the top of the field when placed against the president. 

Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersSanders hits back at Trump's attack on 'socialized medicine' Trump's debate performance was too little, too late Final debate: War Admiral vs. Seabiscuit MORE (I-Vt.) saw a slight decrease in support, based on the poll. Sanders had 34 percent compared to Trump’s 47 percent in the latest poll, down from his 37 percent compared to Trump’s 46 percent in May. 

Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenFinal debate: War Admiral vs. Seabiscuit Biden defends his health plan from Trump attacks Progressives blast Biden plan to form panel on Supreme Court reform MORE (D-Mass.) polled about the same as she did in May, decreasing 1 point from 42 percent to 41 percent compared to Trump’s stagnant 47 percent when polled against the senator. 

This month’s poll also tested former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergThe Hill's Campaign Report: 2020 spending wars | Biden looks to clean up oil comments | Debate ratings are in Biden breaks all-time television spending record Trump squeezed by cash crunch in final election sprint MORE, a late-entry candidate who had 40 percent support compared to Trump’s 47 percent in the mock up poll.

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Trump’s level of support remained within a 45–47 percent range when matched against any of the five candidates surveyed, while the Democrats' support ranged from Sanders’s 34 percent to Biden’s 44 percent. 

Trump’s support could give him a second win in Arizona in 2020, according to pollsters. 

“No Democrat has earned more than 47 percent in a presidential election here since LBJ in 1964, but given this president’s apparent ceiling, that might just be enough to win when November rolls around,” said Jacob Joss, an OH Predictive Insights data analyst. 

The Arizona Democratic presidential primary will be held on March 17. 

The survey was conducted from Dec. 3 to 14. The sample size was 628 completed surveys. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region and age, according to OH Predictive Insights.