Poll: Trump trails Biden in Virginia, leads other 2020 Democrats

Poll: Trump trails Biden in Virginia, leads other 2020 Democrats

President TrumpDonald TrumpMeghan McCain: Democrats 'should give a little credit' to Trump for COVID-19 vaccine Trump testing czar warns lockdowns may be on table if people don't get vaccinated Overnight Health Care: CDC details Massachusetts outbreak that sparked mask update | White House says national vaccine mandate 'not under consideration at this time' MORE trails former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenCDC chief clarifies vaccine comments: 'There will be no nationwide mandate' Overnight Defense: First group of Afghan evacuees arrives in Virginia | Biden signs Capitol security funding bill, reimbursing Guard | Pentagon raises health protection level weeks after lowering it Biden urges local governments to stave off evictions MORE in Virginia, but he leads the other top contenders for the Democratic nomination in the state, according to a new poll.

The latest survey from Mason-Dixon, released Tuesday, finds Biden's support at 49 percent, compared with Trump's 45 percent, in the Old Dominion.

But the statewide survey also found the president with a 6 percentage point lead over Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersAngst grips America's most liberal city Democrats warn shrinking Biden's spending plan could backfire Democrats say they have the votes to advance .5T budget measure MORE (I-Vt.), a 4-point lead over Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenCalifornia Democrats warn of low turnout in recall election Pelosi disputes Biden's power to forgive student loans Warren hits the airwaves for Newsom ahead of recall election MORE (D-Mass.) and a 2-point lead over South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegChasten Buttigieg: DC 'almost unaffordable' JD Vance takes aim at culture wars, childless politicians Poll: 73 percent of Democratic voters would consider voting for Biden in the 2024 primary MORE.


Virginia has been trending blue in recent elections and has gone for the Democratic presidential nominee in each of the past three cycles.

Former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonClintons, Stacey Abrams meeting Texas Democrats Biden says Russia spreading misinformation ahead of 2022 elections Highest-ranking GOP assemblyman in WI against another audit of 2020 vote MORE defeated Trump by 5.4 points in Virginia in 2016. Last month, Democrats won the General Assembly, giving them complete control of state government.

The Mason-Dixon survey, however, underscores Democratic concerns that the 2020 election will be a nail-biter through Election Day.

“Over the last 30 years, Virginia has evolved from a state that leaned Republican in presidential elections … into a true swing state, but now has become one that clearly leans Democratic,” Mason-Dixon’s pollsters wrote in an analysis of the survey. “Still, Democrats cannot completely take Virginia for granted as former Vice President Joe Biden is their only current candidate who is beating President Donald Trump.”

The poll bolsters Biden’s argument that he would be the strongest Democratic candidate in a head-to-head match-up against Trump.


Biden has the best favorability rating in the field of White House hopefuls, at 51 percent positive and 33 percent negative in the Mason-Dixon poll. Buttigieg is the only other candidate above water, at 33 percent favorable and 30 percent unfavorable, but he is not as well known in the state, with 16 percent of respondents saying they didn't recognize his name.

Trump posted a negative split — 45 percent favorable to 48 percent unfavorable. Sanders was also underwater, at 35 percent favorable and 52 percent unfavorable. Warren's favorability was 36 percent, while 51 percent of respondents had unfavorable views of her.

Biden bested Trump in the poll based on his strength among women and black voters. He leads Trump 54 percent to 39 percent among women, while Trump holds a 6-point lead, at 51 percent, over Biden among men.

White voters prefer Trump 57 percent to 37 percent over Biden, but the former vice president has 90 percent support among black voters in a hypothetical match-up against Trump.

The Mason-Dixon survey of 625 registered voters in Virginia was conducted Dec. 12-16 and has a 4 percentage point margin of error.