Biden leads Sanders by 7 in new national poll

Biden leads Sanders by 7 in new national poll
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Former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Supreme Court and blind partisanship ended the illusion of independent agencies Missed debt ceiling deadline kicks off high-stakes fight Senate infrastructure talks spill over into rare Sunday session MORE has a 7-point lead over Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersBiden's bipartisan deal faces Senate gauntlet Angst grips America's most liberal city Democrats warn shrinking Biden's spending plan could backfire MORE (I-Vt.) in a new national poll, with Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenCalifornia Democrats warn of low turnout in recall election Pelosi disputes Biden's power to forgive student loans Warren hits the airwaves for Newsom ahead of recall election MORE (D-Mass.) in a distant third place.

The latest Monmouth University survey finds Biden at 30 percent, followed by Sanders at 23 percent and Warren at 14 percent. All three candidates saw a modest increase in support, with Biden gaining 4 points, Sanders 2 and Warren 3.

Former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergWHO leader issues warning on 'harmful' e-cigarettes Six months in, two challenges could define Biden's presidency Why Democrats' .5 trillion reconciliation bill is a losing game MORE, who has not been in any debates but is spending tens of millions of dollars on a self-funded national advertising campaign, comes in fourth place at 9 percent support, up from 5 percent in the previous survey.

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Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegSunday shows preview: Delta concerns prompt CDC mask update; bipartisan infrastructure bill to face challenges in Senate Chasten Buttigieg: DC 'almost unaffordable' JD Vance takes aim at culture wars, childless politicians MORE is at 6 percent, followed by Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Democrats urge tech CEOs to combat Spanish disinformation | Amazon fined 6M by EU regulators Democrats urge tech CEOs to combat Spanish disinformation Bill would honor Ginsburg, O'Connor with statues at Capitol MORE (D-Minn.) at 4 percent and businessman Andrew YangAndrew YangPoll: 73 percent of Democratic voters would consider voting for Biden in the 2024 primary Kings launch voting rights effort honoring John Lewis Eric Adams to meet with Biden on curbing gun violence MORE at 3 percent.

“With the exception of Bloomberg’s entry, this race looks pretty much like it did six months ago,” said Monmouth pollster Patrick Murray. “But that stability masks the potential for sizable swings once the first contests are held. Iowa and New Hampshire will play a major role in shaping national voter preferences.”

The primary race took a bitter and unexpected turn last week after Warren accused Sanders of telling her in a private meeting that a woman could not win the White House. Sanders denies making the remark.

The Monmouth poll found that 74 percent of Democratic voters say it doesn’t matter whether the party nominates a man or a woman to run against President TrumpDonald TrumpTrump PACs brought in over M for the first half of 2021 Chicago owes Trump M tax refund, state's attorney mounts legal challenge Biden hits resistance from unions on vaccine requirement MORE, while 13 percent say it is better to nominate a man and 8 percent say it’s better to nominate a woman.

“It might make for great TV, but most Democrats seem immune to the ‘he said, he didn’t say’ dust-up between Sanders and Warren,” said Murray. “Or at least they say that gender doesn’t matter.”

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A strong majority of Democratic voters, 58 percent, said the nominating process should be changed to feature a single national primary in which every state votes on the same day, rather than the current set-up, in which Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina are the first four to vote.

Only 11 percent of Democrats want to keep the calendar the way it is, while 15 percent said the system should be modified to increase the number of early-voting states. Another 10 percent support grouped state primaries.

Fifty-six percent of Democrats said voters in Iowa and New Hampshire have too much influence in picking the nominee.

The primary calendar has been in focus this year as the Democrats’ largest and most diverse field ever has been whittled down to the top four candidates, who are all white.

There were no people of color on stage at last week’s debate in Des Moines, Iowa, and critics say this is a result of two predominantly white states being the first to cast ballots.

“Most Democratic voters would like to see an overhaul of the primary calendar,” said Murray. “This view appears to be more out of a sense of fairness to the party’s diverse electorate than concerns they might have about the ability of Iowa and New Hampshire voters to properly vet the field.”

The Monmouth University survey of 372 Democrats was conducted between Jan. 16 and Jan. 20 and has a 5.1 percentage point margin of error.