Sanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll

Sanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll
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Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersBiden's bipartisan deal faces Senate gauntlet Angst grips America's most liberal city Democrats warn shrinking Biden's spending plan could backfire MORE (I) has separated from the pack of Democratic White House hopefuls in New Hampshire, opening up a 15-point lead over the next closest contender, according to a new poll.

The latest American Research Group (ARG) survey finds Sanders in first place at 28 percent support, followed by former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Supreme Court and blind partisanship ended the illusion of independent agencies Missed debt ceiling deadline kicks off high-stakes fight Senate infrastructure talks spill over into rare Sunday session MORE at 13, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegSunday shows preview: Delta concerns prompt CDC mask update; bipartisan infrastructure bill to face challenges in Senate Chasten Buttigieg: DC 'almost unaffordable' JD Vance takes aim at culture wars, childless politicians MORE at 12 and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenCalifornia Democrats warn of low turnout in recall election Pelosi disputes Biden's power to forgive student loans Warren hits the airwaves for Newsom ahead of recall election MORE (D-Mass.) at 11. Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard on Chicago mayor's decision to limit media interviews to people of color: 'Anti-white racism' Fox News says network and anchor Leland Vittert have 'parted ways' New co-chairs named for congressional caucus for millennials MORE (D-Hawaii) comes in at 8 percent support, followed by Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharHillicon Valley: Democrats urge tech CEOs to combat Spanish disinformation | Amazon fined 6M by EU regulators Democrats urge tech CEOs to combat Spanish disinformation Bill would honor Ginsburg, O'Connor with statues at Capitol MORE (D-Minn.) at 7 percent.

Six percent of Democratic and independent voters in New Hampshire say they’re undecided.


The ARG survey shows Sanders with a larger lead than other recent polls have found. Sanders leads by 8 points in New Hampshire in the RealClearPolitics average, with the other most recent surveys finding him ahead by between 5 points and 12 points.

New Hampshire can be difficult to survey because of uncertainty about how many undeclared voters will turn out for the Democratic primary on Election Day.

For instance, Gabbard’s share of the vote is higher in the ARG poll than in any other survey because of her strong support from independent voters. The Hawaii Democrat pulls only 3 percent support in this survey from Democrats but has 15 percent among undeclared voters.

New Hampshire is peculiar in that it has about 413,000 undeclared voters, compared with 288,000 registered Republicans and 275,000 registered Democrats.

The undeclared voters can participate in the Democratic primary.


Sanders has a 15-point lead over Biden among Democrats, and he leads Buttigieg by 7 points among undeclared voters.

The Vermont senator has a massive lead of 32 points among voters aged 18 to 44. Among voters 45 and older, Sanders is at 19 percent support, followed by Biden at 17 percent.

Sanders has a 9-point lead over Biden among men and a 10 point lead over Warren among women.

The American Research Group survey of 335 Democrats and 265 undeclared voters in New Hampshire was conducted between Jan. 24 and Jan. 27 and has a 4 percentage point margin of error.

Updated 4:49 p.m.