Sanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll

Sanders opens up 15-point lead in New Hampshire: Poll
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Vermont Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersJudd Gregg: Biden — a path to the presidency, or not Biden's 'allies' gearing up to sink his campaign Expanding tax credit for businesses retaining workers gains bipartisan support MORE (I) has separated from the pack of Democratic White House hopefuls in New Hampshire, opening up a 15-point lead over the next closest contender, according to a new poll.

The latest American Research Group (ARG) survey finds Sanders in first place at 28 percent support, followed by former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenStopping Israel's annexation is a US national security interest Trump slams Biden staff for donating bail money to protesters At least 4,400 people arrested in connection with protests: report MORE at 13, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegBiden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Here's how Biden can win over the minority vote and the Rust Belt MORE at 12 and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenJudd Gregg: Biden — a path to the presidency, or not Vogue's Anna Wintour urges Biden to pick woman of color for VP Biden should name a 'team of colleagues' MORE (D-Mass.) at 11. Rep. Tulsi GabbardTulsi GabbardGabbard drops defamation lawsuit against Clinton It's as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process 125 lawmakers urge Trump administration to support National Guard troops amid pandemic MORE (D-Hawaii) comes in at 8 percent support, followed by Sen. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharJudd Gregg: Biden — a path to the presidency, or not Vogue's Anna Wintour urges Biden to pick woman of color for VP Biden should name a 'team of colleagues' MORE (D-Minn.) at 7 percent.

Six percent of Democratic and independent voters in New Hampshire say they’re undecided.

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The ARG survey shows Sanders with a larger lead than other recent polls have found. Sanders leads by 8 points in New Hampshire in the RealClearPolitics average, with the other most recent surveys finding him ahead by between 5 points and 12 points.

New Hampshire can be difficult to survey because of uncertainty about how many undeclared voters will turn out for the Democratic primary on Election Day.

For instance, Gabbard’s share of the vote is higher in the ARG poll than in any other survey because of her strong support from independent voters. The Hawaii Democrat pulls only 3 percent support in this survey from Democrats but has 15 percent among undeclared voters.

New Hampshire is peculiar in that it has about 413,000 undeclared voters, compared with 288,000 registered Republicans and 275,000 registered Democrats.

The undeclared voters can participate in the Democratic primary.

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Sanders has a 15-point lead over Biden among Democrats, and he leads Buttigieg by 7 points among undeclared voters.

The Vermont senator has a massive lead of 32 points among voters aged 18 to 44. Among voters 45 and older, Sanders is at 19 percent support, followed by Biden at 17 percent.

Sanders has a 9-point lead over Biden among men and a 10 point lead over Warren among women.

The American Research Group survey of 335 Democrats and 265 undeclared voters in New Hampshire was conducted between Jan. 24 and Jan. 27 and has a 4 percentage point margin of error.

Updated 4:49 p.m.