Poll shows tight races for president, Senate in Georgia

Republican incumbents running statewide in Georgia are locked in tight races, according to an internal poll from a group backing GOP Gov. Brian Kemp.

The survey shows presumptive Democratic nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenUkraine's president compares UN to 'a retired superhero' Biden touts 'progress' during 'candid' meetings on .5T plan Biden to tap law professor who wants to 'end banking as we know it' as OCC chief: reports MORE and President TrumpDonald TrumpUkraine's president compares UN to 'a retired superhero' Collins to endorse LePage in Maine governor comeback bid Heller won't say if Biden won election MORE deadlocked in the race for the White House and close races for both of the state’s Senate seats.

The poll, conducted by the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies and first reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, shows Biden with 47 percent support in the state and Trump at 46 percent, a statistically insignificant difference given the survey’s margin of error of 4 percentage points. 

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But more voters said they will “definitely” vote for Trump than those who said they will “definitely” vote for Biden, 43 percent to 39 percent.

Meanwhile, Sen. David PerdueDavid PerdueGOP sees Biden crises as boon for midterm recruitment Trump campaign, RNC refund donors another .8 million in 2021: NYT Loeffler meets with McConnell amid speculation of another Senate run MORE (R-Ga.) leads Democratic front-runner Jon OssoffJon OssoffProgressive poll finds support for solar energy tax credit legislation Stacey Abrams backs Senate Democrats' voting rights compromise Herschel Walker's entrance shakes up Georgia Senate race MORE by only 2 points, garnering 43 percent support to his opponent’s 41 percent, according to the poll. 

The survey also shows a statistical tie between three candidates in the state’s special election to serve out the rest of retired Sen. Johnny IsaksonJohnny IsaksonCritical race theory becomes focus of midterms Former Georgia ethics official to challenge McBath Loeffler meets with McConnell amid speculation of another Senate run MORE’s (R-Ga.) term. Rep. Doug CollinsDouglas (Doug) Allen CollinsLoeffler meets with McConnell amid speculation of another Senate run Georgia agriculture commissioner launches Senate campaign against Warnock Poll shows tight GOP primary for Georgia governor MORE (R) notched 19 percent, while Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerWarnock picks up major abortion rights group's endorsement in reelection bid Trump endorses Hershel Walker for Georgia Senate seat Herschel Walker's entrance shakes up Georgia Senate race MORE (R), whom Kemp appointed to Isakson’s seat late last year, scored 18 percent in the poll. 

Just behind the two Republicans is Democrat Matt Lieberman at 17 percent. Raphael Warnock, who has the backing of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the race, came in at just 9 percent support, according to the poll. About 26 percent of those surveyed remain undecided. 

The poll shows a much tighter match-up between Loeffler and Collins than two other recent internal polls that found Collins with double-digit leads.

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One poll conducted for Collins’s campaign last month showed the Georgia congressman up 23 points over Loeffler. And another internal poll conducted for the Georgia House Republican Caucus and reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution earlier this month showed Collins leading Loeffler by 18 points.

The poll from Public Opinion Strategies, however, suggests that Georgia may be more competitive for Republicans than they had hoped. 

While the state’s politics are largely dominated by the GOP and election handicappers have given an edge to Republicans in both Senate races, Democrats believe that Georgia could still come into play, either later this year or in future election cycles.

In the last round of elections in 2018, Kemp beat his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, by little more than 1 point, down from Trump’s 5-point margin of victory over then-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHeller won't say if Biden won election Whitmer trailing GOP challenger by 6 points in Michigan governor race: poll GOP political operatives indicted over illegal campaign contribution from Russian national in 2016 MORE in Georgia in 2016. 

The Public Opinion Strategies poll surveyed 500 likely voters in Georgia from May 4 to 7.