Poll shows tight races for president, Senate in Georgia

Republican incumbents running statewide in Georgia are locked in tight races, according to an internal poll from a group backing GOP Gov. Brian Kemp.

The survey shows presumptive Democratic nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden adds to vote margin over Trump after Milwaukee County recount Krebs says allegations of foreign interference in 2020 election 'farcical'  New DOJ rule could allow executions by electrocution, firing squad MORE and President TrumpDonald John TrumpBiden adds to vote margin over Trump after Milwaukee County recount Krebs says allegations of foreign interference in 2020 election 'farcical'  Republicans ready to become deficit hawks again under a President Biden MORE deadlocked in the race for the White House and close races for both of the state’s Senate seats.

The poll, conducted by the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies and first reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, shows Biden with 47 percent support in the state and Trump at 46 percent, a statistically insignificant difference given the survey’s margin of error of 4 percentage points. 


But more voters said they will “definitely” vote for Trump than those who said they will “definitely” vote for Biden, 43 percent to 39 percent.

Meanwhile, Sen. David PerdueDavid PerdueClub for Growth to launch ad blitz in Georgia to juice GOP turnout Groups seek to get Black vote out for Democrats in Georgia runoffs Trump set for precedent-breaking lame-duck period MORE (R-Ga.) leads Democratic front-runner Jon Ossoff by only 2 points, garnering 43 percent support to his opponent’s 41 percent, according to the poll. 

The survey also shows a statistical tie between three candidates in the state’s special election to serve out the rest of retired Sen. Johnny IsaksonJohnny IsaksonOssoff, Warnock to knock on doors in runoff campaigns Democrats urge YouTube to remove election misinformation, step up efforts ahead of Georgia runoff Democrats press Facebook, Twitter on misinformation efforts ahead of Georgia runoff MORE’s (R-Ga.) term. Rep. Doug CollinsDouglas (Doug) Allen CollinsMajority say they want GOP in control of Senate: poll The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by the UAE Embassy in Washington, DC - Trump, Biden clash over transition holdup, pandemic plans Georgia secretary of state says wife has received threatening texts about recount MORE (R) notched 19 percent, while Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerTrump set for precedent-breaking lame-duck period Feinstein departure from top post sets stage for Judiciary fight House Democrat accuses Air Force of attempting to influence Georgia runoff races MORE (R), whom Kemp appointed to Isakson’s seat late last year, scored 18 percent in the poll. 

Just behind the two Republicans is Democrat Matt Lieberman at 17 percent. Raphael Warnock, who has the backing of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee in the race, came in at just 9 percent support, according to the poll. About 26 percent of those surveyed remain undecided. 

The poll shows a much tighter match-up between Loeffler and Collins than two other recent internal polls that found Collins with double-digit leads.


One poll conducted for Collins’s campaign last month showed the Georgia congressman up 23 points over Loeffler. And another internal poll conducted for the Georgia House Republican Caucus and reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution earlier this month showed Collins leading Loeffler by 18 points.

The poll from Public Opinion Strategies, however, suggests that Georgia may be more competitive for Republicans than they had hoped. 

While the state’s politics are largely dominated by the GOP and election handicappers have given an edge to Republicans in both Senate races, Democrats believe that Georgia could still come into play, either later this year or in future election cycles.

In the last round of elections in 2018, Kemp beat his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, by little more than 1 point, down from Trump’s 5-point margin of victory over then-Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonValadao unseats Cox in election rematch Trump says he'll leave White House if Biden declared winner of Electoral College Federal workers stuck it out with Trump — now, we're ready to get back to work MORE in Georgia in 2016. 

The Public Opinion Strategies poll surveyed 500 likely voters in Georgia from May 4 to 7.