Top Democratic pollster advised Biden campaign to pick Warren as VP

Top Democratic pollster advised Biden campaign to pick Warren as VP

One of the Democratic Party’s top pollsters gave a presentation to senior members of former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillary Clinton responds to Chrissy Teigen tweet: 'I love you back' Supreme Court rejects Trump effort to shorten North Carolina mail-ballot deadline Overnight Defense: Trump campaign's use of military helicopter raises ethics concerns | Air Force jets intercept aircraft over Trump rally | Senators introduce bill to expand visa screenings MORE’s presidential campaign earlier this month making the case that Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWhat a Biden administration should look like Overnight Defense: Dems want hearing on DOD role on coronavirus vaccine | US and India sign data-sharing pact | American citizen kidnapped in Niger Conservative operatives Wohl, Burkman charged in Ohio over false robocalls MORE (D-Mass.) would provide the most upside as Biden’s running mate.

Stanley Greenberg, who advised the presidential campaigns of both former President Clinton and former Vice President Al GoreAlbert (Al) Arnold GoreClinton says she's an elector in New York: 'I'm sure I'll get to vote for Joe' McCarthy urges networks not to call presidential race until 'every polling center has closed' Keep calm and let the election officials carry on MORE, presented a 14-deck slide to the Biden campaign detailing how the likely Democratic nominee needs to grow his support among young people and Democrats who did not support him during the primary.

The presentation warned that the biggest threat the Democrats face in 2020 is the “lack of support and disengagement of millennials and the fragmentation of non-Biden primary voters.”


Greenberg concluded that the intensity of support around Warren’s messages on corruption in Washington and an economy that is rigged against the middle class would help Biden win over remaining persuadable voters, while also rallying the left flank of the party behind his nomination.

"Senator Warren is the obvious solution,” Greenberg concluded in the presentation, which was obtained by The Hill. The presentation was first reported by Politico. 

The data Greenberg presented found Biden leading President TrumpDonald John TrumpHillary Clinton responds to Chrissy Teigen tweet: 'I love you back' Police called after Florida moms refuse to wear face masks at school board meeting about mask policy Supreme Court rejects Trump effort to shorten North Carolina mail-ballot deadline MORE 47 percent to 42 percent in interviews with registered voters across 16 battleground states, a slight decrease from April, when Greenberg found Biden with a 48 to 41 lead.

The poll found Biden leading by 8 points on the question of who is best equipped to manage the pandemic. But 53 percent of voters in the poll said they trust Trump on the question of who would do a better job at getting people back to work — a potentially crucial metric as the economy begins to open up.

Greenberg argued that a lack of support from young people and from Democrats who did not cast ballots for Biden in the primary is a major outstanding issue for the campaign.


Ninety-four percent of those who voted for Biden in the primary say they’ll vote for him in the general election.

But only 79 percent of people who supported Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersOcasio-Cortez says she doesn't plan on 'staying in the House forever' What a Biden administration should look like Ocasio-Cortez: 'Trump is the racist visionary, but McConnell gets the job done' MORE’s (I-Vt.) presidential campaign said they’d vote for Biden, compared to 11 percent who said they’d vote for Trump.

And only 73 percent of those who voted for someone besides Biden and Sanders in the primary said they will support Biden in the general election, compared to 17 percent who said Trump.

Greenberg also found that voter apathy toward Biden’s core messages of restoring the middle class and rebuilding America’s standing in the world was dampening enthusiasm for him among young millennials.

The poll found Biden leading Trump by 17 points among millennials, with 10 percent of millennials saying they’d vote third party. Some members of former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHillary Clinton responds to Chrissy Teigen tweet: 'I love you back' Trump fights for battleground Arizona Biden leads Trump by 12 in new national poll MORE’s presidential campaign blamed soft support from millennials on her 2016 loss. Exit polls found Clinton winning millennials by 17 points.

Greenberg made the case that the best way for Biden to win over non-Biden primary voters and young people is to add Warren to the ticket.

Warren’s message also resonates with Hispanics and white unmarried women, whom Greenberg identified as demographic groups where Biden still has potential upside support.

The veteran pollster tested Warren’s core messages of anti-corruption and anti-rigged economy and found those messages polled “off the charts” among the voters that Biden needs to reach.

“The Biden messages are competitive with Trump messages, but do not win intense support, and they are weaker than the Warren messages on corruption and rigged politics and the messages on working families,” Greenberg wrote.

“Warren’s corruption and rigged politics messages poll off the chart with non-Biden voters and millennials. Warren’s reform messages are also dominant with Biden’s ‘winnable voters,’ white working class women, and independents.”

The Biden campaign is in the midst of an intense vetting process as it seeks to pair the presumptive nominee with a female running mate.

In addition to Warren, the Biden campaign is reportedly vetting Sens. Amy KlobucharAmy KlobucharTrump announces intention to nominate two individuals to serve as FEC members Start focusing on veterans' health before they enlist Durbin says he will run for No. 2 spot if Dems win Senate majority MORE (D-Minn.) and Kamala HarrisKamala HarrisTrump fights for battleground Arizona Biden to air 90-minute radio programs targeting Black voters The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden's big battleground | Trump and Harris hit the trail in Arizona | Turnout surges among new voters MORE (D-Calif.), as well as former Georgia state House Rep. Stacey Abrams (D), New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan GrishamMichelle Lynn Lujan GrishamTravel industry calls on Trump administration to prevent the need for quarantines by creating a testing plan Utah increases coronavirus restrictions amid rising cases New Mexico to renew coronavirus restrictions, warning of more if cases continue to rise MORE (D), Rep. Val DemingsValdez (Val) Venita DemingsDisney to lay off 28,000 employees Florida Democrat introduces bill to recognize Puerto Rico statehood referendum Sunday shows - Trump team defends coronavirus response MORE (D-Fla.) and others.

Biden said at a fundraiser on Wednesday night that he hopes to have made a final decision by Aug. 1, about two weeks before the Democratic nominating convention in August.

Biden said he’s looking for someone he’s comfortable with, rather than an ideological ally.