SPONSORED:

Cook Political Report shifts several Senate races toward Democrats

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report, an independent online newsletter,  shifted a handful of Senate races on Thursday in favor of Democrats, with the November general election just 103 days away.

With the relabeling came a prediction: that Democrats, who control the House, will win back control of the Senate in November.

Cook switched GOP Sens. Joni ErnstJoni Kay ErnstThe Hill's Morning Report - Biden takes office, calls for end to 'uncivil war' Senate confirms Biden's intel chief, giving him first Cabinet official Democrats torn on impeachment trial timing MORE (Iowa) and David PerdueDavid PerdueSuburbs pose challenge for GOP in post-Trump era Democrats swear in three senators to gain majority Schumer becomes new Senate majority leader MORE's (Ga.) matchups against Democratic challengers from "lean Republican" to a "toss-up," while Sen. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyCindy McCain on possible GOP censure: 'I think I'm going to make T-shirts' Arizona state GOP moves to censure Cindy McCain, Jeff Flake Trump renominates Judy Shelton in last-ditch bid to reshape Fed MORE (R-Ariz.) had her race against former astronaut Mark Kelly (D) changed from "toss-up" to "lean Democratic."

ADVERTISEMENT

Jon OssoffJon OssoffOssoff sworn in on Hebrew Bible from synagogue bombed by white supremacists in the 1950s Dershowitz: Senate should dismiss impeachment article since Trump is private citizen The Hill's Morning Report - Biden takes office, calls for end to 'uncivil war' MORE, who will challenge Perdue, said last week that internal polling done by Democratic pollster Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group showed him in a dead heat with the Republican senator, 45-44.

Additionally, Democratic Sen. Tina SmithTina Flint SmithSenate Democrats file ethics complaint against Hawley, Cruz over Capitol attack Senate majority battle snags Biden Cabinet hopefuls Smith wins reelection in Minnesota MORE (Minn.) had her race changed from "lean Democratic" to "solid Democratic." The race for retiring Sen. Tom UdallTom UdallSenate approves waiver for Biden's Pentagon nominee Senate swears-in six new lawmakers as 117th Congress convenes We can achieve our democratic ideals now by passing the For the People Act MORE's (D-N.M.) seat between Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) and Republican Mark Ronchetti was also shifted from "lean Democratic" to "solid Democratic."

For Democrats to regain control of the Senate in November, they need to either win four seats if presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe BidenJoe BidenMcCarthy says he told Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene he disagreed with her impeachment articles against Biden Biden, Trudeau agree to meet next month Fauci infuriated by threats to family MORE wins, or five seats if he loses.

The independent report notes that the Senate hasn't been flipped outright during a presidential election year since 1980, when former President Ronald Reagan (R) beat former President Jimmy CarterJimmy CarterWhy Joe Biden should pardon Donald Trump Trump's pardons harshly criticized by legal experts Senate confirms Biden's intel chief, giving him first Cabinet official MORE (D).

Last week, Cook shifted 20 House races towards Democrats as well. Overall, FiveThiryEight's average of all congressional races show Democrats with an 8-point lead, 49-41.

The latest ratings from Cook come as President TrumpDonald TrumpMcCarthy says he told Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene he disagreed with her impeachment articles against Biden Biden, Trudeau agree to meet next month Trump planned to oust acting AG to overturn Georgia election results: report MORE has dropped behind Biden in recent swing state polls. Polls released Thursday showed Trump trailing the former vice president by 13 and 6 points in Florida.

A Fox News poll released Thursday evening also showed Trump trailing Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania by 9 and 11 points, respectively. Trump won both Pennsylvania and Michigan by close margins against former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonTexas Supreme Court rejects Alex Jones request to toss lawsuits from Sandy Hook parents Paris Agreement: Biden's chance to restore international standing Samantha Power's Herculean task: Turning a screw with a rubber screwdriver MORE in 2016.