Cook Political Report shifts several Senate races toward Democrats

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report, an independent online newsletter,  shifted a handful of Senate races on Thursday in favor of Democrats, with the November general election just 103 days away.

With the relabeling came a prediction: that Democrats, who control the House, will win back control of the Senate in November.

Cook switched GOP Sens. Joni ErnstJoni Kay ErnstGraham warns about trying to 'drive' Trump from GOP: 'Half the people will leave' The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - Senate braces for daylong brawl on elections bill Top female GOP senator compares Cheney ousting to 'cancel culture' MORE (Iowa) and David PerdueDavid PerdueGeorgia Republican secretary of state hits Loeffler as 'weak,' 'fake Trumper' Warnock raises nearly M since January victory Georgia's top election official looks to shake political drama MORE's (Ga.) matchups against Democratic challengers from "lean Republican" to a "toss-up," while Sen. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyEx-McSally aide pleads guilty to stealing over 0K in campaign funds Arizona state senator announces bid for Kirkpatrick's seat Democratic Arizona Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick says she won't seek reelection MORE (R-Ariz.) had her race against former astronaut Mark Kelly (D) changed from "toss-up" to "lean Democratic."


Jon OssoffJon OssoffSenate panel deadlocks in vote on sweeping elections bill Senate descends into hours-long fight over elections bill Georgia senators introduce measure allowing voters to have access to water while waiting MORE, who will challenge Perdue, said last week that internal polling done by Democratic pollster Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group showed him in a dead heat with the Republican senator, 45-44.

Additionally, Democratic Sen. Tina SmithTina Flint SmithSenate Democrats push Biden over raising refugee cap Sharpton eulogizes Daunte Wright: 'Tags of racism' have expired Hawley votes against anti-Asian hate crime bill MORE (Minn.) had her race changed from "lean Democratic" to "solid Democratic." The race for retiring Sen. Tom UdallTom UdallStudy: Chemical used in paint thinners caused more deaths than EPA identified Oregon senator takes center stage in Democratic filibuster debate Bipartisan bill seeks to raise fees for public lands drilling MORE's (D-N.M.) seat between Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) and Republican Mark Ronchetti was also shifted from "lean Democratic" to "solid Democratic."

For Democrats to regain control of the Senate in November, they need to either win four seats if presumptive Democratic presidential candidate Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden says Beau's assessment of first 100 days would be 'Be who you are' Biden: McCarthy's support of Cheney ouster is 'above my pay grade' Conservative group sues over prioritization of women, minorities for restaurant aid MORE wins, or five seats if he loses.

The independent report notes that the Senate hasn't been flipped outright during a presidential election year since 1980, when former President Ronald Reagan (R) beat former President Jimmy CarterJimmy CarterObama calls on governments to 'do their part' in increasing global vaccine supply Weird photo of Carters with Bidens creates major online buzz Feehery: Biden seems intent on repeating the same mistakes of Jimmy Carter MORE (D).

Last week, Cook shifted 20 House races towards Democrats as well. Overall, FiveThiryEight's average of all congressional races show Democrats with an 8-point lead, 49-41.

The latest ratings from Cook come as President TrumpDonald TrumpWarren says Republican party 'eating itself and it is discovering that the meal is poisonous' More than 75 Asian, LGBTQ groups oppose anti-Asian crime bill McConnell says he's 'great admirer' of Liz Cheney but mum on her removal MORE has dropped behind Biden in recent swing state polls. Polls released Thursday showed Trump trailing the former vice president by 13 and 6 points in Florida.

A Fox News poll released Thursday evening also showed Trump trailing Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania by 9 and 11 points, respectively. Trump won both Pennsylvania and Michigan by close margins against former Secretary of State Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMore than half of eligible Latinos voted in 2020, setting record Fox News signs Trey Gowdy, Dan Bongino for new shows The Memo: GOP attacks bounce off Biden MORE in 2016.