Biden lead narrows 5 points since June: survey

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Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has narrowed 5 points to a 7-point lead since June, according to a USA Today-Suffolk poll.

Fifty percent of registered voters polled said they plan to vote for Biden, compared to 43 percent who said they would vote for Trump. The 7 percentage point difference between the candidates marked a drop from the June results in which Biden led Trump by 12 points. 

Seven percent of respondents in the August poll reported being undecided or refused to answer the question.

The poll comes as both parties just wrapped up their national conventions and as other polls show a tightening race.

The results are similar to the USA Today-Suffolk poll conducted in August 2016 when former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton held a 7-point lead over Trump. The 2016 poll did include third-party candidates and when these candidates are included in the August 2020 poll, Biden’s lead narrows to 5 percentage points, USA Today noted.

A quarter of voters also reported they are prepared not to accept the results of the presidential election as fair and accurate if their candidate loses. This includes 28 percent of Biden supporters, who said they will react this way if Trump wins, and 19 percent of Trump supporters, who said they would not accept the results if Biden wins.

A strong majority of Republicans, 83 percent, said they are at least somewhat concerned that mail-in voting will open up the election to fraud, with 62 percent saying they are very concerned. Trump has promoted the fraud narrative, despite a lack of evidence, that voting by mail could allow for fraud.

About a third of Democrats report being at least somewhat concerned about fraud occurring with mail-in voting.

Millions across the country are likely to participate in mail-in voting this year as the coronavirus pandemic has prompted experts to warn about crowding in public spaces. 

The USA Today-Suffolk poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters Aug. 28-31. The margin of error amounted to 3.1 percentage points.

Tags 2020 election 2020 polls 2020 presidential election Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Joe Biden mail-in voting polls voter fraud voting by mail

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