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Trump, Biden running neck-and-neck in Georgia: poll

A new poll finds President TrumpDonald TrumpCIA chief threatened to resign over push to install Trump loyalist as deputy: report Azar in departure letter says Capitol riot threatens to 'tarnish' administration's accomplishments Justice Dept. argues Trump should get immunity from rape accuser's lawsuit MORE leading Joe BidenJoe BidenAzar in departure letter says Capitol riot threatens to 'tarnish' administration's accomplishments House Democrats introduce measures to oppose Trump's bomb sale to Saudis On The Money: Retail sales drop in latest sign of weakening economy | Fast-food workers strike for minimum wage | US officials raise concerns over Mexico's handling of energy permits MORE by 1 point in Georgia, which hasn’t gone for the Democratic nominee since 1992.

The latest Monmouth University survey finds Trump at 47 percent and Biden at 46 percent among all registered voters in the Peach State. 

Forty-two percent say they're certain they’ll vote for Trump, compared to 44 percent who say there’s no way they’ll vote for him. Forty percent say they’re certain to vote for Biden, with 46 percent saying there is no chance they’ll vote for him.

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When a high-turnout model is considered, Trump leads 48 percent to 46 percent. In a low-turnout scenario, Trump’s lead grows, with the president garnering 50 percent support compared to Biden's 45 percent. 

Biden has a 20-point advantage among registered voters in the 14 swing counties where the margins between Trump and Democrat Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMillennials and the great reckoning on race Biden chooses Amanda Gorman as youngest known inaugural poet Can Biden encompass the opposition he embodied? MORE were closest in 2016. 

Trump has swung to a lead among seniors in the state, opening up a 25-point lead over Biden after the two were effectively tied in July. Biden, meanwhile, has opened up a 9-point lead over Trump among voters aged 50 to 64 after the candidates were tied in the last poll. 

“There seems to be a tension between shoring up the base and courting swing voters in Georgia," said Monmouth Polling Director Patrick Murray. "A loss in one demographic group appears to be offset by a gain in another.”

Trump is viewed favorably by 45 percent of Georgia voters, compared to 46 percent who view him negatively. Biden posts a 43 percent-45 percent favorable-unfavorable split. 

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About half of voters say Trump has done a good job of handling the coronavirus and just over half say they believe the president will have the U.S. in position to recover from the pandemic. Fifty percent say Biden would also handle the U.S. recovery well. 

Georgia also has two competitive Senate races. 

Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) leads Democrat Jon Ossoff 48 percent to 42 percent.

Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerNikki Haley unveils PAC ahead of possible 2024 White House bid McConnell has said he thinks Trump committed impeachable offenses: report Top Republican congressional aide resigns, rips GOP lawmakers who objected to Biden win MORE (R-Ga.) is in a tight jungle primary that finds her with 23 percent support, followed by Rep. Doug CollinsDouglas (Doug) Allen CollinsDrudge congratulates Warnock, says Ann Coulter should have been GOP candidate Warnock defeats Loeffler in Georgia Senate runoff Warnock says he needs to win 'by comfortable margin' because 'funny things go on' MORE (R-Ga.) at 22 percent, Democrat Raphael WarnockRaphael WarnockProud Boys member arrested after allegedly threatening to kill Warnock Georgia state senators who backed attempts to overturn presidential election stripped of committee assignments Georgia House to consider replacing Confederate statue with statue of John Lewis MORE at 21 percent, Democrat Matt Lieberman at 11 percent and Democrat Ed Tarver at 4 percent. 

Unless one candidate gets 50 percent support in November, the top two candidates will move to a runoff in January. 

“Back in the summer, it looked like this seat might be a Republican lock, but Warnock has started to consolidate Democratic voter support,” said Murray. “We could see a two-party contest in January after all.”