New Hampshire poll finds Biden up 8 points over Trump

Democratic nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden says Beau's assessment of first 100 days would be 'Be who you are' Biden: McCarthy's support of Cheney ouster is 'above my pay grade' Conservative group sues over prioritization of women, minorities for restaurant aid MORE leads President TrumpDonald TrumpWarren says Republican party 'eating itself and it is discovering that the meal is poisonous' More than 75 Asian, LGBTQ groups oppose anti-Asian crime bill McConnell says he's 'great admirer' of Liz Cheney but mum on her removal MORE by 8 points in New Hampshire, according to a new survey.

The latest UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion poll finds Biden at 52 percent support and Trump at 44 percent, with 3 percent support for third-party candidates. One percent of voters are undecided.

In the same poll from October 2016, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonMore than half of eligible Latinos voted in 2020, setting record Fox News signs Trey Gowdy, Dan Bongino for new shows The Memo: GOP attacks bounce off Biden MORE led by 6 points and 14 percent said they’d vote third-party.


Clinton edged Trump by less than 1.5 points, or fewer than 3,000 votes, in the state. George W. Bush was the last Republican to carry New Hampshire, in 2000.

“At this point in 2016, there were nearly five times as many third party or undecided voters, which indicated an unstable race," said Joshua Dyck, director of the Center for Public Opinion and an associate professor of political science.

"This year is very different. Voters’ minds are made up and they have been for a while. That’s the sort of thing that happens when the race becomes a focused referendum on the incumbent," Dyck said.

Trump’s campaign has circled New Hampshire as one of a handful of Clinton states that it believes it can flip in 2020.

There has not been much polling of New Hampshire this cycle but a recent New York Times-Siena College poll put Biden’s advantage at 3 points earlier this month.


The UMass poll found Biden with a 15-point lead among independents. Fifty-five percent of survey respondents disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president, including 62 percent of independents.

Fifty-eight percent of voters polled say the winner of the 2020 election should decide who replaces the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader GinsburgRuth Bader GinsburgCourt watchers buzz about Breyer's possible retirement Five hot-button issues Biden didn't mention in his address to Congress Schumer waiting for recommendation on Supreme Court expansion MORE.

In the New Hampshire Senate race, Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenCongress may force Biden to stop Russia's Nord Stream 2 pipeline Kabul attack spurs fears over fate of Afghan women as US exits Bowser on Manchin's DC statehood stance: He's 'not right' MORE (D-N.H.) leads Republican Corky Messner by 19 points, 56 percent to 37 percent.

The UMass poll of 657 likely New Hampshire voters was conducted between Sept. 17 and Sept. 25 and has a 4.6 percentage point margin of error.