New Hampshire poll finds Biden up 8 points over Trump

Democratic nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenFive examples of media's sycophancy for Biden on inauguration week Drastic measures for drastic times — caregiver need mobile health apps Boycott sham impeachment MORE leads President TrumpDonald TrumpMore than two-thirds of Americans approve of Biden's coronavirus response: poll Sarah Huckabee Sanders to run for governor Mexico's president tests positive for COVID-19 MORE by 8 points in New Hampshire, according to a new survey.

The latest UMass Lowell Center for Public Opinion poll finds Biden at 52 percent support and Trump at 44 percent, with 3 percent support for third-party candidates. One percent of voters are undecided.

In the same poll from October 2016, Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonBiden must wait weekend for State Department pick Texas Supreme Court rejects Alex Jones request to toss lawsuits from Sandy Hook parents Paris Agreement: Biden's chance to restore international standing MORE led by 6 points and 14 percent said they’d vote third-party.


Clinton edged Trump by less than 1.5 points, or fewer than 3,000 votes, in the state. George W. Bush was the last Republican to carry New Hampshire, in 2000.

“At this point in 2016, there were nearly five times as many third party or undecided voters, which indicated an unstable race," said Joshua Dyck, director of the Center for Public Opinion and an associate professor of political science.

"This year is very different. Voters’ minds are made up and they have been for a while. That’s the sort of thing that happens when the race becomes a focused referendum on the incumbent," Dyck said.

Trump’s campaign has circled New Hampshire as one of a handful of Clinton states that it believes it can flip in 2020.

There has not been much polling of New Hampshire this cycle but a recent New York Times-Siena College poll put Biden’s advantage at 3 points earlier this month.

The UMass poll found Biden with a 15-point lead among independents. Fifty-five percent of survey respondents disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president, including 62 percent of independents.


Fifty-eight percent of voters polled say the winner of the 2020 election should decide who replaces the late Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader GinsburgRuth Bader GinsburgNYC street and subway signs transformed to welcome Biden, bid farewell to Trump Schumer and McConnell trade places, but icy relationship holds Schumer becomes new Senate majority leader MORE.

In the New Hampshire Senate race, Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenBipartisan Senate gang to talk with Biden aide on coronavirus relief Bipartisan group of senators: The election is over Seven Senate races to watch in 2022 MORE (D-N.H.) leads Republican Corky Messner by 19 points, 56 percent to 37 percent.

The UMass poll of 657 likely New Hampshire voters was conducted between Sept. 17 and Sept. 25 and has a 4.6 percentage point margin of error.