Democratic presidential nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden invokes Trump in bid to boost McAuliffe ahead of Election Day Business lobby calls for administration to 'pump the brakes' on vaccine mandate Overnight Defense & National Security — Presented by Boeing — Afghanistan reckoning shows no signs of stopping MORE leads President TrumpDonald TrumpJan. 6 panel plans to subpoena Trump lawyer who advised on how to overturn election Texans chairman apologizes for 'China virus' remark Biden invokes Trump in bid to boost McAuliffe ahead of Election Day MORE by 7 points in Georgia, according to a new poll.
The latest Quinnipiac University survey finds Biden's support at 51 percent and Trump's at 44 percent, with 4 percent of respondents undecided. Biden led by only 3 points in the same poll in September, before the first presidential debate and Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis.
Biden is now viewed favorably by 51 percent of Georgians, compared to 46 percent who view him negatively. Trump is underwater at 43 positive and 54 negative.
Trump will campaign in Georgia, which last went for the Democratic nominee in 1992, later this week.
"For Trump, 2016 is a distant memory,” said Quinnipiac pollster Tim Malloy. “Defeating Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe real reason Biden is going to the COP26 climate summit Super PACs release ad campaign hitting Vance over past comments on Trump I voted for Trump in 2020 — he proved to be the ultimate RINO in 2021 MORE by 5 points when the polls closed then, and now down 7 to Biden with three weeks to go. Warning lights are blinking red and alarms are going off in the Peach Tree state."
Quinnipiac’s polls have regularly found Biden with bigger leads than other pollsters have found. Trump and Biden are effectively tied in the RealClearPolitics average of Georgia surveys.
Election Day in Georgia will also have major consequences for which party controls the Senate, as there are two seats up for grabs this cycle.
Democrat Jon Ossoff leads Sen. David Perdue (R), 51 to 45 percent, in the new poll, up from a 1-point advantage in the prior survey.
Ossoff has a 10-point net positive favorability rating, while Perdue is underwater by 3 points.
And Democrat Raphael Warnock leads the big field of contenders in the special election race to replace former Sen. Johnny IsaksonJohnny IsaksonHerschel Walker calls off fundraiser with woman who had swastika in Twitter profile Georgia reporter says state will 'continue to be a premier battleground' Critical race theory becomes focus of midterms MORE (R-Ga.).
Warnock has 41 percent support, followed by Rep. Doug CollinsDouglas (Doug) Allen CollinsLoeffler meets with McConnell amid speculation of another Senate run Georgia agriculture commissioner launches Senate campaign against Warnock Poll shows tight GOP primary for Georgia governor MORE (R) at 22 percent and Sen. Kelly LoefflerKelly LoefflerWarnock planning memoir for June release Thune endorses Herschel Walker in Georgia Senate race Will Trump choose megalomania over country? MORE (R) at 20 percent. If no candidate reaches more than 50 percent on Election Day, the top two vote-getters will move on to a run-off in January.
Warnock leads Loeffler by 8 points in a potential head-to-head match-up. He leads Collins by 10 points.
"Sleepless GOP Senate watchers have Georgia on their minds,” said Malloy. “And with two Senate seats in play, Democrats are sensing that a potential seismic shift in the balance of power is possible."
The Quinnipiac survey of 1,040 likely voters in Georgia was conducted from Oct. 8 to Oct. 12 and has a 3 percentage point margin of error.