Biden, Cunningham hold narrow leads in North Carolina: poll

Biden, Cunningham hold narrow leads in North Carolina: poll
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Democratic presidential nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden adds to vote margin over Trump after Milwaukee County recount Krebs says allegations of foreign interference in 2020 election 'farcical'  New DOJ rule could allow executions by electrocution, firing squad MORE has a narrow lead over President TrumpDonald John TrumpBiden adds to vote margin over Trump after Milwaukee County recount Krebs says allegations of foreign interference in 2020 election 'farcical'  Republicans ready to become deficit hawks again under a President Biden MORE in North Carolina, while Democrat Cal Cunningham holds a similarly slim lead in the Tar Heel State’s closely watched Senate race in a new survey released Thursday.

The New York Times-Siena College poll shows Biden with the support of 48 percent of likely voters and Trump with 45 percent support, a difference that falls within the survey’s margin of error. Another 4 percent are undecided or refused to answer.

The results of the latest poll are statistically similar to the same survey from earlier this month, which showed Biden with a 4-point edge. Trump won the state in 2016 by just under 4 points in 2016, but polls this cycle show the race in North Carolina to be a margin-of-error contest.


Biden has opened up leads among certain Democratic-leaning demographics, including a 51-44 edge among women, a 61-31 advantage among voters between the ages of 18 and 29 and an 88-5 lead with Black voters. Trump, meanwhile, maintains a narrow 2-point lead among men, an 8-point advantage among seniors and a 19-point lead among white voters.

Biden leads by 15 points among independents.

Trump likely needs to hold on to North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes to win reelection, though Biden has paths to victory without winning the battleground state.

The president will campaign in North Carolina Thursday, marking his ninth visit there since early September, an indication of how important the state is to his reelection bid.

In the state’s Senate race, Cunningham, a former state senator, gets the support of 46 percent of likely voters, while Sen. Thom TillisThomas (Thom) Roland TillisNorth Carolina — still purple but up for grabs Team Trump offering 'fire hose' of conspiracy Kool-Aid for supporters Loeffler isolating after possible COVID-19 infection MORE (R) trails with 43 percent. Another 6 percent are undecided or refused to answer. Cunningham led by 4 points earlier this month, a statistically insignificant difference. 

Similar to Biden, Cunningham holds a 6-point edge among women, a 16-point advantage over voters under the age of 30 and an 84-7 lead among Black voters. But he was also able to cut down Tillis’s lead among seniors to just 4 points and tied the incumbent 45-45 among men.


Cunningham leads by 14 points among independents.

The number of undecided voters shrunk by more than half from earlier this month, when 15 percent of likely voters said they were undecided. While the race has been upended by reports of Cunningham’s extramarital affair and Tillis’s coronavirus diagnosis, the latest poll indicates that voters are retreating to their partisan corners. 

Tillis is one of several Republican senators Democrats are targeting this year. The party is particularly confident it will flip GOP-held Senate seats in Arizona and Colorado and is also targeting Susan CollinsSusan Margaret CollinsTwo more parting shots from Trump aimed squarely at disabled workers Trump transition order follows chorus of GOP criticism The Memo: Trump election loss roils right MORE of Maine and Joni ErnstJoni Kay ErnstThe Memo: Trump plows ahead with efforts to overturn election More conservatives break with Trump over election claims Peggy Noonan: 'Bogus dispute' by Trump 'doing real damage' MORE of Iowa, among an array of others. Republicans, Meanwhile, are expected to flip Doug Jones’s seat in Alabama and are going on offense against Michigan’s Gary PetersGary PetersRepublican John James concedes in Michigan Senate race Hillicon Valley: YouTube suspends OANN amid lawmaker pressure | Dems probe Facebook, Twitter over Georgia runoff | FCC reaffirms ZTE's national security risk Democrats urge YouTube to remove election misinformation, step up efforts ahead of Georgia runoff MORE

The GOP currently holds a 53-47 majority in the Senate. 

The New York Times-Siena College poll surveyed 1,034 likely North Carolina voters from Oct. 23 to 27 and has a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.