Former Vice President Mike PenceMichael (Mike) Richard PenceEthics group files complaint against former Pence chief of staff Marc Short Pence aiming to raise M ahead of possible 2024 run: report Congress could stop Milley's nuclear weapons quandary from happening again MORE and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantisCalifornia dreaming did not become reality for Republicans Florida landlord requiring proof of vaccinations from tenants Anthrax was the COVID-19 of 2001 MORE (R) are the two front-runners in a new poll of potential 2024 Republican candidates that does not include former President TrumpDonald TrumpOhio Republican who voted to impeach Trump says he won't seek reelection Youngkin breaks with Trump on whether Democrats will cheat in the Virginia governor's race Trump endorses challenger in Michigan AG race MORE.
A new survey obtained by The Hill from GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio, who polled for Trump’s 2020 campaign, shows Pence at 19 percent and DeSantis at 17 percent support among GOP primary voters in a potential nominating contest that does not include Trump. Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by National Industries for the Blind - Schumer: Dem unity will happen eventually; Newsom prevails The Memo: Like the dress or not, Ocasio-Cortez is driving the conversation again Ocasio-Cortez defends attendance of Met Gala amid GOP uproar MORE (R-Texas) is the only other contender to break double digits in the survey with 13 percent.
However, when Trump is thrown into the equation, they find themselves in a distant second and third place. When the former president is taken into account, Trump gets 51 percent support, trailed by Pence at 9 percent and DeSantis at 7 percent.
In a subset of the poll that only surveyed those who would vote for Trump, Pence and DeSantis are knotted up at 22 percent for who would be their second choice. Cruz comes in third with 19 percent.
“If President Trump chose not to run, it’s clear his supporters are already gravitating towards VP Mike Pence, FL. Gov. Ron DeSantis and Sen. Ted Cruz,” Fabrizio told Politico, which first reported on the poll.
The survey marks a warning sign for a slew of other possible presidential contenders who trail badly in every combination of the poll.
With Trump in the race, Cruz finds himself with just 3 percent support, while South Dakota Gov. Kristi NoemKristi Lynn NoemOSHA faces big challenge with Biden vaccine mandate Overnight Health Care — Departing FDA vaccine regulators argue against COVID-19 booster shots DeSantis: Local governments will face K fines for imposing vaccine mandates MORE, Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, Sens. Tom CottonTom Bryant CottonOvernight Defense & National Security — Milley becomes lightning rod Joint Chiefs Chairman Milley becomes lightning rod on right Overnight Energy & Environment — Presented by Climate Power — Senate Democrats ding Biden energy proposal MORE (R-Ark.) and Josh HawleyJoshua (Josh) David HawleyOvernight Defense & National Security — Milley becomes lightning rod Joint Chiefs Chairman Milley becomes lightning rod on right Hawley pledges to slow walk Biden's Pentagon, State picks over messy Afghanistan exit MORE (R-Mo.) and former Secretary of State Mike PompeoMike PompeoChristie, Pompeo named co-chairs of GOP redistricting group America needs a new strategy for Pacific Island Countries Harris to hold fundraiser for McAuliffe ahead of Virginia governor's race MORE, all hit just 1 percent. Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) gets zero percent.
Those numbers improve just slightly with Trump out of the race, with Noem and Pompeo finding themselves at 4 percent and Hawley at 2 percent. Hogan and Cotton remain at 1 percent, while Scott is bumped up to 1 percent.
While 2024 jockeying has already begun among several potential contenders, Pence has maintained a low profile since January. He broke his silence for the first time this week by publishing an op-ed in The Daily Signal calling into doubt the integrity of the 2020 election.
DeSantis, meanwhile, has seen his star rise within the GOP in large part due to his approach to the coronavirus pandemic. While Florida has suffered more than 32,000 deaths, DeSantis garnered praise for refusing to shut down his state. A survey from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy released on Monday found the governor with a 53 percent approval rating, up from his 45 percent approval rating in July.
Fabrizio’s poll surveyed 1,264 Republican voters from Feb. 20-March 2 and has a margin of error of 2.7 percent.