Kelly leads in all potential head-to-heads of Arizona Senate race: poll

Kelly leads in all potential head-to-heads of Arizona Senate race: poll
© Greg Nash

Sen. Mark KellyMark KellyDemocratic incumbents bolster fundraising advantage in key Senate races Warnock raises .5 million in third quarter Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover MORE (D-Ariz.) is leading in head-to-head match-ups with all of his potential Republican challengers in the Arizona Senate race, according to a new poll released Thursday.

The astronaut-turned-senator is seeking reelection in 2022 for a full Senate term. He was elected in 2020 to serve out the remaining term of the late Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainProgressives say go big and make life hard for GOP The Biden-Harris train wreck may have its savior: 2024 GOP nominee Donald Trump Kelly raises million in third quarter MORE (R-Ariz.), who died of brain cancer.

Republicans seeking to challenge Kelly include Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich, chief operating officer at Thiel Capital Blake Masters, founder of solar power company Depcom Power Jim Lamon and Retired Maj. Gen. Michael “Mick” McGuire.

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In a head-to-head match-up between Kelly and Brnovich, Kelly leads 43 percent to the attorney general’s 39 percent, according to a OH Predictive Insights survey. Kelly received 44 percent to McGuire’s 37 percent; 43 percent when paired against Lamon, who took in 36 percent; and 44 percent of versus Masters’s 35 percent.

The polling firm noted that although Kelly did not receive more than 45 percent among any of the head-to-head match-ups, 47 percent of voters think favorably of the senator versus 43 percent who think unfavorably of him.

“Evidently, Kelly is attempting to keep a low profile in an off-year while his opponents try to build up name recognition — a strategy that seems to be working, at least for now,” Mike Noble, OHPI's chief of research, said in a statement.

Cook Political Report rated Kelly's seat as "lean Democrat" in its Senate race ratings in July, along with three others — Sens. Raphael WarnockRaphael WarnockTom Glavine, Ric Flair, Doug Flutie to join Trump for Herschel Walker event Democratic incumbents bolster fundraising advantage in key Senate races Warnock raises .5 million in third quarter MORE (D-Ga.), Maggie HassanMargaret (Maggie) HassanDemocratic incumbents bolster fundraising advantage in key Senate races Warnock raises .5 million in third quarter McConnell-aligned group targeting Kelly, Cortez Masto and Hassan with M ad campaign MORE (D-N.H.) and Catherine Cortez MastoCatherine Marie Cortez MastoDemocratic incumbents bolster fundraising advantage in key Senate races Warnock raises .5 million in third quarter McConnell-aligned group targeting Kelly, Cortez Masto and Hassan with M ad campaign MORE (D-Nev.). 

Kelly’s race will be watched especially closely because Arizona was among a handful of swing states that President BidenJoe BidenPressure grows for breakthrough in Biden agenda talks State school board leaves national association saying they called parents domestic terrorists Sunday shows preview: Supply chain crisis threaten holiday sales; uncertainty over whether US can sustain nationwide downward trend in COVID-19 cases MORE won in 2020. A recent audit conducted by Cyber Ninjas confirmed Biden’s win in Maricopa County despite former President TrumpDonald TrumpMcAuliffe takes tougher stance on Democrats in Washington Democrats troll Trump over Virginia governor's race Tom Glavine, Ric Flair, Doug Flutie to join Trump for Herschel Walker event MORE and others who have continued to question the results of the last presidential election.