Trump leads in hypothetical 2024 GOP primary: poll

Trump leads in hypothetical 2024 GOP primary: poll
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Former President TrumpDonald TrumpBiden says Roe v. Wade under attack like 'never before' On student loans, Biden doesn't have an answer yet Grill company apologizes after sending meatloaf recipe on same day of rock star's death MORE maintains a dominant lead over other Republicans in a potential 2024 presidential primary, according to a new survey from Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll released exclusively to The Hill.

Trump gets the support of 47 percent of registered Republican and independent voters in a primary, 37 points higher than his nearest competitor, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantisRon DeSantisA newspaper crosses an uncrossable line to 'punish' a class of Americans Officials say starving manatees in Florida have begun to consume emergency lettuce Trans rights under attack: The persecution should stop now MORE (R), who comes in second with 10 percent.

No other contender breaks double digits, with former Vice President Mike PenceMichael (Mike) Richard PenceMan who threatened to kill Ocasio-Cortez, Pelosi pleads guilty to federal charges Giuliani led fake electors plot: CNN The Hill's 12:30 Report: Dems look to repackage BBB into salvageable bill MORE coming in third with 9 percent. Another 19 percent said they were unsure.


In a field in which Trump does not run, Pence holds a narrow lead, with 23 percent support, just ahead of DeSantis's 21 percent. In that field, Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzHillicon Valley — Senate panel advances major antitrust bill Senate panel advances bill blocking tech giants from favoring own products Lawmakers press Biden admin to send more military aid to Ukraine MORE (Texas) is the only other Republican breaking double digits, with 12 percent.

“Donald Trump remains the candidate to beat in the republican primary though he is below 50 percent, so he is not invincible. Gov. Ron DeSantis continues to strengthen despite limited recognition as the emerging next choice,” said pollster Mark PennMark PennMajority oppose overturning Roe v. Wade: poll More voters would pick Trump over Biden if election were held today: poll New poll shows challenges for Democrats ahead of 2022 MORE.

Trump has not definitively said if he’s running for the White House again, though his allies have predicted he’ll make a third presidential bid in 2024.

The latest poll tracks similar recent surveys that all show that Trump would be the overwhelming favorite to win the GOP nomination in 2024 should he choose to run.

However, the former president’s approval rating is underwater, with 44 percent of registered voters approving of him and 49 percent disapproving.

On the Democratic side, President BidenJoe BidenSunday shows preview: US reaffirms support for Ukraine amid threat of Russian invasion The Fed has a clear mandate to mitigate climate risks Biden says Roe v. Wade under attack like 'never before' MORE has indicated he will run, though some have speculated the 78-year-old will bow out after one term.

In a scenario in which Vice President Harris is the Democrat’s nominee in 2024, the poll shows she trails DeSantis by a 42 percent to 40 percent margin in a head-to-head match, while she would trail Sen. Tim ScottTimothy (Tim) Eugene ScottThese Senate seats are up for election in 2022 The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - Supreme Court allows lawsuits against Texas abortion ban Rapper French Montana talks opioid epidemic, immigration on Capitol Hill MORE (R-S.C.) by a 42 percent to 39 percent margin. She’s tied with former Secretary of State Mike PompeoMike PompeoSunday shows preview: US reaffirms support for Ukraine amid threat of Russian invasion Pence to deliver keynote at fundraising banquet for South Carolina-based pregnancy center Russia suggests military deployments to Cuba, Venezuela an option MORE at 41 percent among registered voters.

The survey from Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll was conducted among 1,578 registered voters Oct. 26-28. It is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll. 

The survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. As a representative online sample, it does not report a probability confidence interval.