The nonpartisan Cook Political Report on Friday moved the Dallas-area House district represented by Rep. Pete SessionsPeter Anderson SessionsCapitol Police dominate lawmakers in Congressional Football Game The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Emergent BioSolutions - Facebook upholds Trump ban; GOP leaders back Stefanik to replace Cheney Ex-Trump aide Pierson planning run for Congress MORE (R-Texas) to a "toss-up" in its ratings of top races.
Sessions's suburban Dallas district could be ripe for a tough challenge from Democrats, especially since the district voted for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Democrats see victory in a voting rights defeat Left laughs off floated changes to 2024 ticket A year into his presidency, Biden is polling at an all-time low MORE in 2016.
Pointing to polling data shared with the group, Cook argued that Sessions, the chairman of the House Rules Committee, is "at the moment, the most vulnerable incumbent in the Lone Star State."
His opponent in this year's election, civil rights attorney and former NFL player Colin Allred, won the Democratic runoff with 70 percent of the vote. Allred raised $1 million during the primary phase and has $262,000 in cash on hand.
Democrats are expected to heavily invest in the seat — the House Majority PAC, the super PAC aligned with Democratic efforts to flip the House, has already booked more than $2 million in television advertising time in Dallas.
Meanwhile, Sessions had $1.5 million in his bank account as of the end of March. While Sessions himself hasn't had to run a tough race in more than a decade, he previously chaired the National Republican Congressional Committee and is expected to receives strong financial backing from the party.
Sessions is one of a number of Republican incumbents who face tough reelection races this year in Texas. Democrats are mounting credible challenges against Reps. John CulbersonJohn Abney CulbersonNASA's Europa Clipper has been liberated from the Space Launch System Texas Republicans sound post-2020 alarm bells 2020 Democratic Party platform endorses Trump's NASA moon program MORE (R) and Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdHillicon Valley — YouTube takes some heat Former GOP rep: Social media companies should be able to suspend Trump, others for 'boldfaced lies' Hillicon Valley — Presented by Ericsson — Tackling the misinformation 'crisis' MORE (R) as well.
Democrats currently hold a 6-point advantage over Republicans on a generic House ballot, according to a poll from the left-leaning Public Policy Polling released this week.