Cook Report shifts 9 House races toward Dems day before election

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted nine House races toward Democrats in a new forecast published Monday, the day before the midterm elections. 

Cook moved one race, an open seat in Washington where Rep. Dave ReichertDavid (Dave) George ReichertBottom Line The most expensive congressional races of the last decade Lymphedema Treatment Act would provide a commonsense solution to a fixable problem MORE (R) is retiring, to "leaning Democrat" from "toss-up."

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It moved two more races from "lean Republican" to toss-up. The first is in Pennsylvania, where House Freedom Caucus member Rep. Scott PerryScott Gordon PerryDCCC to run ads tying 11 House Republicans to Trump remarks on entitlements Koch network could target almost 200 races in 2020, official says Overnight Health Care: New drug price hikes set stage for 2020 fight | Conservative group to spend M attacking Pelosi drug plan | Study finds Medicaid expansion improved health in Southern states MORE (R) is facing a tough reelection fight. The second is Georgia's 6th District, where Karen HandelKaren Christine HandelThe most expensive congressional races of the last decade Georgia ready for unpredictable Senate race Hundreds apply to fill Isakson's Senate seat in Georgia MORE, who won an expensive special election race in 2017, is in a tough race. The district was once held by former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R).  

Another race that Democrats are already favored to win, a seat now held by the retiring Rep. Darrell IssaDarrell Edward IssaDuncan Hunter to plead guilty to campaign finance violations Why the GOP march of mad hatters poses a threat to our Democracy Elijah Cummings, native son of Baltimore, gets emotional send-off from Democratic luminaries MORE, was moved from leaning to "likely Democrat."

In five other races shifted by Cook, the GOP is still favored to win. But the shift shows the races are closer than expected and points to the large number of seats the GOP is being forced to defend.

Three races — in Texas's 6th and 10th congressional districts and in West Virginia's 2nd District — moved from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican." Two other races — Florida's 25th and 6th districts, went from likely Republican to leaning Republican.

The only race that shifted in favor of Republicans was Arizona's 1st Congressional District, where incumbent Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D-Ariz.) is facing Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. That race was shifted from likely Democrat to leaning Democrat.

The movement is the latest indication that Democrats have the upper-hand in the House prior to Tuesday's midterms, when Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to regain control of the lower chamber. 

The previous Cook ratings were released on Oct. 30.