The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority

Republicans are eyeing a path to the House majority that takes them through Trump country.

The GOP has already put 55 districts held by Democrats on its target list for 2020. But Republican hopes are highest in the 31 districts that President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump on Kanye West's presidential run: 'He is always going to be for us' Marie Yovanovitch on Vindman retirement: He 'deserved better than this. Our country deserved better than this' Trump says Biden has been 'brainwashed': 'He's been taken over by the radical left' MORE carried in 2016. That includes 13 districts where the real estate mogul bested Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonTrump to visit Georgia next week Former NY Rep. Claudia Tenney to face Anthony Brindisi in House rematch Powell takes on Trump over Confederate flag MORE by more than 6 points.

ADVERTISEMENT

Meanwhile, only three GOP lawmakers hold districts where Clinton won in 2016 — Reps. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdOVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Key impeachment witness retires | Duckworth presses for information | Subpanel advances defense measure | Democrats press for end to military transgender ban Karen Bass's star rises after leading police reform push The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - States are pausing reopening MORE (Texas), John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoDemocrats release bilingual ads on police reform bill Lawmakers introduce legislation to establish national cybersecurity director Progressives riding high as votes tabulated in NY, Kentucky MORE (N.Y.) and Brian FitzpatrickBrian K. FitzpatrickKaren Bass's star rises after leading police reform push The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - States are pausing reopening Democrats release bilingual ads on police reform bill MORE (Pa.).

Those lawmakers are among 33 Republicans that Democrats are hoping to oust in 2020 as the party looks to expand its nascent House majority.

Republicans need to pick up roughly 20 seats to win back control of the lower chamber.

Here’s a look at where next year’s battles for the House will be fought:

Trump-won districts held by Democrats

AZ-01

Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) held onto his seat in November after notching a decisive 7.6-point victory over Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. Trump edged out Clinton in Arizona’s 1st District in 2016 by just over 1 point.

GA-06

Rep. Lucy McBathLucia (Lucy) Kay McBathPPP poll finds Biden leading in Georgia If Georgia primary was an attempt at voter suppression, it failed badly Floyd's brother urges Congress to take action MORE’s (D-Ga.) 2018 victory in Georgia’s 6th District brought former Rep. Karen HandelKaren Christine HandelPPP poll finds Biden leading in Georgia Jon Ossoff to challenge David Perdue after winning Georgia Democratic primary The Hill's Campaign Report: Bad polling data is piling up for Trump MORE’s (R-Ga.) brief tenure in the House to an end and handed Democrats a House seat they had aggressively sought in a 2017 special election. Trump won there in 2016 by 1.5 points.

IL-14

Rep. Lauren UnderwoodLauren UnderwoodThe Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump wins by losing in the Supreme Court The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump takes on CDC over schools The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Teachers' union President Randi Weingarten calls Trump administration plan to reopen schools 'a train wreck'; US surpasses 3 million COVID-19 cases MORE (D-Ill.) dethroned four-term former Rep. Randy HultgrenRandall (Randy) Mark HultgrenRepublican challenging freshman Dem rep says he raised 0,000 in 6 days Illinois Dems offer bill to raise SALT deduction cap The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MORE (R-Ill.) in November to become the youngest black woman ever elected to Congress. Trump notched a nearly 4-point win in her district in 2016, however, and the GOP is looking to turn it red again in 2020.

IL-17

Rep. Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosTime for a Democratic reckoning on race  Karen Bass's star rises after leading police reform push GOP pulls support from California House candidate over 'unacceptable' social media posts MORE (D-Ill.) easily coasted to a fourth term in 2018, beating back a challenge from Republican Bill Fawell. She’s currently the chairwoman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), meaning that she’ll be tasked with preserving the Democrats’ House majority in 2020, along with her own seat. Trump notched a slim 0.7-point victory in her district in 2016.

IA-01

Rep. Abby FinkenauerAbby Lea FinkenauerYoung leaders and young activists prove we can fulfill the promise of 'justice for all' Democrats gain lead in three of Iowa's four House districts: poll The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump, GOP on defense as nationwide protests continue MORE (D-Iowa) ousted two-term former Rep. Rod Blum (R-Iowa) in this northeast Iowa district in November — one of two Iowa districts that Democrats managed to flip in 2018, along with the state’s 3rd District. Still, Trump won there by about 3.5 points two years earlier.

IA-02

Rep. Dave LoebsackDavid (Dave) Wayne LoebsackRepublican Mariannette Miller-Meeks to face Democrat Rita Hart in open House race in Iowa Key races to watch in Tuesday's primaries House Democrats make initial ad buys in battleground states MORE (D-Iowa) secured a seventh term in the House last year, beating back a challenge from Republican Christopher Peters. Trump won his southeastern Iowa district two years earlier by a roughly 4-point margin.

IA-03

Rep. Cindy AxneCindy AxneDemocrats gain lead in three of Iowa's four House districts: poll The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas says country needs to rethink what 'policing' means; US cases surpass 2 million with no end to pandemic in sight Former Rep. David Young wins GOP primary in bid for old House seat MORE’s (D-Iowa) win over former Rep. David YoungDavid Edmund YoungDemocrats gain lead in three of Iowa's four House districts: poll Former Rep. David Young wins GOP primary in bid for old House seat Trump lends support to swing district Republicans MORE (R-Iowa) gave Democrats more good news in the Hawkeye State; it was among key wins there that handed the party three spots in Iowa’s four-member House delegation. Trump won the district in 2016 by 3.5 points.

ME-02

Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) may not have won the most votes on Election Day. But thanks to Maine’s recent switch to ranked-choice voting, he finished with enough votes to defeat former Rep. Bruce PoliquinBruce Lee PoliquinHouse Democrats make initial ad buys in battleground states The 5 most vulnerable senators in 2020 Maine Democrat announces he'll vote for only one article of impeachment against Trump MORE (R-Maine) days after polls closed. Trump previously won Maine’s 2nd District by more than 10 points.

MI-08

Rep. Elissa SlotkinElissa SlotkinWill Congress finally address toxic 'forever chemicals?' Overnight Defense: Trump's move to use military in US sparks backlash | Defense officials take heat | Air Force head calls Floyd's death 'a national tragedy' Democrats blast Trump's use of military against protests MORE (D-Mich.) ousted former Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.) in Michigan’s 8th District, two years after Trump scored a nearly 7-point win over Clinton. Slotkin’s victory was seen by many as a sign of a Democratic resurgence in the Upper Midwest, an area that played a crucial role in sending Trump to the White House.

MI-11

Rep. Haley StevensHaley Maria StevensThe Hill's Campaign Report: Buzz builds around Warren for VP Gun control group rolls out House endorsements Human Rights Campaign rolls out congressional endorsements on Equality Act anniversary MORE (D-Mich.) defeated Republican Lena Epstein in November in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. David Trott (R-Mich.). In doing so, she became the first Democrat elected to a full two-year term in Michigan’s 11th District since 1964. Trump previously won her district by more than 3 points.

MN-02

In defeating freshman former Rep. Jason LewisJason Mark LewisTwo swing-district Democrats raise impeachment calls after whistleblower reports GOP Senate candidate said Republicans have 'dual loyalties' to Israel The Hill's Campaign Report: Democratic field begins to shrink ahead of critical stretch MORE (R-Minn.) last year, Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) handed Democrats a crucial victory in a coveted swing seat. Trump notched a victory in the suburban Twin Cities district two years earlier, besting Clinton by little more than 1 point.

MN-07

Rep. Collin PetersonCollin Clark PetersonHouse approves statehood for DC in 232-180 vote House to pass sweeping police reform legislation From farmers to grocery store clerks, thank you to all of our food system MORE (D-Minn.) won a 15th term representing this vast western Minnesota district in 2018, despite Trump’s nearly 31-point victory there two years earlier. That alone makes him a prime target for Republicans in 2020.

NV-03

Rep. Susie LeeSuzanne (Susie) Kelley LeeMORE’s (D-Nev.) win over Republican Danny Tarkanian kept Nevada’s 3rd District in Democratic hands after Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenUS lawmakers call on EU to label entire Hezbollah a terrorist organization The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Mnuchin sees 'strong likelihood' of another relief package; Warner says some businesses 'may not come back' at The Hill's Advancing America's Economy summit The Hill's Coronavirus Report: CDC Director Redfield responds to Navarro criticism; Mnuchin and Powell brief Senate panel MORE (D-Nev.) vacated the seat to run for Senate. Trump carried the district by 1 point over Clinton in 2016.

NH-01

Rep. Chris PappasChristopher (Chris) Charles PappasTrade groups make lobbying push to be included in small business loan program Expanding tax credit for businesses retaining workers gains bipartisan support The Hill's Campaign Report: Buzz builds around Warren for VP MORE’s (D-N.H.) 8.6-point win over Republican Eddie Edwards in 2018 kept New Hampshire’s 1st District in Democratic hands after former Rep. Carol Shea-PorterCarol Shea-PorterThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority New Hampshire New Members 2019 Democrat Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire House seat MORE (D-N.H.) announced that she would not seek reelection. That win was a relief for Democrats after Trump narrowly won the district in 2016.

NJ-02

Rep. Jefferson Van Drew (D-N.J.) won New Jersey’s 2nd District in November after going up against Trump-backed Republican Seth Grossman in his bid to succeed former Rep. Frank LoBiondoFrank Alo LoBiondoVan Drew wins GOP primary in New Jersey Amy Kennedy wins NJ primary to face GOP's Van Drew Stimulus price tag of .2T falls way short, some experts say MORE (R-N.J.), who retired in January. Trump beat out Clinton in the district by nearly 5 points.

NJ-03

Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) unseated two-term former Rep. Tom MacArthurThomas (Tom) Charles MacArthurWhat to watch in New Jersey's primaries on Tuesday Republicans plot comeback in New Jersey Republicans spend more than million at Trump properties MORE (R-N.J.) in November, a win that left only one Republican in New Jersey’s congressional delegation, Rep. Chris SmithChristopher (Chris) Henry SmithNew Jersey incumbents steamroll progressive challengers in primaries Republican Rep. Chris Smith easily wins primary in New Jersey NY, NJ lawmakers call for more aid to help fight coronavirus MORE. But Trump still carried the district by more than 6 points in 2016, making Kim’s seat a prime target for the GOP in 2020.

NJ-05

Rep. Josh GottheimerJoshua (Josh) GottheimerThe Hill's Campaign Report: Florida's coronavirus surge raises questions about GOP convention New Jersey Rep. Gottheimer wins House primary New Jersey incumbents steamroll progressive challengers in primaries MORE (D-N.J.) easily fended off a challenge from Republican John McCann in November, despite Trump’s narrow 1.1-point victory in the district. While Gottheimer’s win bolstered Democratic hopes in the district, Republicans still see the two-term congressman as a target in 2020.

NJ-11

Rep. Mikie SherrillRebecca (Mikie) Michelle SherrillNew Jersey incumbents steamroll progressive challengers in primaries The Hill's Morning Report - Republicans shift, urge people to wear masks Gun control group rolls out House endorsements MORE (D-N.J.) beat out Republican Jay Webber by nearly 15 points in 2018 in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. Rodney FrelinghuysenRodney Procter FrelinghuysenBottom line Republican lobbying firms riding high despite uncertainty of 2020 race Ex-Rep. Frelinghuysen joins law and lobby firm MORE (R-N.J.). Sherrill was the first Democrat elected to represent the district in the House since 1982, and Republicans are eager to take it back in 2020. Trump carried the district by just under 1 point in 2016.

NM-02

Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-N.M.) won the right to succeed former Rep. Steve PearceStevan (Steve) Edward PearceFive Latinas who could be Biden's running mate New Mexico Dems brace for crowded race to succeed Udall The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MORE (R-N.M.) in this vast southern New Mexico district after narrowly overcoming a challenge from Republican Yvette Herrell in November. Trump carried the district in 2016 by roughly 10 points.

NY-11

In defeating former Rep. Dan Donovan (R-N.Y.) last year, Rep. Max RoseMax RoseAlarm grows over Americans stranded in Yemen amid pandemic Moderate House Democrats introduce bill aimed at stopping China from exploiting coronavirus pandemic Republican Nicole Malliotakis wins New York primary to challenge Max Rose MORE (D-N.Y.) dethroned the only Republican member of New York City’s congressional delegation. Trump won the Staten Island district two years earlier by a nearly 10-point margin.

NY-18

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) sailed to an easy victory over Republican James O’Donnell last year after an unsuccessful primary bid for New York attorney general. Trump notched a narrow win in Maloney’s district in 2016, edging out Clinton by less than 2 points.

NY-19

Rep. Antonio DelgadoAntonio Ramon DelgadoHispanic Democrats build capital with big primary wins The Hill's Campaign Report: Buzz builds around Warren for VP Gun control group rolls out House endorsements MORE (D-N.Y.) ousted former Rep. John FasoJohn James FasoThe most expensive congressional races of the last decade The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority GOP House super PAC targets two freshman Dems with new ads MORE (R) in 2018 after a bitter campaign in which some Republican groups attacked Delgado over his past career as a rapper. Trump carried the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

NY-22

Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D-N.Y.) wrestled this district from one-term former Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.) in November after voters there chose Trump over Clinton by a more than 15-point margin. But Brindisi’s victory was a tight one — less than 2 points — and he’s almost certain to face an aggressive GOP challenge next year.

OK-05

In what was one of election night 2018’s biggest upsets, Rep. Kendra HornKendra Suzanne HornModerate House Democrats introduce bill aimed at stopping China from exploiting coronavirus pandemic House panel votes against curtailing Insurrection Act powers after heated debate Terry Neese, Stephanie Bice head to Oklahoma GOP runoff MORE (D-Okla.) defeated former Rep. Steve RussellSteven (Steve) Dane RussellTerry Neese, Stephanie Bice head to Oklahoma GOP runoff Kendra Horn wins Democratic House primary in Oklahoma Bloomberg builds momentum on Capitol Hill with new endorsements MORE (R-Okla.), turning Oklahoma’s 5th District blue for the first time in more than 40 years. But with Trump’s roughly 13-point victory there in 2016, Horn’s reelection is far from sealed.

PA-08

Rep. Matt CartwrightMatthew (Matt) Alton CartwrightFive takeaways from PPP loan data Lawmaker-linked businesses received PPP loans OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Dems press Trump consumer safety nominee on chemical issues | Lawmakers weigh how to help struggling energy industry | 180 Democrats ask House leadership for clean energy assistance MORE (D-Pa.) won a fourth term in the House in November after beating back a challenge from Republican John Chrin in Pennsylvania’s newly formed 8th District. Previously, Cartwright had represented the state’s 17th District. Trump won the area by nearly 10 points.

PA-17

Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) won his first House seat in the March 2018 special election for Pennsylvania’s 18th District. But redistricting led him to face off against former Rep. Keith RothfusKeith James RothfusLobbying world Conor Lamb gets 2020 challenger touted by Trump The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MORE (R-Pa.) in the state’s 17th District in November. He won that race by nearly 13 points, despite Trump’s 2.6-point victory there in 2016.

SC-01

Rep. Joe CunninghamJoseph CunninghamHarrison goes on the attack against Graham in new South Carolina Senate ad Club for Growth unleashes financial juggernaut for 2020 races Focus shifts to House after Senate passes major public lands bill MORE (D-S.C.) vanquished former South Carolina state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) in this low country district last year, becoming the first Democrat to represent it in Washington since the 1980s. Trump carried the district by about 13 points in 2016.

UT-04

Rep. Ben McAdams (D-Utah) was declared the winner in this district last year after a prolonged vote-counting process gave him an ultra-thin 694-lead over two-term former Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveFormer NFL player Burgess Owens wins Utah GOP primary The Hill's Campaign Report: The political heavyweights in Tuesday's primary fights The biggest political upsets of the decade MORE (R-Utah). That margin — 0.258 percent — was just over the 0.25 percent that would have allowed for a recount. Trump beat out Clinton in the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

VA-02

Rep. Elaine LuriaElaine Goodman LuriaHouse panel votes against curtailing Insurrection Act powers after heated debate Republican Scott Taylor wins Virginia primary, to face Elaine Luria in rematch National Retail Federation hosts virtual 'store tours' for lawmakers amid coronavirus MORE’s (D-Va.) win over former Rep. Scott TaylorScott William TaylorBottom line Republican Scott Taylor wins Virginia primary, to face Elaine Luria in rematch Avenatti held in El Chapo's old jail cell, lawyers say MORE (R-Va.) in Virginia’s 2nd District was among three Democratic victories that flipped GOP-held seats in the Old Dominion. Trump previously scored a 3.4-point victory in the district.

VA-07

Rep. Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Davis SpanbergerBipartisan lawmakers introduce bill to limit further expansion of 2001 Authorization for Use of Military Force Trade groups make lobbying push to be included in small business loan program Virginia GOP to pick House nominee after candidate misses filing deadline MORE (D-Va.) vanquished former Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.) in this Richmond-area district, winning the right to succeed a conservative firebrand who rose to power at the height of the Tea Party movement four years earlier. Trump won Virginia’s 7th District by 6.5 points in 2016.

WI-03

Despite Trump’s 2016 victory in this western Wisconsin district, Rep. Ron KindRonald (Ron) James KindBottom line Coronavirus culture war over reopening economy hits Capitol Hill How the GOP hopes to overcome steep odds in House battle MORE (D-Wis.) secured a 12th term in the House last year, scoring a nearly 20-point victory over Republican Steve Toft. His win was another welcome sign for Democrats for signs of strength in the upper Midwest.

Clinton-won districts held by Republicans

NY-24

Despite Clinton’s 3.6-point win in his district in 2016, Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) notched a roughly 5-point victory over his Democratic challenger, Dana Balter in 2018. Democrats aren’t giving up, however. Katko is on the DCCC’s target list for 2020.

PA-01

After an expensive and closely watched race against wealthy philanthropist Scott Wallace in 2018, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick secured a second term in the House. Fitzpatrick’s win in a district that Clinton carried by 2 points stood in contrast to a long series of losses by other Republicans in suburban districts across the country. Still, that has left Democrats eager to challenge him again next year.

TX-23

Rep. Will Hurd’s (R-Texas) vast district on the U.S.-Mexico border has long been on Democrats’ wish list. He successfully fought off an aggressive challenge from Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones last year — Hurd won by just 0.5 points — and Democrats are hoping for a different outcome in 2020. Clinton carried the district by 3.4 points over Trump in 2016.