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The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority

Republicans are eyeing a path to the House majority that takes them through Trump country.

The GOP has already put 55 districts held by Democrats on its target list for 2020. But Republican hopes are highest in the 31 districts that President TrumpDonald John TrumpHillary Clinton responds to Chrissy Teigen tweet: 'I love you back' Police called after Florida moms refuse to wear face masks at school board meeting about mask policy Supreme Court rejects Trump effort to shorten North Carolina mail-ballot deadline MORE carried in 2016. That includes 13 districts where the real estate mogul bested Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonHillary Clinton responds to Chrissy Teigen tweet: 'I love you back' Trump fights for battleground Arizona Biden leads Trump by 12 in new national poll MORE by more than 6 points.

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Meanwhile, only three GOP lawmakers hold districts where Clinton won in 2016 — Reps. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdDemocrats seek wave to bolster House majority Trump predicts GOP will win the House Changing suburbs threaten GOP hold on Texas MORE (Texas), John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoWarren, Porter to headline progressive fundraiser supporting seven swing state candidates Trump fuels and frustrates COVID-19 relief talks Trump says talks on COVID-19 aid are now 'working out' MORE (N.Y.) and Brian FitzpatrickBrian K. FitzpatrickLawmakers urge IRS to get stimulus payments to domestic violence survivors Hopes for DC, Puerto Rico statehood rise Florida Democrat introduces bill to recognize Puerto Rico statehood referendum MORE (Pa.).

Those lawmakers are among 33 Republicans that Democrats are hoping to oust in 2020 as the party looks to expand its nascent House majority.

Republicans need to pick up roughly 20 seats to win back control of the lower chamber.

Here’s a look at where next year’s battles for the House will be fought:

Trump-won districts held by Democrats

AZ-01

Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) held onto his seat in November after notching a decisive 7.6-point victory over Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. Trump edged out Clinton in Arizona’s 1st District in 2016 by just over 1 point.

GA-06

Rep. Lucy McBathLucia (Lucy) Kay McBathBiden pushes into Trump territory This week: House returns for pre-election sprint House Democrats' campaign arm reserves .6M in ads in competitive districts MORE’s (D-Ga.) 2018 victory in Georgia’s 6th District brought former Rep. Karen HandelKaren Christine HandelHouse Democrats' campaign arm reserves .6M in ads in competitive districts Black Lives Matter movement to play elevated role at convention QAnon backer Marjorie Taylor Greene wins Georgia GOP runoff MORE’s (R-Ga.) brief tenure in the House to an end and handed Democrats a House seat they had aggressively sought in a 2017 special election. Trump won there in 2016 by 1.5 points.

IL-14

Rep. Lauren UnderwoodLauren UnderwoodIs there a nurse in the 'House'? Hillicon Valley: Congressional antitrust report rips tech firms | Facebook tightens ban on QAnon content | Social media groups urged to weed out disinformation targeting minority voters Officials urge social media groups to weed out election disinformation targeting minority voters MORE (D-Ill.) dethroned four-term former Rep. Randy HultgrenRandall (Randy) Mark HultgrenRepublican challenging freshman Dem rep says he raised 0,000 in 6 days Illinois Dems offer bill to raise SALT deduction cap The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MORE (R-Ill.) in November to become the youngest black woman ever elected to Congress. Trump notched a nearly 4-point win in her district in 2016, however, and the GOP is looking to turn it red again in 2020.

IL-17

Rep. Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosGOP sees chance to take out Democratic House campaign chief Energized by polls, House Democrats push deeper into GOP territory Cook Report shifts 12 House races, all but one toward Democrats MORE (D-Ill.) easily coasted to a fourth term in 2018, beating back a challenge from Republican Bill Fawell. She’s currently the chairwoman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), meaning that she’ll be tasked with preserving the Democrats’ House majority in 2020, along with her own seat. Trump notched a slim 0.7-point victory in her district in 2016.

IA-01

Rep. Abby FinkenauerAbby Lea FinkenauerTrump looms over Ernst's tough reelection fight in Iowa Democrats lead in 3 of 4 Iowa House races: poll Centrist Democrats got their COVID bill, now they want a vote MORE (D-Iowa) ousted two-term former Rep. Rod Blum (R-Iowa) in this northeast Iowa district in November — one of two Iowa districts that Democrats managed to flip in 2018, along with the state’s 3rd District. Still, Trump won there by about 3.5 points two years earlier.

IA-02

Rep. Dave LoebsackDavid (Dave) Wayne LoebsackDemocrats lead in 3 of 4 Iowa House races: poll House Democrats target Midwestern GOP seats The Hill's Campaign Report: Physician candidates lean on medical experience amid coronavirus campaigning MORE (D-Iowa) secured a seventh term in the House last year, beating back a challenge from Republican Christopher Peters. Trump won his southeastern Iowa district two years earlier by a roughly 4-point margin.

IA-03

Rep. Cindy AxneCindy AxneTrump looms over Ernst's tough reelection fight in Iowa Democrats lead in 3 of 4 Iowa House races: poll The Hill's Morning Report - Trump, first lady in quarantine after testing positive for COVID-19 MORE’s (D-Iowa) win over former Rep. David YoungDavid Edmund YoungDemocrats lead in 3 of 4 Iowa House races: poll Eric Idle threatens to sue GOP committee over use of Monty Python song in ad Trump: DeJoy should be removed if it 'can be proven that he did something wrong' MORE (R-Iowa) gave Democrats more good news in the Hawkeye State; it was among key wins there that handed the party three spots in Iowa’s four-member House delegation. Trump won the district in 2016 by 3.5 points.

ME-02

Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) may not have won the most votes on Election Day. But thanks to Maine’s recent switch to ranked-choice voting, he finished with enough votes to defeat former Rep. Bruce PoliquinBruce Lee PoliquinBallot measures across US aim to overhaul voting practices Dale Crafts wins Maine GOP primary to face Rep. Jared Golden House Democrats make initial ad buys in battleground states MORE (R-Maine) days after polls closed. Trump previously won Maine’s 2nd District by more than 10 points.

MI-08

Rep. Elissa SlotkinElissa SlotkinBipartisan lawmakers call for overhauling medical supply chains The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - One week out, where the Trump, Biden race stands The Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Justice Barrett joins court; one week until Election Day MORE (D-Mich.) ousted former Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.) in Michigan’s 8th District, two years after Trump scored a nearly 7-point win over Clinton. Slotkin’s victory was seen by many as a sign of a Democratic resurgence in the Upper Midwest, an area that played a crucial role in sending Trump to the White House.

MI-11

Rep. Haley StevensHaley Maria StevensUS Chamber of Commerce set to endorse 23 House freshman Democrats Eric Esshaki wins Michigan GOP primary to challenge Haley Stevens The Hill's Campaign Report: Buzz builds around Warren for VP MORE (D-Mich.) defeated Republican Lena Epstein in November in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. David Trott (R-Mich.). In doing so, she became the first Democrat elected to a full two-year term in Michigan’s 11th District since 1964. Trump previously won her district by more than 3 points.

MN-02

In defeating freshman former Rep. Jason LewisJason Mark LewisThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Justice Barrett joins court; one week until Election Day The Hill's Campaign Report: Trump, Biden prepare to make final pitches to voters Minnesota Senate candidate Jason Lewis undergoes 'successful' hernia surgery MORE (R-Minn.) last year, Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) handed Democrats a crucial victory in a coveted swing seat. Trump notched a victory in the suburban Twin Cities district two years earlier, besting Clinton by little more than 1 point.

MN-07

Rep. Collin PetersonCollin Clark PetersonDemocrats seek wave to bolster House majority Energized by polls, House Democrats push deeper into GOP territory Democrats, GOP fighting over largest House battlefield in a decade MORE (D-Minn.) won a 15th term representing this vast western Minnesota district in 2018, despite Trump’s nearly 31-point victory there two years earlier. That alone makes him a prime target for Republicans in 2020.

NV-03

Rep. Susie LeeSuzanne (Susie) Kelley LeeMORE’s (D-Nev.) win over Republican Danny Tarkanian kept Nevada’s 3rd District in Democratic hands after Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenHouse Democrats introduce bill to invest 0 billion in STEM research and education Hillicon Valley: Productivity, fatigue, cybersecurity emerge as top concerns amid pandemic | Facebook critics launch alternative oversight board | Google to temporarily bar election ads after polls close Lawmakers introduce legislation to boost cybersecurity of local governments, small businesses MORE (D-Nev.) vacated the seat to run for Senate. Trump carried the district by 1 point over Clinton in 2016.

NH-01

Rep. Chris PappasChristopher (Chris) Charles PappasCentrist Democrats got their COVID bill, now they want a vote Trump-backed candidate wins NH GOP primary to take on Pappas Democrats demand Esper explicitly ban Confederate flag and allow Pride, Native Nations flags MORE’s (D-N.H.) 8.6-point win over Republican Eddie Edwards in 2018 kept New Hampshire’s 1st District in Democratic hands after former Rep. Carol Shea-PorterCarol Shea-PorterThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority New Hampshire New Members 2019 Democrat Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire House seat MORE (D-N.H.) announced that she would not seek reelection. That win was a relief for Democrats after Trump narrowly won the district in 2016.

NJ-02

Rep. Jefferson Van Drew (D-N.J.) won New Jersey’s 2nd District in November after going up against Trump-backed Republican Seth Grossman in his bid to succeed former Rep. Frank LoBiondoFrank Alo LoBiondoVan Drew wins GOP primary in New Jersey Amy Kennedy wins NJ primary to face GOP's Van Drew Stimulus price tag of .2T falls way short, some experts say MORE (R-N.J.), who retired in January. Trump beat out Clinton in the district by nearly 5 points.

NJ-03

Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) unseated two-term former Rep. Tom MacArthurThomas (Tom) Charles MacArthurChamber-backed Democrats embrace endorsements in final stretch Republican David Richter wins NJ primary in race to challenge Rep. Andy Kim What to watch in New Jersey's primaries on Tuesday MORE (R-N.J.) in November, a win that left only one Republican in New Jersey’s congressional delegation, Rep. Chris SmithChristopher (Chris) Henry SmithWoman tased, arrested for trespassing for not wearing mask at Ohio football game China sanctioning Rubio, Cruz in retaliatory move over Hong Kong China sanctions Cruz, Rubio, others over Xinjiang legislation MORE. But Trump still carried the district by more than 6 points in 2016, making Kim’s seat a prime target for the GOP in 2020.

NJ-05

Rep. Josh GottheimerJoshua (Josh) GottheimerTrump fuels and frustrates COVID-19 relief talks Trump's illness sparks new urgency for COVID-19 deal House approves .2T COVID-19 relief bill as White House talks stall MORE (D-N.J.) easily fended off a challenge from Republican John McCann in November, despite Trump’s narrow 1.1-point victory in the district. While Gottheimer’s win bolstered Democratic hopes in the district, Republicans still see the two-term congressman as a target in 2020.

NJ-11

Rep. Mikie SherrillRebecca (Mikie) Michelle SherrillOvernight Defense: Armed Services chairman unsold on slashing defense budget | Democratic Senate report details 'damage, chaos' of Trump foreign policy | Administration approves .8B Taiwan arms sales Democratic House chairman trusts Pentagon won't follow 'unlawful orders' on election involvement Overnight Defense: National Guard says no federal requests for election security help | Dems accuse VA head of misusing resources | Army official links COVID-19 to troop suicides MORE (D-N.J.) beat out Republican Jay Webber by nearly 15 points in 2018 in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. Rodney FrelinghuysenRodney Procter FrelinghuysenBottom line Republican lobbying firms riding high despite uncertainty of 2020 race Ex-Rep. Frelinghuysen joins law and lobby firm MORE (R-N.J.). Sherrill was the first Democrat elected to represent the district in the House since 1982, and Republicans are eager to take it back in 2020. Trump carried the district by just under 1 point in 2016.

NM-02

Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-N.M.) won the right to succeed former Rep. Steve PearceStevan (Steve) Edward PearceNew Mexico Democrat releases final Spanish-language ad in toss-up race Five Latinas who could be Biden's running mate New Mexico Dems brace for crowded race to succeed Udall MORE (R-N.M.) in this vast southern New Mexico district after narrowly overcoming a challenge from Republican Yvette Herrell in November. Trump carried the district in 2016 by roughly 10 points.

NY-11

In defeating former Rep. Dan Donovan (R-N.Y.) last year, Rep. Max RoseMax RoseDemocrats seek wave to bolster House majority Centrist Democrats got their COVID bill, now they want a vote Lawmakers fear voter backlash over failure to reach COVID-19 relief deal MORE (D-N.Y.) dethroned the only Republican member of New York City’s congressional delegation. Trump won the Staten Island district two years earlier by a nearly 10-point margin.

NY-18

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) sailed to an easy victory over Republican James O’Donnell last year after an unsuccessful primary bid for New York attorney general. Trump notched a narrow win in Maloney’s district in 2016, edging out Clinton by less than 2 points.

NY-19

Rep. Antonio DelgadoAntonio Ramon DelgadoGOP leader says he doesn't want Chamber's endorsement: 'They have sold out' US Chamber of Commerce set to endorse 23 House freshman Democrats Democrats go big on diversity with new House recruits MORE (D-N.Y.) ousted former Rep. John FasoJohn James FasoDemocrats go big on diversity with new House recruits Kyle Van De Water wins New York GOP primary to challenge Rep. Antonio Delgado The most expensive congressional races of the last decade MORE (R) in 2018 after a bitter campaign in which some Republican groups attacked Delgado over his past career as a rapper. Trump carried the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

NY-22

Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D-N.Y.) wrestled this district from one-term former Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.) in November after voters there chose Trump over Clinton by a more than 15-point margin. But Brindisi’s victory was a tight one — less than 2 points — and he’s almost certain to face an aggressive GOP challenge next year.

OK-05

In what was one of election night 2018’s biggest upsets, Rep. Kendra HornKendra Suzanne HornBiden's oil stance jars Democrats in tough races Biden: 'I would transition from the oil industry' Energized by polls, House Democrats push deeper into GOP territory MORE (D-Okla.) defeated former Rep. Steve RussellSteven (Steve) Dane RussellGOP women's group launches six-figure campaign for House candidate Bice Bice wins Oklahoma GOP runoff to face Horn in November House Democrats target Midwestern GOP seats MORE (R-Okla.), turning Oklahoma’s 5th District blue for the first time in more than 40 years. But with Trump’s roughly 13-point victory there in 2016, Horn’s reelection is far from sealed.

PA-08

Rep. Matt CartwrightMatthew (Matt) Alton CartwrightThe Hill's Campaign Report: Democrats break fundraising records in Senate races Races heat up for House leadership posts Trump Jr. seeks to elect 'new blood' to Republican Party MORE (D-Pa.) won a fourth term in the House in November after beating back a challenge from Republican John Chrin in Pennsylvania’s newly formed 8th District. Previously, Cartwright had represented the state’s 17th District. Trump won the area by nearly 10 points.

PA-17

Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) won his first House seat in the March 2018 special election for Pennsylvania’s 18th District. But redistricting led him to face off against former Rep. Keith RothfusKeith James RothfusCNN's Tapper tried to talk GOP candidate out of running against Democratic incumbent: report Lobbying world Conor Lamb gets 2020 challenger touted by Trump MORE (R-Pa.) in the state’s 17th District in November. He won that race by nearly 13 points, despite Trump’s 2.6-point victory there in 2016.

SC-01

Rep. Joe CunninghamJoseph CunninghamDemocrats see Green New Deal yielding gains despite GOP attacks Michigan Republican isolating after positive coronavirus test Chamber-backed Democrats embrace endorsements in final stretch MORE (D-S.C.) vanquished former South Carolina state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) in this low country district last year, becoming the first Democrat to represent it in Washington since the 1980s. Trump carried the district by about 13 points in 2016.

UT-04

Rep. Ben McAdams (D-Utah) was declared the winner in this district last year after a prolonged vote-counting process gave him an ultra-thin 694-lead over two-term former Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LovePoll: McAdams neck and neck with GOP challenger in Utah Former NFL player Burgess Owens wins Utah GOP primary The Hill's Campaign Report: The political heavyweights in Tuesday's primary fights MORE (R-Utah). That margin — 0.258 percent — was just over the 0.25 percent that would have allowed for a recount. Trump beat out Clinton in the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

VA-02

Rep. Elaine LuriaElaine Goodman LuriaDemocrats seek wave to bolster House majority House lawmakers call for continued assistance to Lebanon On The Money: Sides tiptoe towards a COVID deal, but breakthrough appears distant | Expiring benefits raise stakes of stimulus talks | Stocks fade with eyes on Capitol MORE’s (D-Va.) win over former Rep. Scott TaylorScott William TaylorChamber-backed Democrats embrace endorsements in final stretch Bottom line Bottom line MORE (R-Va.) in Virginia’s 2nd District was among three Democratic victories that flipped GOP-held seats in the Old Dominion. Trump previously scored a 3.4-point victory in the district.

VA-07

Rep. Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Davis SpanbergerDemocrats seek wave to bolster House majority During pandemic, 'telehealth' emerging as important lifeline to connect patients with caregivers Chamber-backed Democrats embrace endorsements in final stretch MORE (D-Va.) vanquished former Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.) in this Richmond-area district, winning the right to succeed a conservative firebrand who rose to power at the height of the Tea Party movement four years earlier. Trump won Virginia’s 7th District by 6.5 points in 2016.

WI-03

Despite Trump’s 2016 victory in this western Wisconsin district, Rep. Ron KindRonald (Ron) James KindDemocrats, GOP fighting over largest House battlefield in a decade Republican fears grow over rising Democratic tide Wisconsin Rep. Ron Kind wins primary MORE (D-Wis.) secured a 12th term in the House last year, scoring a nearly 20-point victory over Republican Steve Toft. His win was another welcome sign for Democrats for signs of strength in the upper Midwest.

Clinton-won districts held by Republicans

NY-24

Despite Clinton’s 3.6-point win in his district in 2016, Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) notched a roughly 5-point victory over his Democratic challenger, Dana Balter in 2018. Democrats aren’t giving up, however. Katko is on the DCCC’s target list for 2020.

PA-01

After an expensive and closely watched race against wealthy philanthropist Scott Wallace in 2018, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick secured a second term in the House. Fitzpatrick’s win in a district that Clinton carried by 2 points stood in contrast to a long series of losses by other Republicans in suburban districts across the country. Still, that has left Democrats eager to challenge him again next year.

TX-23

Rep. Will Hurd’s (R-Texas) vast district on the U.S.-Mexico border has long been on Democrats’ wish list. He successfully fought off an aggressive challenge from Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones last year — Hurd won by just 0.5 points — and Democrats are hoping for a different outcome in 2020. Clinton carried the district by 3.4 points over Trump in 2016.