The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority

Republicans are eyeing a path to the House majority that takes them through Trump country.

The GOP has already put 55 districts held by Democrats on its target list for 2020. But Republican hopes are highest in the 31 districts that President TrumpDonald John TrumpDem lawmaker says Electoral College was 'conceived' as way to perpetuate slavery Stanley Cup champion Washington Capitals to visit White House on Monday Transportation Dept requests formal audit of Boeing 737 Max certification MORE carried in 2016. That includes 13 districts where the real estate mogul bested Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonDem lawmaker says Electoral College was 'conceived' as way to perpetuate slavery Dem strategist says Donna Brazile is joining Fox News 'for the money' CNN to host town hall with Cory Booker in South Carolina MORE by more than 6 points.

ADVERTISEMENT

Meanwhile, only three GOP lawmakers hold districts where Clinton won in 2016 — Reps. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdThe 25 Republicans who defied Trump on emergency declaration The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Hillicon Valley: US threatens to hold intel from Germany over Huawei | GOP senator targets FTC over privacy | Bipartisan bill would beef up 'internet of things' security | Privacy groups seize on suspended NSA program | Tesla makes U-turn MORE (Texas), John KatkoJohn Michael KatkoOvernight Health Care: CDC pushes for expanding HIV testing, treatment | Dem group launches ads attacking Trump on Medicare, Medicaid cuts | Hospitals, insurers spar over surprise bills | O'Rourke under pressure from left on Medicare for all Dem group launches ads attacking Trump's 'hypocrisy on Medicare and Medicaid cuts' The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MORE (N.Y.) and Brian FitzpatrickBrian K. FitzpatrickOvernight Health Care: CDC pushes for expanding HIV testing, treatment | Dem group launches ads attacking Trump on Medicare, Medicaid cuts | Hospitals, insurers spar over surprise bills | O'Rourke under pressure from left on Medicare for all Dem group launches ads attacking Trump's 'hypocrisy on Medicare and Medicaid cuts' The 25 Republicans who defied Trump on emergency declaration MORE (Pa.).

Those lawmakers are among 33 Republicans that Democrats are hoping to oust in 2020 as the party looks to expand its nascent House majority.

Republicans need to pick up roughly 20 seats to win back control of the lower chamber.

Here’s a look at where next year’s battles for the House will be fought:

Trump-won districts held by Democrats

AZ-01

Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) held onto his seat in November after notching a decisive 7.6-point victory over Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. Trump edged out Clinton in Arizona’s 1st District in 2016 by just over 1 point.

GA-06

Rep. Lucy McBathLucia (Lucy) Kay McBathThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House slated to vote on most significant gun control bill in years Gun control groups tout momentum ahead of House vote  MORE’s (D-Ga.) 2018 victory in Georgia’s 6th District brought former Rep. Karen HandelKaren Christine HandelThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Dem whose son was killed in shooting: Gun violence is the real national emergency, ‘not a wall’ DCCC official says Democrats look to make 'big gains' in Texas, Georgia MORE’s (R-Ga.) brief tenure in the House to an end and handed Democrats a House seat they had aggressively sought in a 2017 special election. Trump won there in 2016 by 1.5 points.

IL-14

Rep. Lauren UnderwoodLauren UnderwoodThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Dems seek relief for worried taxpayers in tough filing season Dem lawmaker inspires social media users to share selfies in their glasses MORE (D-Ill.) dethroned four-term former Rep. Randy HultgrenRandall (Randy) Mark HultgrenThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Lauren Underwood becomes youngest ever black woman to be sworn in to Congress Illinois New Members 2019 MORE (R-Ill.) in November to become the youngest black woman ever elected to Congress. Trump notched a nearly 4-point win in her district in 2016, however, and the GOP is looking to turn it red again in 2020.

IL-17

Rep. Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Crenshaw tries out Trump impersonation at Washington Press Club Foundation dinner Dems flock to Pelosi on Trump impeachment MORE (D-Ill.) easily coasted to a fourth term in 2018, beating back a challenge from Republican Bill Fawell. She’s currently the chairwoman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), meaning that she’ll be tasked with preserving the Democrats’ House majority in 2020, along with her own seat. Trump notched a slim 0.7-point victory in her district in 2016.

IA-01

Rep. Abby FinkenauerAbby Lea FinkenauerThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Democrats, Trump battle over 75 'pivot' counties in Midwest House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill MORE (D-Iowa) ousted two-term former Rep. Rod Blum (R-Iowa) in this northeast Iowa district in November — one of two Iowa districts that Democrats managed to flip in 2018, along with the state’s 3rd District. Still, Trump won there by about 3.5 points two years earlier.

IA-02

Rep. Dave LoebsackDavid (Dave) Wayne LoebsackThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Iowa is key state in Dem drive for House majority Overnight Energy — Presented by Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance — Judge upholds Obama's marine monument | GOP lawmakers worried states using water rule to block fossil fuels | Lawmakers press Trump ahead of ethanol decision MORE (D-Iowa) secured a seventh term in the House last year, beating back a challenge from Republican Christopher Peters. Trump won his southeastern Iowa district two years earlier by a roughly 4-point margin.

IA-03

Rep. Cindy AxneCindy AxneThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Why standing up for children is a policy priority MORE’s (D-Iowa) win over former Rep. David YoungDavid Edmund YoungThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Anxiety grows in first tax season under Trump law Iowa New Members 2019 MORE (R-Iowa) gave Democrats more good news in the Hawkeye State; it was among key wins there that handed the party three spots in Iowa’s four-member House delegation. Trump won the district in 2016 by 3.5 points.

ME-02

Rep. Jared Golden (D-Maine) may not have won the most votes on Election Day. But thanks to Maine’s recent switch to ranked-choice voting, he finished with enough votes to defeat former Rep. Bruce PoliquinBruce Lee PoliquinThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Maine governor certifies Dem's win in disputed House race, but calls it 'stolen election' GOP lawmaker to drop challenge to Maine's new voting system MORE (R-Maine) days after polls closed. Trump previously won Maine’s 2nd District by more than 10 points.

MI-08

Rep. Elissa SlotkinElissa SlotkinThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Lawmakers propose bill to end fed agency's deadly experiments on kittens House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill MORE (D-Mich.) ousted former Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.) in Michigan’s 8th District, two years after Trump scored a nearly 7-point win over Clinton. Slotkin’s victory was seen by many as a sign of a Democratic resurgence in the Upper Midwest, an area that played a crucial role in sending Trump to the White House.

MI-11

Rep. Haley StevensHaley Maria StevensThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority WHIP LIST: Pelosi seeks path to 218 MORE (D-Mich.) defeated Republican Lena Epstein in November in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. David Trott (R-Mich.). In doing so, she became the first Democrat elected to a full two-year term in Michigan’s 11th District since 1964. Trump previously won her district by more than 3 points.

MN-02

In defeating freshman former Rep. Jason LewisJason Mark LewisThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority MLB donated to GOP lawmaker who made controversial comments about women, minorities Minnesota New Members 2019 MORE (R-Minn.) last year, Rep. Angie Craig (D-Minn.) handed Democrats a crucial victory in a coveted swing seat. Trump notched a victory in the suburban Twin Cities district two years earlier, besting Clinton by little more than 1 point.

MN-07

Rep. Collin PetersonCollin Clark PetersonThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Democrats, Trump battle over 75 'pivot' counties in Midwest Dems struggle to unify after GOP embarrasses them on procedure MORE (D-Minn.) won a 15th term representing this vast western Minnesota district in 2018, despite Trump’s nearly 31-point victory there two years earlier. That alone makes him a prime target for Republicans in 2020.

NV-03

Rep. Susie LeeSuzanne (Susie) Kelley LeeMORE’s (D-Nev.) win over Republican Danny Tarkanian kept Nevada’s 3rd District in Democratic hands after Jacky RosenJacklyn (Jacky) Sheryl RosenThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority The Hill's 12:30 Report: Manafort sentenced to total of 7.5 years in prison Female Dems see double standard in Klobuchar accusations MORE (D-Nev.) vacated the seat to run for Senate. Trump carried the district by 1 point over Clinton in 2016.

NH-01

Rep. Chris PappasChristopher (Chris) Charles PappasThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority 116th Congress breaks records for women, minority lawmakers Here are the lawmakers who will forfeit their salaries during the shutdown MORE’s (D-N.H.) 8.6-point win over Republican Eddie Edwards in 2018 kept New Hampshire’s 1st District in Democratic hands after former Rep. Carol Shea-PorterCarol Shea-PorterThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority New Hampshire New Members 2019 Democrat Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire House seat MORE (D-N.H.) announced that she would not seek reelection. That win was a relief for Democrats after Trump narrowly won the district in 2016.

NJ-02

Rep. Jefferson Van Drew (D-N.J.) won New Jersey’s 2nd District in November after going up against Trump-backed Republican Seth Grossman in his bid to succeed former Rep. Frank LoBiondoFrank Alo LoBiondoThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority LoBiondo launches consulting firm Live coverage: House elects new Speaker as Dems take charge MORE (R-N.J.), who retired in January. Trump beat out Clinton in the district by nearly 5 points.

NJ-03

Rep. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) unseated two-term former Rep. Tom MacArthurThomas (Tom) Charles MacArthurThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority 10 things we learned from the midterms New Jersey New Members 2019 MORE (R-N.J.) in November, a win that left only one Republican in New Jersey’s congressional delegation, Rep. Chris SmithChristopher (Chris) Henry SmithThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Tax Foundation: Bill to restore full SALT deduction would benefit high earners Trump should push to end persecution of Chinese Christians as part of trade negotiations MORE. But Trump still carried the district by more than 6 points in 2016, making Kim’s seat a prime target for the GOP in 2020.

NJ-05

Rep. Josh GottheimerJoshua (Josh) GottheimerThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House to vote Thursday on anti-Semitism resolution Ocasio-Cortez rebukes Dem centrists over gun control vote MORE (D-N.J.) easily fended off a challenge from Republican John McCann in November, despite Trump’s narrow 1.1-point victory in the district. While Gottheimer’s win bolstered Democratic hopes in the district, Republicans still see the two-term congressman as a target in 2020.

NJ-11

Rep. Mikie SherrillRebecca (Mikie) Michelle SherrillThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority New Jersey Dems tell Pentagon not to use military funds for border wall GOP rep 'disappointed' by the number of Republican women in Congress MORE (D-N.J.) beat out Republican Jay Webber by nearly 15 points in 2018 in the race to succeed now-retired Rep. Rodney FrelinghuysenRodney Procter FrelinghuysenThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Top House GOP appropriations staffer moves to lobbying shop Individuals with significant disabilities need hope and action MORE (R-N.J.). Sherrill was the first Democrat elected to represent the district in the House since 1982, and Republicans are eager to take it back in 2020. Trump carried the district by just under 1 point in 2016.

NM-02

Rep. Xochitl Torres Small (D-N.M.) won the right to succeed former Rep. Steve PearceStevan (Steve) Edward PearceThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority The legal scandal that no one is talking about Dem governors on 2020: Opposing Trump not enough MORE (R-N.M.) in this vast southern New Mexico district after narrowly overcoming a challenge from Republican Yvette Herrell in November. Trump carried the district in 2016 by roughly 10 points.

NY-11

In defeating former Rep. Dan Donovan (R-N.Y.) last year, Rep. Max RoseMax RoseThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House Dem vets press McConnell on emergency declaration House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill MORE (D-N.Y.) dethroned the only Republican member of New York City’s congressional delegation. Trump won the Staten Island district two years earlier by a nearly 10-point margin.

NY-18

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-N.Y.) sailed to an easy victory over Republican James O’Donnell last year after an unsuccessful primary bid for New York attorney general. Trump notched a narrow win in Maloney’s district in 2016, edging out Clinton by less than 2 points.

NY-19

Rep. Antonio DelgadoAntonio Ramon DelgadoThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Overnight Energy: Court rules for Trump in environmental case over border wall | House bill would stop Alaska refuge drilling | Ads target Dems over Green New Deal MORE (D-N.Y.) ousted former Rep. John FasoJohn James FasoThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority GOP House super PAC targets two freshman Dems with new ads Tax law failed to save GOP majority MORE (R) in 2018 after a bitter campaign in which some Republican groups attacked Delgado over his past career as a rapper. Trump carried the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

NY-22

Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D-N.Y.) wrestled this district from one-term former Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-N.Y.) in November after voters there chose Trump over Clinton by a more than 15-point margin. But Brindisi’s victory was a tight one — less than 2 points — and he’s almost certain to face an aggressive GOP challenge next year.

OK-05

In what was one of election night 2018’s biggest upsets, Rep. Kendra HornKendra Suzanne HornThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill GOP maps out early 2020 strategy to retake House MORE (D-Okla.) defeated former Rep. Steve RussellSteven (Steve) Dane RussellThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority 5 themes to watch for in 2020 fight for House Oklahoma New Members 2019 MORE (R-Okla.), turning Oklahoma’s 5th District blue for the first time in more than 40 years. But with Trump’s roughly 13-point victory there in 2016, Horn’s reelection is far from sealed.

PA-08

Rep. Matt CartwrightMatthew (Matt) Alton CartwrightThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Supreme Court justice warns Congress of security threats to lower courts Pelosi runs tight ship as more stormy waters await MORE (D-Pa.) won a fourth term in the House in November after beating back a challenge from Republican John Chrin in Pennsylvania’s newly formed 8th District. Previously, Cartwright had represented the state’s 17th District. Trump won the area by nearly 10 points.

PA-17

Rep. Conor Lamb (D-Pa.) won his first House seat in the March 2018 special election for Pennsylvania’s 18th District. But redistricting led him to face off against former Rep. Keith RothfusKeith James RothfusThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Trump's most memorable insults and nicknames of 2018 Pennsylvania New Members 2019 MORE (R-Pa.) in the state’s 17th District in November. He won that race by nearly 13 points, despite Trump’s 2.6-point victory there in 2016.

SC-01

Rep. Joe CunninghamJoseph CunninghamThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Congressman blasts air horn at Trump official who said seismic air gun tests don't harm whales House passes second major gun bill MORE (D-S.C.) vanquished former South Carolina state Rep. Katie Arrington (R) in this low country district last year, becoming the first Democrat to represent it in Washington since the 1980s. Trump carried the district by about 13 points in 2016.

UT-04

Rep. Ben McAdams (D-Utah) was declared the winner in this district last year after a prolonged vote-counting process gave him an ultra-thin 694-lead over two-term former Rep. Mia LoveLudmya (Mia) LoveThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Juan Williams: Racial shifts spark fury in Trump and his base Trump suggests Heller lost reelection bid because he was 'hostile' during 2016 presidential campaign MORE (R-Utah). That margin — 0.258 percent — was just over the 0.25 percent that would have allowed for a recount. Trump beat out Clinton in the district in 2016 by nearly 7 points.

VA-02

Rep. Elaine LuriaElaine Goodman LuriaThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority House GOP secures last-minute change to gun bill Fairfax removed from leadership post in lieutenant governors group MORE’s (D-Va.) win over former Rep. Scott TaylorScott William TaylorThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Ex-GOP Rep. Ryan Costello joins group pushing carbon tax Virginia New Members 2019 MORE (R-Va.) in Virginia’s 2nd District was among three Democratic victories that flipped GOP-held seats in the Old Dominion. Trump previously scored a 3.4-point victory in the district.

VA-07

Rep. Abigail SpanbergerAbigail Davis SpanbergerCorey Stewart to lead pro-Trump super PAC The 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Why block citizenship to immigrants who defend America? MORE (D-Va.) vanquished former Rep. Dave Brat (R-Va.) in this Richmond-area district, winning the right to succeed a conservative firebrand who rose to power at the height of the Tea Party movement four years earlier. Trump won Virginia’s 7th District by 6.5 points in 2016.

WI-03

Despite Trump’s 2016 victory in this western Wisconsin district, Rep. Ron KindRonald (Ron) James KindThe 31 Trump districts that will determine the next House majority Democrats, Trump battle over 75 'pivot' counties in Midwest Koch-backed group pushes for new limits on Trump's tariff authority MORE (D-Wis.) secured a 12th term in the House last year, scoring a nearly 20-point victory over Republican Steve Toft. His win was another welcome sign for Democrats for signs of strength in the upper Midwest.

Clinton-won districts held by Republicans

NY-24

Despite Clinton’s 3.6-point win in his district in 2016, Rep. John Katko (R-N.Y.) notched a roughly 5-point victory over his Democratic challenger, Dana Balter in 2018. Democrats aren’t giving up, however. Katko is on the DCCC’s target list for 2020.

PA-01

After an expensive and closely watched race against wealthy philanthropist Scott Wallace in 2018, Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick secured a second term in the House. Fitzpatrick’s win in a district that Clinton carried by 2 points stood in contrast to a long series of losses by other Republicans in suburban districts across the country. Still, that has left Democrats eager to challenge him again next year.

TX-23

Rep. Will Hurd’s (R-Texas) vast district on the U.S.-Mexico border has long been on Democrats’ wish list. He successfully fought off an aggressive challenge from Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones last year — Hurd won by just 0.5 points — and Democrats are hoping for a different outcome in 2020. Clinton carried the district by 3.4 points over Trump in 2016.