The New York Times is bringing back its election forecast needle dial for Tuesday’s Virginia governor election.
The needle gained notoriety among Democrats during last year's presidential race, when those watching tracked the needle as it moved from a solid forecast for Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonCountering the ongoing Republican delusion Republicans seem set to win the midterms — unless they defeat themselves Poll: Democracy is under attack, and more violence may be the future MORE to a victory for President Trump.
The Times's Nate Cohn, who writes for The Upshot, tweeted that the latest dial would go live at 7 p.m.
Virginia, 7pm eastern pic.twitter.com/wuE2VH5HpN— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 7, 2017
Many associate the dial with showing Hillary Clinton with a roughly 70 percent chance of victory on election night. The needle then ticked steadily in Trump’s favor as returns came in throughout the night.
On Tuesday night, the dial will only forecast the margin of the race, not the probability of the outcome, Cohn said. It will also start by showing the race as a tie rather than with Democratic nominee Ralph Northam up 3 points, as most polls suggest.