The Hill's Morning Report — Sponsored by FICO — Paul Ryan’s rough ride

Welcome to The Hill's Morning Report, and TGIF! This daily email, a successor to The Hill’s Tipsheet, is reported by Jonathan Easley and Alexis Simendinger to get you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. (CLICK HERE to subscribe!) 

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Speaker Paul RyanPaul Davis RyanThe Hill's 12:30 Report — Trump says he 'never directed' Cohen to break the law | GOP reels from Trump shutdown threat | Alleged spy Butina pleads guilty to conspiracy charge The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act kneecaps American factory workers The Hill's Morning Report — Where the shutdown fight stands MORE (R-Wis.) is serving out the final months of his congressional career, but nobody said it was going to be easy.

Of these things, by far the most consequential policy issue facing the Speaker right now is a discharge petition backed by centrist Republicans trying to force a vote on an immigration bill.

The Hill’s Scott Wong reports that Ryan is warning his caucus that the discharge petition would effectively turn the floor over to Democrats, who are in the minority, and that President TrumpDonald John TrumpProsecutors investigating Trump inaugural fund, pro-Trump super PAC for possible illegal foreign donations: NY Times George Conway: Why take Trump's word over prosecutors' if he 'lies about virtually everything' Federal judge says lawsuit over Trump travel ban waivers will proceed MORE would likely veto the bill if it ever got to his desk.

The Speaker says he’s committed to bringing an immigration bill to the floor before the midterm elections, but that might not be enough to keep vulnerable Republicans from districts with heavy Hispanic populations, such as Reps. Will HurdWilliam Ballard HurdCongressional scorecard finds federal agencies improving on IT Juan Williams: Nowhere to go for black Republicans Texas lawmakers introduce legislation aimed at helping border counties identify missing migrants MORE (Texas), Carlos CurbeloCarlos Luis CurbeloThe Hill's Morning Report — Will Trump strike a deal with Chuck and Nancy? GOP lawmakers call for autopsy on 'historic losses' Bipartisan group of lawmakers propose landmark carbon tax MORE (Fla.) and Jeff DenhamJeffrey (Jeff) John DenhamPolling editor says news outlets should be more cautious calling elections Rep. Valadao officially concedes in California race Ryan casts doubt on 'bizarre' California election results MORE (Calif.), at bay. 

The Wall Street Journal: The discharge petition might help save the House majority.

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LEADING THE DAY

CONGRESS:  Farm bill: The Hill — The House expects to vote next week on a farm bill that includes a food stamps revamp.

Foreign aid: The HillLawmakers and the White House want to change the way the government assists and invests in struggling countries through foreign aid. Changes would consolidate several federal international development agencies. The effort is one of the few areas where Trump has sought to bolster, not slash, the federal government’s foreign aid system.

Prison reformThe Hill — A House committee this week approved a White House-backed prison reform plan that faces a cooler reception in the Senate Judiciary Committee.

>The Houston Chronicle: Jared KushnerJared Corey KushnerProtesters host dance party outside Stephen Miller's home Dem lawmaker pledges hearings after CIA briefing on Khashoggi Trump signs order aimed at revitalizing economically distressed communities MORE tackles prison reform with Texas visit.

CIA nomination: The Hill — Senate nose counting is underway to assess whether Gina Haspel will be confirmed to lead the CIA following her Wednesday hearing. Haspel needs support from 50 senators and Republicans have only a slim 51-49 majority in the upper chamber. Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainSenate Armed Services chair not convinced of need for Trump's Space Force Jenny McCarthy: ‘The View’ producers asked me to ‘act Republican’ Flake warns in farewell speech: US political climate 'is not healthy' MORE (R-Ariz.) and Sen. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulOvernight Defense: Senate bucks Trump with Yemen war vote, resolution calling crown prince 'responsible' for Khashoggi killing | House briefing on Saudi Arabia fails to move needle | Inhofe casts doubt on Space Force Lame-duck Congress should pass First Step Act Limited Senate access to CIA intelligence is not conspiracy MORE (R-Ky.) have already announced their opposition, but Haspel has picked up support from Sen. Joe ManchinJoseph (Joe) ManchinOvernight Defense: Senate bucks Trump with Yemen war vote, resolution calling crown prince 'responsible' for Khashoggi killing | House briefing on Saudi Arabia fails to move needle | Inhofe casts doubt on Space Force Hillicon Valley — Presented by AT&T — New momentum for privacy legislation | YouTube purges spam videos | Apple plans B Austin campus | Iranian hackers targeted Treasury officials | FEC to let lawmakers use campaign funds for cyber Manchin puts hold on FCC nomination over wireless internet fund delay MORE (D-W.Va.)

*** The Hill EXCLUSIVE ***

The fight over Haspel’s nomination took a nasty turn Thursday as the White House communications department met to strategize over McCain’s opposition. The Hill’s Jonathan Easley and Jordan Fabian were the first to report that special assistant Kelly Sadler told her colleagues, “It doesn’t matter, he’s dying anyway.”

Cindy McCain, the senator’s wife, tweeted her response:

Sadler called McCain’s daughter, Meghan McCain, to apologize. 

>Politico: Former Vice President Dick Cheney says enhanced interrogation programs repudiated during the George W. Bush administration should continue, in contrast with Haspel’s testimony. 

Term limits: The Hill — House freshmen introduced legislation to impose congressional term limits, which requires a high hurdle of a constitutional amendment. Senators would be limited to serving two terms and representatives to serving six terms.

August recess: The Washington Post — A growing group of GOP senators want to cancel the chamber’s August recess in order to use the time to bring more nominations to the floor and tackle other must-pass priorities before the November elections.

IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES

CAMPAIGNS:  Campaign season is underway. Trump visited South Bend, Ind., last night to stump for GOP Senate candidate Mike Braun, who vanquished two sitting Republican lawmakers — Reps. Todd RokitaTheodore (Todd) Edward RokitaIndiana New Members 2019 Braun knocks off Donnelly in Indiana How a bold new Disability Insurance proposal would benefit individuals with disabilities and taxpayers MORE and Luke MesserAllen (Luke) Lucas MesserHouse GOP to force members to give up leadership positions if running for higher office Indiana New Members 2019 Braun knocks off Donnelly in Indiana MORE — for the right to take on Sen. Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyHatch warns Senate 'in crisis' in farewell speech Dem senators Heitkamp, Donnelly urge bipartisanship in farewell speeches Schumer gets ready to go on the offensive MORE (D-Ind.) in November.

Donnelly is one of 10 Senate Democrats up for reelection in states Trump carried in 2016.

Where else will Trump campaign this cycle? He’s almost certain to make the trip to West Virginia, which he carried by 42 points in 2016. That’s bad news for Manchin, who is among the most vulnerable Democrats up for reelection.

Here are Manchin’s thoughts on the matter, courtesy WLJS.

I told the president, you don’t need to come back to West Virginia, it’s nice to have you but not during an election cycle.”

In his primary victory speech, Republican West Virginia candidate Patrick Morissey pleaded with Trump to come as much as possible.

“You’ve been to this state now four times. I’d like you to come back as many times as you can between now and November.”

And the president might not be the only Trump to visit. Trump’s son Donald Trump Jr. will hit the campaign trail soon and West Virginia is likely to be his first stop. Trump Jr. is staffing up ahead of the push, adding veteran GOP operative Andy Surabian to his team (The Hill). 

Dan Balz: Midwestern voters gave Trump a chance. Now they’re the key to his political future.

The Hill: Progressive groups endorse Dems in two key races.

The Hill: Americans are upbeat about the economy but that isn’t translating into support for the tax bill.

The Hill: Republicans are having a hard time attracting interest from cities that might want to host their 2020 convention.

INVESTIGATIONS:

“What I think is that it’s been about a year since this investigation began. Our administration has provided over a million documents, we’ve fully cooperated in it and in the interest of the country, I think it’s time to wrap it up."Vice President Pence on NBC’s “Today” show.

The special counsel investigation turns one-year-old on Thursday.

Separate from the special counsel’s Russia probe, there have been a cascade of stories in recent days about Trump’s personal attorney Michael Cohen, whose business dealings are under investigation by the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Southern District of New York. 

Cohen appears to have amassed a broad portfolio of corporate clients who paid him handsomely under the expectation that he could provide access to the president. Essentially, he was acting as an independent lobbyist.

Cohen denies any wrongdoing. And in an exclusive interview with The Hill’s Niall Stanage, Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani said the media needs to “calm down” and that the story does not involve the president or the White House.

The Hill: Watchdog group asks DOJ to probe Cohen dealings.

The Los Angeles Times: Michael Cohen turned his access to Trump into big money — and now big trouble.

That story overshadowed an escalating drama on Capitol Hill, where conservative lawmakers are locked in a fight with the Justice Department over classified documents pertaining to the special counsel.

House Intelligence Committee Chairman Nunes and committee member Trey GowdyHarold (Trey) Watson GowdyThe Year Ahead: Pressure mounts on election security as 2020 approaches House GOP set to grill Comey GOP, Dems locked in fight over North Carolina fraud probe MORE (R-S.C.) said they had a “productive conversation” with senior law enforcement officials about the documents divide on Thursday.

The Hill: Ryan backs Nunes in latest pursuit of DOJ documents.

The Wall Street Journal: The FBI was spying on the Trump campaign.

The Hill (op-ed): Demand for Mueller’s “scope” memo threatens principles of proper oversight.

INTERNATIONAL:  North Korea: The president announced via Twitter that his historic summit meeting with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un will take place in Singapore on June 12.

The Hill (op-ed): Why Singapore is the right spot for Trump-Kim summit.

The Hill: More than three-quarters of Americans approve of the meeting.

The Hill: Democrats want to hold Trump to the goal he set of verifiable denuclearization of North Korea.

The Hill: The president rebukes Sen. Charles SchumerCharles (Chuck) Ellis SchumerA missed opportunity for Democrats in the border wall showdown We have the funds we need to secure the border Anti-wall is not a border policy: How Democrats can sell an immigration plan MORE (D-N.Y.) over his criticism of Trump’s decision to exit the Iran nuclear agreement.

Iran: The Wall Street Journal: U.S. took a step toward cutting Iran off from the global economy, levying sanctions on a financing network.

Reuters: Oil prices near multiyear highs as Iran sanctions tighten supply outlook.  

Europe: The Hill German Chancellor Angela Merkel told an audience Thursday that Europe can no longer count on the United States to protect it, urging the continent to “take destiny into its own hands.”

>Sen. Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzO’Rourke rockets to second place on CNN analysts' 2020 Dem rankings, Harris remains first Senators prepare for possibility of Christmas in Washington during a shutdown Biden to discuss 2020 bid with family over holidays: report MORE (R-Texas) said Europe’s opposition and “posturing” following Trump’s decision to reimpose sanctions on Iran was a reflection of European nations’ business ties to Tehran (The Hill).

Israel: The HillWhite House condemns the “Iranian regime’s provocation against Israel.”

The New York Times: Israel and Iran engage in a shadow war in Syria.

The New York Times: Why Israel and Iran are clashing in Syria.

The Associated Press: United Nations chief calls for halt to “all hostile acts” in Middle East.

Islamic State: The New York TimesFive senior Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) officials were captured, including a top aide to the group’s leader, in a complex cross-border sting carried out by Iraqi and American intelligence, two Iraqi officials said Wednesday.

The president tweeted about the sting on Thursday.

New York Times foreign correspondent Rukmini Callimachi says the ISIS arrests occurred in February:

CABINET & WHITE HOUSE:  Homeland Security Department: The New York Times — Secretary Kirstjen NielsenKirstjen Michele NielsenA missed opportunity for Democrats in the border wall showdown Over 30 cities oppose Trump proposal on immigration benefits Internet gambling addiction is a looming crisis MORE considered quitting after Trump suggested during a Wednesday Cabinet meeting that she failed to make U.S. borders secure. In a statement Thursday about the blowup, Nielsen said the president was “rightly frustrated” with existing immigration laws. 

Treasury Department:  The Hill — The nomination of Adam Lerrick, tapped for deputy undersecretary of the Treasury Department for international finance, was withdrawn. Lerrick is expected to become a senior adviser to Treasury Secretary Steven MnuchinSteven Terner MnuchinOn The Money: House GOP struggles to get votes for B in wall funds | Fallout from Oval Office clash | Dems say shutdown would affect 800K workers | House passes 7 billion farm bill Conservative leader Meadows will not be White House chief of staff Trump signs order aimed at revitalizing economically distressed communities MORE, according to NBC News.

Veterans Administration: The Associated Press — Trump considers GOP Army veteran Rep. Brian MastBrian Jeffrey MastThis week: Lawmakers return to mourn George H.W. Bush GOP limits Dem gains in Florida House seats GOP's Mast reelected to Florida House seat MORE, 37, of Florida among potential nominees to lead the troubled department.

White House:

*** New today ... White House chief of staff John KellyJohn Francis KellyMORE speaks with NPR’s “Morning Edition” and says Trump is “embarrassed” by the Russia probe. He also said he has never considered leaving the White House despite “times of great frustration.”

Drug pricing:  The Hill — The president today will speak about lowering the costs of pharmaceuticals, but he won’t call for negotiating drug prices in Medicare. 

National Security Council: National security adviser John Bolton continues to remake the NSC staff to his liking.

HuffPost: Rear Adm. Tim Ziemer, the head of global health security, departed on Tuesday. As it happened, cases of Ebola emerged in the Congo this week, with one casualty reported.

Politico: Bolton is pushing to eliminate White House cybersecurity position.

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OPINION

America’s broken bail system substitutes cash for justice, leaves the poor behind bars, by Malika Saada Saar and Mark Holden, Daily Beast https://thebea.st/2rB0Yqf

Trump hasn’t earned a Nobel, but the Peshmerga have, by A.J. Caschetta, opinion contributor to The Hill  https://bit.ly/2ryZ3TQ

 

WHERE AND WHEN

The House and Senate return to work late Monday.

The president hosts a roundtable with chief executive officers of auto companies, and outlines the administration’s ideas to lower drug prices.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports U.S. import and export price indexes for April.

ELSEWHERE

> Five veterans explain what they’re looking for in a Veterans Affairs Department secretary, by Jenna Johnson (The Washington Post).  

> The new shape of protest music, by Jason Parham (Wired).

> Glenda Jackson: This Tony nominee and former politician has a lot to say about being a woman right now (Q&A), by Laura Regensdorf (Vogue).

 

THE CLOSER

Multimedia artist Michael Pendry yesterday installed a breathtaking vision of peace inside Salisbury Cathedral in England, creating a flock of more than 2,500 white origami doves in the nave, reflected from below. Salisbury is still recovering from the nerve agent attack there in March. Pendry wants his work, called “Les Colombes” (the doves), to carry visitors’ messages folded inside each bird. It will be exhibited through July 22 (BBC News).

In their unity they stand for a fundamental human right to peace and freedom, the artist said.

  

 

... The Morning Report Quiz winners this week are Don Thompson, Joan McInerney, Mary Vita P. Treano, Javier Valle, Robert G. Taylor, John Rao, Marriott Clark and William Rickett, plus a terrific (and expert) response from Robert M. Edsel, Monuments Men Foundation founder and chairman. They knew that in 1967, the then-stunning price tag paid for a Leonardo da Vinci portrait now in the National Gallery of Art collection in Washington was $5 million. Thanks for reading and responding!

And finally … It’s May 11. Don’t forget to salute mothers on Sunday. Still time to plan!