The Hill's Morning Report — Trump’s new immigration plan faces uphill battle in Senate

 

 

 

Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report, and happy Tuesday! Our newsletter gets you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Co-creators are Jonathan Easley and Alexis Simendinger (CLICK HERE to subscribe!). On Twitter, you can find us at @joneasley and @asimendinger.


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Lawmakers return to Washington this week to consider President TrumpDonald John TrumpUS-Saudi Arabia policy needs a dose of 'realpolitik' Trump talks to Swedish leader about rapper A$AP Rocky, offers to vouch for his bail Matt Gaetz ahead of Mueller hearing: 'We are going to reelect the president' MORE’s proposal to reopen the federal government.

Over the weekend, the president reignited stalled negotiations with Democrats, saying he’d sign a government funding bill that grants a temporary extension for beneficiaries of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. And he offered a reprieve on protected status for some immigrants from Latin American and African countries, if Congress also goes along with $5.7 billion in new funding for the wall. The Trump administration is simultaneously challenging those immigrant-protection programs in court.

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellMcConnell challenger faces tougher path after rocky launch Funding a strong defense of our nation's democratic process can't wait The Hill's Morning Report: Trump walks back from 'send her back' chants MORE (R-Ky.) says there will be a vote in the Senate this week, where the GOP proposal will need support from at least seven Democrats to reach the 60-vote threshold for passage in the upper chamber.

Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Richard ShelbyRichard Craig ShelbyThe Hill's Morning Report: Trump walks back from 'send her back' chants GOP wants commitment that Trump will sign budget deal Schumer warns Mulvaney against drawing hard lines on budget deal MORE (R-Ala.) on Monday released text of the “End the Shutdown and Secure the Border Act.”

The president, who has not said if or how he’ll deliver a State of the Union message next week, hopes the shutdown bill passes the Senate by an overwhelming margin, thereby pressuring Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiTrump telling aides to look at potential spending cuts if he wins reelection: report Budget talks between White House, Pelosi spill into weekend Trump says he won't watch Mueller testimony MORE (D-Calif.) to consider the offer.

While a few Democrats could join Republicans in supporting the bill, it’s unlikely the measure will get the necessary 60 votes.

And it’s noteworthy that not even one Democrat has said he or she will vote for Trump’s plan. The White House was hoping to crack the Democrats’ unity and that hasn’t happened. Still, Senate Republicans are now able to play offense after playing defense for weeks.

Regardless, the deal appears to be dead-on-arrival in the House, where Pelosi this week plans to move ahead with another round of votes on smaller funding bills that have no additional money for a border wall. McConnell has repeatedly blocked those bills from getting a vote in the Senate.

The Associated Press: Trump’s proposal to Democrats falls flat.

The Hill: Congress heading in opposite directions on shutdown.

Tuesday marks the 32nd day of the longest government shutdown in history. It’s also the two-year anniversary of Trump being sworn in as the nation’s 45th president. On Friday, government workers impacted by the government shutdown – some of whom are working through the impasse – will miss their second consecutive paycheck if no action is taken.

 

 

More on the shutdown …Concern grows over shutdown in Trump World (The Memo) …  In business and governing, Trump seeks victory in chaos (The New York Times) … Trump’s base shows signs of erosion ahead of reelection bid (The Hill) … Pelosi’s tough State of the Union decision (The Hill) … The shutdown at one month (The Hill) … Shutdown pain cuts deep for homeless and other vulnerable Americans (The New York Times).

LEADING THE DAY

POLITICS: The 2020 Democratic presidential hopefuls took advantage of the federal holiday on Monday to position themselves in the growing field of candidates and to draw contrasts with Trump.

The Associated Press: MLK holiday offers stage for Democratic hopefuls.

The big news from Monday: Sen. Kamala HarrisKamala Devi HarrisWhat to expect when Mueller testifies: Not much Biden compares Trump to George Wallace CNN Democratic debate drawing finishes third in cable news ratings race MORE (D), the former attorney general for California, officially announced her highly anticipated run for the White House.

Harris: Why I’m running for president.

The San Francisco Chronicle: How can Harris stand out in 2020 race?

 

 

Harris and Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth Ann WarrenJulián Castro is behind in the polls, but he's finding a niche Gabbard arrives in Puerto Rico to 'show support' amid street protests Democratic strategist predicts most 2020 candidates will drop out in late fall MORE (D-Mass.) are presently the most formidable candidates in a field that is still waiting on big names such as former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden compares Trump to George Wallace Sanders unveils plan to guarantee the 'right to a secure retirement' CNN Democratic debate drawing finishes third in cable news ratings race MORE and Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersGabbard arrives in Puerto Rico to 'show support' amid street protests Democratic strategist predicts most 2020 candidates will drop out in late fall Sanders unveils plan to guarantee the 'right to a secure retirement' MORE (I-Vt.).

The Associated Press: Democrats lurch left on top policies as 2020 primary begins.

A look at a busy week ahead on the campaign trail…

Warren: The Massachusetts senator will hold an event in Puerto Rico today before a campaign stop in the early voting state of South Carolina on Wednesday.

Sen. Kirsten GillibrandKirsten Elizabeth GillibrandDemocratic strategist predicts most 2020 candidates will drop out in late fall The Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump hits media over 'send her back' coverage The Hill's Campaign Report: Second debate lineups set up high-profile clash MORE (D-N.Y.): Gillibrand spent the weekend courting caucus voters in Iowa (The Wall Street Journal). She has been on the defensive, having to explain her past hawkish views on immigration (The Hill).

The Washington Post: What we learned about Gillibrand this weekend.

Biden: The former vice president also spent the weekend backpedaling. Biden expressed regret for his past support for a crime bill that imposed stronger sentences for possession of crack cocaine, a policy that disproportionately harmed African-American men (The Associated Press).

More from the campaign trail … Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s (D-Texas) strategy: Show America the real Beto (The Hill) … Secretary of State Mike PompeoMichael (Mike) Richard PompeoTrump talks to Swedish leader about rapper A$AP Rocky, offers to vouch for his bail Trump confirms he authorized Rand Paul to negotiate with Iran Trump: 'We already started' talks to get A$AP Rocky home from Sweden MORE met with a top GOP strategist this weekend amid speculation that he’ll run to replace retiring Sen. Pat RobertsCharles (Pat) Patrick RobertsThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump seizes House impeachment vote to rally GOP Pompeo on Senate run: 'I always leave open the possibility that something will change' CNN's Cuomo spars with Kris Kobach over whether Trump's tweet was racist MORE (R-Kan.) in 2020 (Politico) … Elise StefanikElise Marie StefanikRepublican lawmakers ask Trump not to delay Pentagon cloud-computing contract Rising number of GOP lawmakers criticize Trump remarks about minority Dems Overnight Defense: Woman accusing general of sexual assault willing to testify | Joint Chiefs pick warns against early Afghan withdrawal | Tensions rise after Iran tries to block British tanker MORE hopes to tackle GOP’s women “crisis” ahead of 2020 (The Hill).

IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES

INTERNATIONAL: While preoccupied with Congress and the shutdown, the Trump administration remains challenged around the world. 

Syria: For the second time in a week, an Islamic State suicide bomber on Monday attacked U.S. troops in Syria, highlighting the risks tied to the planned withdrawal of U.S. forces from the war-torn country. There were no U.S. casualties in the attack on a joint convoy of U.S. and allied Kurdish forces in Northern Syria, according to officials (The Associated Press).

Russia: The Trump administration called on Russia on Monday to destroy a new cruise missile system which it said was a “direct and continuing violation” of the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. The United States accused Moscow of destabilizing global security (Reuters). … American Paul Whelan, a former U.S. marine held by Russia since Dec. 29 on spying charges, can remain in custody and not be granted bail, a Moscow court ruled today (Reuters).

United Kingdom: Prime Minister Theresa May on Monday again rejected calls to rule out a "no-deal" exit from the European Union at the end of March and warned another EU referendum on Brexit could threaten Great Britain’s "social cohesion." The prime minister had to make the statement after members of parliament rejected her Brexit plan last week. Parliament is due to vote again this month on a modified version of the deal, although May offered few details about how the plan that’s been rejected would change (BBC).

 

 

China: As a condition of ongoing trade talks, the United States is seeking to gain periodic compliance checks that could result in tariffs punishments if China is deemed to have violated the terms of any bilateral agreement. China is resisting the idea (Reuters). … In the midst of the talks, China granted Ivanka TrumpIvana (Ivanka) Marie TrumpTrump steps up attacks on 'Squad' after post-rally furor Trump says he doesn't care if attacks on 'Squad' hurt him politically EXCLUSIVE: Career officials rebut claims of White House interference in security clearance process MORE five trademarks (The Associated Press). … And as a backdrop, China is poised to post the slowest growth in 28 years in 2018 (Reuters). 

North Korea: A planned second summit between Trump and Kim Jong Un in late February is seen by South Korea as a potential turning point, while others in the region view it as a last chance for denuclearization on the Korean Peninsula (The Washington Post). … Meanwhile, a report released Monday by the Center for Strategic and International Studies disclosed that hidden from view, one of 20 undeclared ballistic missile operating bases in North Korea serves as a missile headquarters (Reuters).

The Morning Report is created by journalists Jonathan Easley & Alexis Simendinger. We want to hear from you! @jeasley@thehill.com and @asimendinger@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE!

OPINION

Mueller coverage keeps missing its mark, as BuzzFeed debacle shows, by Jeffrey M. McCall, opinion contributor, The Hill. http://bit.ly/2sEmyv9

Does journalism have a future? by Jill Lepore, The New Yorker. http://bit.ly/2DrTc9z

WHERE AND WHEN

Hill.TV’s “Rising” program, starting at 8 a.m., features Rodney Scott, chief agent with U.S. Customs and Border Patrol, interviewed by co-host Buck Sexton at the U.S. border near San Diego. Elgie Holstein, the senior director for strategic planning with Environmental Defense Fund, talks about legal challenges to the administration’s environmental policies. Also joining the program to talk politics is Washington Monthly editor-in-chief Paul Glastris. http://thehill.com/hilltv

The House meets at noon while legislative business is expected after 2 p.m. The House Rules Committee will meet at 5 p.m. to discuss the "Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2019."

The Senate convenes at 1 p.m. and was expected to resume consideration of the Strengthening America’s Security in the Middle East Act. Senate GOP leaders may introduce a bill supported by Trump to provide $5.7 billion for a border wall in exchange for immigration policy changes previously supported by Democrats, including for DACA.

The president receives his intelligence briefing at noon and has lunch with Vice President Pence. The president and first lady Melania TrumpMelania TrumpTrump talks to Swedish leader about rapper A$AP Rocky, offers to vouch for his bail Trump steps up attacks on 'Squad' after post-rally furor Trump says he doesn't care if attacks on 'Squad' hurt him politically MORE mark their 14th wedding anniversary today.

 

 

ELSEWHERE

> States: Nearly 47 years after Congress passed the Equal Rights Amendment to establish gender equality under the law, state support has almost caught up. Virginia could become the 38th state needed for ratification (The Hill/Wheeler).

> Genetics: The Chinese scientist who claimed he created the world’s first genetically edited babies will likely face criminal charges in China along with his collaborators, according to results of a government investigation reported on Monday (The New York Times).

> Social media: A viral video clip showing an encounter between a smiling high school junior and Native American activist Nathan Phillips on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial got a lot of people riled up over the weekend. Additional reporting, video and much-needed context followed (NPR). Twitter suspended one fake account involved in circulating the initial narrative out of a base in Brazil (CNN).

Julie Irwin Zimmerman: I failed the Covington Catholic test.

 

 

Late Monday, Trump tweeted that the student, Nick Sandmann, had been “smeared” by the media.

 

 


THE CLOSER

And finally … The stage is set for Super Bowl LIII after a thrilling championship weekend, but not without a heavy dose of controversy that will dog the NFL through the offseason.

The New England Patriots and Los Angeles Rams will square off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Feb. 3. The Patriots, making their third straight trip, are 2.5 point favorites.

Fans of the New Orleans Saints, however, feel they were robbed of a trip to the big game.

 

 

The referees swallowed their whistles on a clear pass-interference call late in the game. It would have set the Saints up to score a potential game-winning touchdown in regulation. Instead, the Saints lost a heartbreaker to the Rams in overtime.

The NFL acknowledged referees made a mistake and at least one sportsbook in Atlantic City is refunding bets made on the Saints (USA Today). Eye doctors in Louisiana are offering free vision exams for refs (Fox2).

There are calls for the NFL Rules Committee to allow for instant replay on critical pass-interference calls. Saints coach Sean Payton is on the committee and signaled that he’d push for a replay review (SaintsWire).

“We’ll probably never get over it.” – Payton

Ouch. The Saints 2018 playoff campaign ended in similarly wrenching fashion, on the last play of the game against the Minnesota Vikings.

 

 

The Washington Post: No-call leaves Saints crushed amid officiating controversy.

ESPN: Missed calls and masterpieces – 16 plays that gave us this Super Bowl.

More on the Super Bowl … Prop bets are popular for Super Bowl, but NFL wants them gone (The Associated Press) … How sticky gloves have changed football (The New York Times).