The Hill's Morning Report — Trump to deliver ‘unity’ speech to divided nation

The Hill's Morning Report — Trump to deliver ‘unity’ speech to divided nation
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From the well of the House tonight, President TrumpDonald TrumpIran claims U.S. to lift all oil sanctions but State Department says 'nothing is agreed' Ivanka Trump, Kushner distance themselves from Trump claims on election: CNN Overnight Defense: Joint Chiefs chairman clashes with GOP on critical race theory | House bill introduced to overhaul military justice system as sexual assault reform builds momentum MORE will embrace tradition and declare the state of America’s union strong. 

In a setting freighted with 2020 aspirations, divided government and the uncertainties of criminal probes, the president will defend his policies and lay out a political challenge to his adversaries, many of whom will be in the audience.

As Niall Stanage reports, the State of the Union event takes place as a majority of voters say they oppose a second term for the incumbent president, disapprove of the recent 35-day partial government shutdown over a wall and worry the country is on the wrong track

Trump and his top advisers argue he will deliver a “unity” message, but as Politico’s Anita Kumar reports, there are disagreements about whether Americans will hear tonight from “teleprompter Trump” or “Twitter Trump.” Odds are they’ll recognize both in the 45th president.

The Hill’s Jordan Fabian analyzes what audiences should listen for in tonight’s speech, including how the president describes his executive authority ahead of another funding deadline on Feb. 15 tied to border security. Senate Republicans have warned Trump not to choose the national emergency route.

The Hill: Trump hints at new announcements in State of the Union speech.

The Hill: President will face an audience of political opponents.

Bloomberg: The president’s speech will implore Congress to compromise on issues including immigration and to “bridge old divisions.”

The televised Democratic response will be delivered by Georgia’s Stacey Abrams, who says she’ll decide by March if she’ll seek a Senate seat in 2020. She narrowly lost her state’s gubernatorial contest in November, and is considered a rising star in her party (Atlanta Journal-Constitution). 

Also responding tonight in Spanish will be California Attorney General Xavier BecerraXavier BecerraCDC can't regulate cruises: judge Sanders 'delighted' DeSantis asked White House to import Canadian prescription drugs Feehery: It's for the children MORE. Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersSenators say White House aides agreed to infrastructure 'framework' Briahna Joy Gray: Biden is keeping the filibuster to have 'a Joe Manchin presidency' On The Money: Biden to fire FHFA director after Supreme Court removes restriction | Yellen pleads with Congress to raise debt ceiling MORE (I-Vt.) says he’ll deliver his own Trump rebuttal for a third year on Facebook Live, Twitter and YouTube.

The Hill: Democrats seek to demonstrate they’re challenging the president.

The Hill: Senate Dems seek to block use of military funds for Trump wall.

Seated behind Trump will be Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiSchumer vows to advance two-pronged infrastructure plan next month Senators say White House aides agreed to infrastructure 'framework' Tim Cook called Pelosi to say tech antitrust bills were rushed MORE (D-Calif.), who forced the president to postpone his address until the government reopened and says Democrats will not approve new funds for a “wall” at the southern border.

Trump says he respects Pelosi’s legislative know-how and her ability to hold her conference together. But in recent weeks, he’s begun shaping a narrative that his new nemesis is so powerful, liberal and “rigid,” she’s a danger. 

“I think she is very bad for our country,” he said during a CBS News interview on Friday.

AddendumPelosi hits highest favorability rating since 2007, jumping 8 points since December in CNN poll (The Hill).Two years after inauguration, federal prosecutors subpoena Trump’s inaugural committee (The Associated Press). … How have Trump’s promises fared from last year’s address? (The New York Times). … Reminder: State of the Union speeches rarely fuel big bounces in opinion polls (Politifact). … The president and first lady’s guest list for the joint address to Congress (The White House). 



POLITICS & 2020: Virginia’s Democratic governor and lieutenant governor are embroiled in separate but simultaneous political dramas rarely experienced in state capitals.

Gov. Ralph Northam continues to battle charges of racial tone-deafness after the emergence of a 35-year-old snapshot on Friday showed two figures, one in blackface and the other wearing Ku Klux Klan garb on his medical school yearbook page. The governor says he is not in the photograph, and has turned aside an avalanche of assessments within his party that he can no longer lead as governor (The Hill).

Northam on Monday pleaded with his Cabinet for more time to clear his name to avoid being known as a “racist for life” (CNN). Not one of his Cabinet members has resigned, but Northam has done nothing publicly in the last 24 hours to change the dynamic. Allies and critics questioned Monday whether he would survive the week.

Meanwhile, Virginia Democratic Lt. Gov. Justin Fairfax denies a woman’s newly surfaced but uncorroborated claims that he sexually assaulted her in 2004. He says the incident was a consensual sexual encounter (The Associated Press).

The Washington Post reported the woman approached the newspaper after Fairfax won election in November 2017 and before he was inaugurated in January 2018, saying she felt she had an obligation to speak out. The Post says it did not publish an article because reporters could find no evidence of a history of sexual misconduct by Fairfax and could find no one to corroborate the woman’s account, in part because she told no one about an assault (The Washington Post).

Virginia allows one term for elected governors, so if Northam resigns, the lieutenant governor could finish out the governor’s four-year term and then run for another term.

In 2020 presidential politics, former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenSchumer vows to advance two-pronged infrastructure plan next month Biden appoints veteran housing, banking regulator as acting FHFA chief Iran claims U.S. to lift all oil sanctions but State Department says 'nothing is agreed' MORE is close to making another White House bid, according to friends and colleagues, who say detailed campaign plans are in the chute to go “at a moment’s notice,” whenever Biden gives aides a signal (The Atlantic).

Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who is weighing a White House bid, faces key questions, including whether a centrist billionaire who has changed his political affiliation over the years can compete in a sprawling primary and among Democratic voters in America’s midsections (The Hill).

Nebraska Republican Sen. Ben SasseBen SasseGOP senators applaud Biden for global vaccine donation plans Pence: Trump and I may never 'see eye to eye' on events of Jan. 6 White House: Biden will not appoint presidential Jan. 6 commission MORE faces a likely primary challenge for reelection in 2020, according to GOP sources, because his frequent criticism of Trump is unpopular. Would the senator challenge Trump in the GOP presidential primary? Nebraska’s law presents some complications (The Hill).



CONGRESS: For the first time in years, the House this week will hold not one but two congressional hearings on fighting climate change. The new Democratic majority is nudging climate and environmental issues to the top of the national debate after eight years of GOP opposition to legislating around greenhouse gas emissions (The Hill).

> Meanwhile, Trump said he’ll nominate ex-oil lobbyist and acting Interior Secretary David Bernhardt to succeed Ryan ZinkeRyan Keith ZinkeThe Hill's Morning Report - Biden launches blitz for jobs plan with 'thank you, Georgia' OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Court sets in motion EPA ban on pesticide linked to developmental issues | Trump Interior Secretary Zinke files to run for Congress, again | Senate passes bipartisan B water infrastructure bill Trump Interior Secretary Zinke files to run for Congress, again MORE, who resigned last year under an ethics cloud. Environmental groups are urging the Senate to oppose the choice (The Hill). … In a letter to department staff last week, Bernhardt blamed the Obama administration for his department’s ethics problems (The Hill)



Lobbying jobs: Sure, there are Democratic chiefs of staff and senior congressional aides who have been snapped up by lobbying shops, law firms and government relations practices, but the K Street job market is leaner than many expected (The Hill).


The Morning Report is created by journalists Jonathan Easley & Alexis Simendinger. We want to hear from you! @jeasley@thehill.com and @asimendinger@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE!


America is no longer in the top tier of democratic countries, by Michelle Goldberg, opinion columnist, The New York Times. https://nyti.ms/2TtxB5P 

Trump’s reelection challenge: His main trouble has come from the Trumpian exceptions on trade, immigration and polarizing temperament that motivate many of his supporters,” by The Wall Street Journal editorial board. https://on.wsj.com/2t3lgda


Hill.TV’s “Rising” program, starting at 8 a.m., features host Jamal Simmons with a preview of Abrams’s State of the Union response; a speech teaser aimed at Republicans by Marc Lotter, former press secretary to Pence; a preview for Democrats by Cole Leiter, spokesman for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee; and an update by Ashley Tabaddor, president of the National Association of Immigration Judges. http://thehill.com/hilltv

The House convenes at noon.

The Senate meets at 10 a.m. The Judiciary Committee holds a confirmation hearing at 10 a.m. for Neomi Rao, opposed by Democrats, who is nominated to be a judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit to fill a vacancy created by Supreme Court Associate Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughSupreme Court strikes down FHFA director's firing protection Student athletes or independent contractors? Supreme Court moves the goalposts on the NCAA Supreme Court battle could wreak havoc with Biden's 2020 agenda MORE (The Associated Press).

The president delivers a State of the Union address at 9 p.m.

Secretary of State Mike PompeoMike PompeoWhite House denies pausing military aid package to Ukraine The Hill's Morning Report - ObamaCare here to stay The Hill's Morning Report - After high-stakes Biden-Putin summit, what now? MORE speaks at the MOKAN (Missouri-Kansas) Forum breakfast at 8:30 a.m. in Washington.


> Texas border wall: In the Rio Grande Valley, U.S. Customs and Border Protection will begin constructing a 25-mile stretch of concrete border barrier on federal land set aside for environmental and wildlife protection, tapping appropriations from Congress enacted last spring. Residents and local organizations, pointing to heavy earth-moving equipment on federal acreage on Monday, say they are turning to the courts to try to halt the wall (The Associated Press).

> Epidemic: A worsening Ebola outbreak in Africa alarms global health care responders after six months because they have not been able to halt the spread. In the Democratic Republic of Congo, the disease has infected 774 people and 481 have died (The Hill).

> Death penalty: States across the country are moving to end the death penalty, led by Republicans who no longer see it as either cost effective or a deterrent to crime (The Hill).

> Tech: Silicon Valley's tech giants are enjoying record profits, despite a year marked by widely publicized controversies over privacy and transparency. The heft of Google, Facebook and Amazon raise eyebrows among industry watchers and lawmakers who favor tougher federal regulation (The Hill).

> The Hill’s In the Know: Comedian Samantha Bee on Monday teased her April 27 TBS event, "Not The White House Correspondents' Dinner," with a Twitter parody of The Washington Post’s Super Bowl message defending a free press and narrated by Tom Hanks (The Hill).


And finally … Watching Super Bowl 53 was an endurance test for some football fans, but for the Patriots, Tom Brady and CBS, it was a good night.

Here’s some business yardage: CBS took in $382 million from Super Bowl commercials, according to Kantar Media estimates, although ad spending fell short of levels in 2017 and 2018 (Reuters). To put the CBS bonanza in perspective, it’s a one-night haul larger than what some cable companies see in a year.

However, analysts think CBS is flirting with a price ceiling for commercials during what still remains the preeminent live television event each year. The average cost of a 30-second ad was about $5.2 million, which tends to force newer companies to think twice about jumping in.

The TV-only audience for the low-scoring game delivered fewer eyeballs — down about 5 percent from 2018 and at a 10-year low — averaging 98.2 million viewers. Add the streaming audiences on CBS, NFL and Verizon digital platforms and Spanish-language broadcast and streaming from ESPN Deportes, and the audience size was 100.7 million, according to Nielsen (The Hollywood Reporter).

Translation: About 45 percent of all households in America tuned into the game.



Comparison with State of the Union: The audience last year for Trump’s big speech measured a robust 45.6 million. Recent history suggests, however, that in today’s fragmented media environment, viewership shrinks for State of the Union addresses the longer contemporary presidents are in office. (Note: On social media this year, #BoycottSOTU is trending).