Senate Republicans’ election lesson is to work on fielding better candidates

Senate Republicans spent much of Wednesday behind closed doors as they pondered strategies for overcoming last week’s dismal performance at the polls.

The emerging consensus: They need better candidates.

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Republicans lost every toss-up race for the Senate this year. The most competitive contest they won was in Arizona, which has not elected a Democratic senator since 1988.

At the start of the election cycle, political handicappers favored Republicans to capture the Senate majority. National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chairman John CornynJohn CornynConservatives wage assault on Mueller report Senate GOP poised to go 'nuclear' on Trump picks GOP rep to introduce constitutional amendment to limit Supreme Court seats to 9 MORE (Texas) also predicted they would prevail.

Instead, Senate Democrats picked up three GOP-held seats and lost only one of their own for a net gain of two, leaving Republican senators to wonder where things went wrong.

“This is the first time we’re gathered and that’s the nature of the conversation among Republican senators,” said Sen. Jerry MoranGerald (Jerry) MoranThe 25 Republicans who defied Trump on emergency declaration Overnight Defense: Senate rejects border emergency in rebuke to Trump | Acting Pentagon chief grilled on wall funding | Warren confronts chief over war fund budget 12 Republican senators defy Trump on emergency declaration  MORE (R-Kan.), who was elected Wednesday to head the NRSC for the next election cycle.

The chief lesson GOP senators are taking away from the rout is they need to find more appealing candidates, not necessarily overhaul their policy stances.

Moran said the party would have to re-evaluate its 2012 strategy of not intervening in primaries.

“Having people who fit the desires of the voters of a state, as far as the Senate races, is critical,” Moran said. “We need to have a discussion among ourselves, which we will have, about what role the campaign committee plays in primaries.”

Moran’s colleagues want the NRSC to do a better job of finding candidates. Republican losses in red states such as Indiana, Missouri, Montana and North Dakota have been attributed to Democrats having the more appealing nominee.

“If you analyze the Senate races one at a time, and the presidential race, for that matter, there’s a lot of it that’s personality driven,” said Sen. Jim RischJames (Jim) Elroy RischTrump pick for Saudi ambassador defends US relationship with Riyadh Briefing calms senators' nerves after Trump-Kim summit Chris Evans talks NATO, Marvel secrets on Capitol Hill MORE (R-Idaho). “The people in the middle, people who really decide the election, aren’t moved that much by philosophy, but are moved by personalities.

“Recruitment is critical,” he said.

Sen. Mike JohannsMichael (Mike) Owen JohannsMeet the Democratic sleeper candidate gunning for Senate in Nebraska Farmers, tax incentives can ease the pain of a smaller farm bill Lobbying World MORE (R-Neb.) said, “It’s blocking and tackling. What do I mean by that? It’s good candidates. You can never underestimate the significance of a good candidate.

“We had an outstanding candidate in Nebraska,” Johanns said of Sen.-elect Deb FischerDebra (Deb) Strobel FischerTrump approves Nebraska disaster declaration Nebraska lawmakers urge Trump to approve disaster funding 
College professor accused of vandalizing Nebraska GOP lawmaker's campaign signs MORE, the only Republican contender to win a Democrat-held seat.

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) Chairwoman Patty MurrayPatricia (Patty) Lynn MurrayOvernight Health Care: Senators seek CBO input on preventing surprise medical bills | Oversight panel seeks OxyContin documents | Pharmacy middlemen to testify on prices | Watchdog warns air ambulances can put patients at 'financial risk' Senators ask CBO to review options for preventing surprise medical bills White House proposes limits on student loan borrowing as part of higher education reforms MORE (Wash.) has explained her success by pointing to a strong candidate class. She has also cited the party’s endorsement and support of candidates in primary races as an important ingredient in the formula.

Republican senators say they have fallen behind Democrats in the use of social media. While Democrats and liberals successfully used sites such as Facebook, Twitter, Tumblr and Pinterest to mobilize support, Republicans relied too much on old-fashioned phone banking, they said.

“We’re just doing some soul-searching in terms of our messaging,” said Sen. Dan CoatsDaniel (Dan) Ray CoatsOvernight Defense: Pentagon lists construction projects at risk from emergency declaration | Officials deny report on leaving 1,000 troops in Syria | Spy budget request nears B Trump administration requests nearly B for spy budget Dems request probe into spa owner suspected of trying to sell access to Trump MORE (R-Ind.). “I think the Democrat Party has really learned how to effectively use social media to reach specific groups.

“We made a zillion phone calls. I’m not sure phone calls are the way to go when the kids are texting instead of answering the phone at home,” he said.

Retiring Sen. Dick Lugar (R-Ind.) said one of the lessons of 2012 is that “candidate selection is very important.”

Lugar was considered a lock to win a general-election match-up against Rep. Joe DonnellyJoseph (Joe) Simon DonnellyLobbying World Lobbying World Overnight Energy: Trump taps ex-oil lobbyist Bernhardt to lead Interior | Bernhardt slams Obama officials for agency's ethics issues | Head of major green group steps down MORE (D-Ind.), but instead lost his primary race against state Treasurer Richard Mourdock, whom Donnelly defeated.

The question of whether and how to manage primaries plagued Cornyn during his four-year tenure as NRSC chairman.

Cornyn battled with Sen. Jim DeMint (R-S.C.), a leading conservative, throughout the 2010 cycle over who should carry the party’s standard in various battlegrounds.

Cornyn initially backed mainstream Republican candidates in Kentucky and Florida who lost to conservatives endorsed by DeMint. Those conservatives went on to win the general election: Sens. Rand PaulRandal (Rand) Howard PaulHillicon Valley: Mueller delivers report, ending investigation | FEMA exposed info of 2.3M disaster survivors | Facebook asks judge to toss DC privacy lawsuit | Trump picks his first CTO | FCC settles lawsuit over net neutrality records Transparency advocate says government agencies face 'use it or lose it' spending Republicans need solutions on environment too MORE (R-Ky.) and Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioThe Hill's Morning Report — Washington readies for Mueller end game GOP eager to exploit Dem court-packing fight Rubio's pragmatic thinking on China MORE (R-Fla.).

The NRSC initially favored former Sen. Arlen Specter (Pa.) over potential challenger Pat Toomey before Specter switched his allegiance to the Democratic Party. One GOP aide recalled a meeting early in the 2010 cycle when NRSC staff predicted Toomey, now a senator, could not win statewide in Pennsylvania.

Cornyn decided after the 2010 cycle he would not attempt to pick winners and losers in GOP primaries. But that strategy met with decidedly mixed results, notably in Missouri, where Democrats had more influence over the Republican contest than the NRSC did.

Sen. Claire McCaskillClaire Conner McCaskillLobbying world Dem candidate has Hawley served subpoena at CPAC Annual scorecard ranks GOP environmental efforts far below Dems in 2018 MORE (D-Mo.) and Democratic groups spent more than $1 million to boost Rep. Todd Akin’s (R-Mo.) standing among conservatives and help him win the primary.

Moran says he will not let that happen again.

“In a number of instances over the last couple election cycles, we’ve seen where Democrats have actually helped pick Republican nominees in primaries. We can’t tolerate that. Republicans need to decide who their candidates are,” he said.

The Republican angst over picking candidates in the next election cycle has been a source of amusement for some Democrats.

When told Republicans would focus on recruiting better candidates, DSCC executive director Guy Cecil quipped, “Good, they can’t do any worse.”

Republican lawmakers disagree on whether their Election Day woes were due to their policy positions, such as a hard-line stance against raising taxes to lower the deficit. 

Coats, for one, thinks Republicans should have earlier signaled a willingness to compromise on including new tax revenues as part of a deficit-reduction package.

“We should have been talking about generating revenue as part of the package. Eventually the ‘Committee of 12’ got to that point, but it was too late in the game,” he said of the 2011 deficit-reduction supercommittee. “Because they killed us on that.”

But Risch took a different view.

“You’ll get an argument both ways on that. A lot of the base thinks just the opposite,” he said. “Believe me, in Idaho there are very few people telling me I ought to come up here and raise taxes on anybody.”