Trump’s backing may not be enough on criminal justice reform

Trump’s backing may not be enough on criminal justice reform
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President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate GOP budget ignores Trump, cuts defense Trump says he'll nominate Stephen Moore to Fed White House: ISIS territory in Syria has been 100 percent eliminated MORE’s support for a criminal justice reform bill might not be enough to get the legislation through the Senate, where it faces vocal opposition from conservatives and has won lukewarm support at best from GOP leaders.

Trump held a White House event on the issue Wednesday in a public showing that gives the legislation real momentum.

Yet in a Senate where there is deep-rooted opposition to the bill among conservatives, and where lawmakers are running out of time, Trump’s support might not make the difference.

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Sens. Chuck GrassleyCharles (Chuck) Ernest GrassleyOvernight Health Care: Senators seek CBO input on preventing surprise medical bills | Oversight panel seeks OxyContin documents | Pharmacy middlemen to testify on prices | Watchdog warns air ambulances can put patients at 'financial risk' Drug prices are a matter of life and death Senate panel to hear from pharmacy middlemen on drug prices MORE (R-Iowa) and Dick DurbinRichard (Dick) Joseph DurbinSenate Dems petition Saudi king to release dissidents, US citizen GOP moves to rein in president's emergency powers Senate votes to confirm Neomi Rao to appeals court MORE (D-Ill.) are trying to build public pressure on Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellTrump: Green New Deal 'the most preposterous thing' and 'easy to beat' 2020 Dems avoid this year's AIPAC conference GOP eager to exploit Dem court-packing fight MORE (R-Ky.) to bring the bill to the floor this year in the wake of Trump’s efforts.

Grassley is leaning into the president’s support, arguing McConnell “ought to be helping the president get his program through.”

He’s also playing the loyalty card, saying the GOP leader owes him after he successfully guided two Supreme Court nominees through the Senate, along with a record-breaking number of appeals judges.

“Sen. McConnell and I have had a very close working relationship on judges. We've been very very successful. … We've made history and we've got two good people on the Supreme Court and I would like reciprocity from the leader on what I've done in our unified effort to get judges,” Grassley said Thursday.

GOP leaders have been noncommittal about a floor vote and have pointed to a tight congressional calendar that leaves the Senate just a few weeks at best to complete its work for the year.

Durbin, asked what it would take to get a bill done this year, pointed directly to McConnell, who has refused to move previous criminal justice agreements.

“He’s a crafty leader. He’s not going to make an unequivocal commitment,” Durbin said.

McConnell told reporters this week that supporters needed to introduce the bill and whip it to prove they have the more than 60 votes necessary to defeat a filibuster.

Then and only then would leadership weigh it against other end-of-the-year priorities.

White House adviser Jared KushnerJared Corey KushnerClinton and Ocasio-Cortez joke about Kushner's alleged use of WhatsApp Hillicon Valley: Kushner accused of using WhatsApp, personal email for official work | White House rejects request for Trump-Putin communications | Facebook left 'hundreds of millions' of passwords unsecured | Tech pressured to root out extremism Cummings says Ivanka Trump not preserving all official communications MORE, Trump’s son-in-law, met with McConnell earlier this year, when the GOP leader asked that the bill be held until after the election, according to a White House official.

He said at the time that if supporters could show they had more than the 60 votes, he would try to bring it to the floor for a vote.

The official said supporters are “optimistic” they will get more than 60 votes, but would only say “we’ll see” if it gets through the Senate this year.

Conservatives have been the bill’s opponents and are not backing down even after Trump’s public show of support.

Sen. John CornynJohn CornynSenate GOP poised to go 'nuclear' on Trump picks GOP rep to introduce constitutional amendment to limit Supreme Court seats to 9 Court-packing becomes new litmus test on left MORE (R-Texas), McConnell’s No. 2, stressed that the only way criminal justice reform would get done this year is if every senator gave consent to speed up floor action.

“Any individual senator can slow this down, so unless can we achieve some consensus it’s looking like it’s a harder and harder thing to move in the lame duck,” he said. “I don’t think it’s a particularly huge problem if we don’t get it done this year.”

The bill would still need to clear the House if it can get through the Senate.The White House official said talks with the House had been "very constructive," and supporters are optimistic a criminal justice bill could easily pass after the chamber approved a prison reform bill with 360 votes in May .

The White House and outside advocacy groups are expected to lobby hard on the issue once senators return from the Thanksgiving recess.

Cornyn said if Trump gets involved in the lobbying “it helps,” but added that senators are still waiting to see text. The bill was unveiled early Thursday evening giving senators the Thanksgiving recess to review the legislation.

Meanwhile, Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamThe Memo: Trump can't let go of McCain grudge The Hill's Morning Report - Trump's intraparty feuds divide Republicans Trump's attacks on McCain exacerbate tensions with Senate GOP MORE (R-S.C.), who helped negotiate the bill with Grassley, Durbin and Sen. Mike LeeMichael (Mike) Shumway LeeStop asking parents to sacrifice Social Security benefits for paid family leave The Hill's 12:30 Report: Trump hits media over New Zealand coverage GOP moves to rein in president's emergency powers MORE (R-Utah) urged Trump to personally get involved in winning over skeptics.

“I hope he will,” Graham said. “I just think now is the time to do it because if you carry it over to the next year you start all over again.”

Both Sens. Tom CottonThomas (Tom) Bryant CottonSenate rejects border declaration in major rebuke of Trump Hillicon Valley: Doctors press tech to crack down on anti-vax content | Facebook, Instagram suffer widespread outages | Spotify hits Apple with antitrust complaint | FCC rejects calls to delay 5G auction Senate votes to confirm Neomi Rao to appeals court MORE (R-Ark.), an ally of Trump’s, and John KennedyJohn Neely KennedyMORE (R-La.), who is mulling a gubernatorial bid in his home state, want a hearing on the legislation—a demand that would all but guarantee it gets kicked to next year.

Cotton fired off a tweet at Grassley — in response to the Iowa senator’s warning about GOP senators trying to sink his bill and spread false information — saying he should hold a hearing and “release bill text to allow for full public discussion.”

Cotton’s office also circulated a letter from the National Sheriff’s Association, the Major Cities Chief, and the Major County Sheriffs of America that called the bill as currently drafted a “social experiment,” warning that without changes it “creates a high-risk path for dangerous criminals with gun crime histories to early release from prison.

Grassley snipped back at Cotton, rejecting his request for a hearing and accusing him of trying to stall the legislation.

“He doesn’t like our bill and so anything he can do to stall it, he wants to stall it,” he said.

In a potentially bigger threat to the bill, Kennedy warned that he doesn’t believe there is enough time to pass legislation this year, that he wants a hearing and that he will object if leadership tries to bring up the bill on the floor. The last move would effectively kill the bill until next year unless McConnell wants to dedicate days of floor time to the issue.

“A dangerous person who is properly incarcerated can’t mug your sister,” Kennedy said. “My main concern about the legislation is public safety and I will be looking at it through a public safety lens. ...If we’re not careful with this, somebody is going to get killed.”