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Kelly tops McSally by double digits in Arizona Senate race

Democratic candidate Mark Kelly leads Sen. Martha McSallyMartha Elizabeth McSallyDemocrats facing tough reelections back bipartisan infrastructure deal McGuire unveils Arizona Senate campaign On The Trail: Arizona is microcosm of battle for the GOP MORE (R-Ariz.) by 11 points in a New York Times-Siena College poll released Monday.

Kelly led McSally 50 percent to 39 percent, according to the survey, slightly up from September when the race stood at 50 percent to 42 percent. Ten percent of respondents said they were undecided but no statistically significant amount of voters supported a third-party candidate.

The same poll found Joe BidenJoe BidenExpanding child tax credit could lift 4 million children out of poverty: analysis Maria Bartiromo defends reporting: 'Keep trashing me, I'll keep telling the truth' The Memo: The center strikes back MORE leading President TrumpDonald TrumpMaria Bartiromo defends reporting: 'Keep trashing me, I'll keep telling the truth' The Memo: The center strikes back Republicans eye Nashville crack-up to gain House seat MORE by a smaller 8-point margin, and many of the same demographics are responsible for both candidates’ leads. Kelly leads among women 53 percent to 35 percent, the poll found.

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Among voters aged 18 to 29, the former astronaut leads 57 percent to 29 percent, while he leads among Hispanic and Latino voters 64 percent to 26 percent.

The race for the Arizona seat is a special election to determine who will complete the late Sen. John McCainJohn Sidney McCainOvernight Energy: Lake Mead's decline points to scary water future in West | White House leads opposition to raising gas tax | Biden taps ex-New Mexico lawmaker for USDA post Lake Mead's decline points to scary water future in West Five takeaways from the Biden-Putin summit MORE’s (R) term. Consequently, if Kelly wins, he could be seated in time to vote on the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett if the chamber votes during a lame-duck session.

However, the poll found more voters supported than opposed Barrett’s nomination to replace the late Justice Ruth Bader GinsburgRuth Bader GinsburgOcasio-Cortez says Breyer should retire from Supreme Court Progressives want to tighten screws beyond Manchin and Sinema Juan Williams: Time for Justice Breyer to go MORE. Forty-two percent of voters supported Barrett’s nomination, compared with 37 percent opposed and 21 percent who were undecided, according to the poll.

While McCain’s widow, Cindy McCain, has endorsed Biden and is serving on the advisory council for his transition team, she has declined to make an endorsement for her late husband’s seat.

Pollsters surveyed 655 likely voters between Oct. 1-3. The poll has a 4.2-point margin of error.