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The Memo: Republicans fear disaster if Trump fires Mueller

Republicans are almost unanimous in the view that any move by President TrumpDonald TrumpSunday shows preview: House GOP removes Cheney from leadership position; CDC issues new guidance for fully vaccinated Americans Navajo Nation president on Arizona's new voting restrictions: An 'assault' on our rights The Memo: Lawmakers on edge after Greene's spat with Ocasio-Cortez MORE to fire special counsel Robert MuellerRobert (Bob) MuellerSenate Democrats urge Garland not to fight court order to release Trump obstruction memo Why a special counsel is guaranteed if Biden chooses Yates, Cuomo or Jones as AG Barr taps attorney investigating Russia probe origins as special counsel MORE would be a political disaster.

Even GOP figures loyal to Trump see any such move as hugely counterproductive, while more critical conservative voices — especially those looking toward November’s midterm elections — fear the president would make already-difficult terrain close to impossible.

“I think it would be a really bad idea to fire him and exacerbate the situation,” said Barry Bennett, a senior adviser to Trump’s 2016 campaign who remains supportive of the president.

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Doug Heye, a former communications director of the Republican National Committee and a more critical voice, said the president and his party should fight Democrats on the grounds of “how many jobs were created, what is the unemployment rate and who gets the credit for it?”

Heye added dryly, “That is a much better place, as opposed to ‘did you or did you not obstruct justice?’ ”

Speculation about a possible push against Mueller from Trump has been feverish since FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabeAndrew George McCabeThe FBI should turn off the FARA faucet John Durham's endgame: Don't expect criminal charges Carter Page sues over surveillance related to Russia probe MORE was fired late Friday.

In the wake of the firing, the president took an even more combative tone than usual, name-checking Mueller in tweets for the first time and complaining that the special counsel’s team of investigators includes “13 hardened Democrats.”

Mueller himself has been reported to be a registered Republican, and he was nominated to lead the FBI by former President George W. Bush in 2001. There is, in any case, no prohibition on investigators holding different political views from the targets of their investigations.

But speculation about Mueller’s fate was stoked still further during the weekend when a Trump lawyer, John Dowd, told the Daily Beast that Deputy Attorney General Rod RosensteinRod RosensteinProtect the police or the First Amendment? Rosenstein: Zero tolerance immigration policy 'never should have been proposed or implemented' Comey argues Trump shouldn't be prosecuted after leaving Oval Office MORE should “bring an end” to the probe.

Dowd, who initially told the Daily Beast he was speaking as Trump’s counsel, said later he was speaking only in a personal capacity.

Then, on Monday, news emerged that Trump is adding Joseph diGenova to his legal team. DiGenova has previously suggested the Justice Department and FBI are trying to frame Trump for collusion.

The president also maintained his Twitter fusillade, writing on the social media platform on Monday morning that the Mueller probe was “A total WITCH HUNT with massive conflicts of interest!”

The White House sought to dampen talk of a Mueller firing on Monday. Deputy press secretary Hogan Gidley told reporters during a trip to New Hampshire, “There are no conversations or discussions about removing Mueller.”

Michael Caputo, a longtime friend of the president who also worked on the 2016 campaign, painted Trump’s recent pronouncements as expressions of frustration rather than direct threats to Mueller.

“This is the president trying to define the terms of discussion when it comes to the investigation and perhaps even using Twitter to determine the boundaries,” Caputo said. “I don’t think he is threatening to fire anybody. I think he is frustrated and voicing his frustrations.”

Caputo, like other Trump loyalists, asserted that the root of this frustration lies in the length of time Mueller’s investigation has gone on, with no clear evidence of collusion with Russia made public. 

White House lawyer Ty Cobb has said on previous occasions that Mueller’s probe would end by Thanksgiving 2017 or by the end of that year. Those predictions were widely interpreted as an attempt to keep Trump from losing his patience and taking Mueller on full force — but the downside of the strategy is now becoming clear.

The move to bring diGenova onto the team is being interpreted by some in Trump’s circle as a rebuke to Cobb and a break with his more conciliatory approach.

Caputo also emphasized, however, that another source of irritation for Trump, and for the administration more broadly, is the degree to which the Mueller probe overshadows everything else.

“Everyone’s extremely frustrated — those of us who … support the president and the people who want to get the agenda moving forward and they can’t,” he said. 

Referring to Democrats and other Trump foes, Caputo added, “They have been stalling the president with this. They have successfully done so for over a year.”

But GOP voices more skeptical of Trump, such as Heye, argue the president makes his own trouble and distracts from his party’s priorities.

Alluding to the long-established practice of the Bureau of Labor Statistics releasing jobs numbers on the first or second Friday of each month, Heye said, “I look at the Friday jobs numbers and see these have been opportunities for really successful messaging by the White House. But we talk about the jobs report from about 8:30 to 8:33, and then we are back to whatever Trump is talking about — which is not that.”

Some Republican lawmakers have sought to promote a kind of halfway house between Trump’s red-hot anger at Mueller and the argument that the special counsel should simply be left to do his job unimpeded.

Conservatives in the House have suggested the appointment of a second special counsel who could investigate allegations of FBI and Department of Justice malfeasance. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthyKevin McCarthySunday shows preview: House GOP removes Cheney from leadership position; CDC issues new guidance for fully vaccinated Americans McCarthy dings Biden after meeting: Doesn't have 'energy of Donald Trump' Cheney: McCarthy should 'absolutely' testify before Jan. 6 commission MORE (R-Calif.) and House Majority Whip Steve ScaliseStephen (Steve) Joseph ScaliseMcCarthy dings Biden after meeting: Doesn't have 'energy of Donald Trump' The Hill's 12:30 Report - Presented by Facebook - What the CDC's updated mask guidance means Roy to challenge Stefanik for Cheney's old position MORE (R-La.) have both come out in support of that idea.

Meanwhile, some Senate Republicans have sought to rein Trump in. 

Sen. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamPro-Trump lawyer Lin Wood causes headache for GOP in key S.C. race GOP governors move to cut unemployment benefits as debate rages over effects Trump critics push new direction for GOP MORE (R-S.C.) told CNN’s “State of the Union” on Sunday that any effort to oust Mueller would be “the beginning of the end” of the Trump presidency.

Some Republicans who spoke to The Hill shared that assessment.

“There is no appetite among the Republican establishment to remove Mueller,” one GOP operative warned. “If the president fires him, he could be impeached."

The Memo is a reported column by Niall Stanage, primarily focused on Donald Trump’s presidency.