Budowsky: The rise of Southern Dems

Budowsky: The rise of Southern Dems
© Greg Nash

In the battle of Democrats to keep control of the Senate in 2014 and win a substantial victory in the presidential election 2016, the new rise of Southern Democrats is a very big deal.

Throughout the South, a new generation of highly talented Bill ClintonWilliam (Bill) Jefferson ClintonFox News apologizes for 'mistakenly' cropping Trump out of photo with Epstein, Maxwell Poll finds Biden with narrow lead over Trump in Missouri Trump's mark on federal courts could last decades MORE-style political leaders has brought the Democratic Party to a strongly competitive position. I call it the battle between Johnny Cash Democrats, who are big-tent believers in a widely shared dream, and Ted Nugent Republicans, who are small-tent believers waving lists of Americans they consider enemies.

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Polling detailed by Real Clear Politics reveals a list of Southern contests in which Democratic candidates are running strong races that put them within striking range of victory in November.

In the great battle for North Carolina, Sen. Kay HaganKay Ruthven HaganThe Hill's Campaign Report: Trump's job approval erodes among groups that powered his 2016 victory Cunningham sets Senate fundraising record in North Carolina in challenge to Tillis The Hill's Campaign Report: North Carolina emerges as key battleground for Senate control MORE (D-N.C.) is fighting back and gaining strength against an attempt by radical right forces to complete a hostile takeover of an enlightened state with a diverse electorate.

In Georgia, Michelle Nunn, the daughter of one of the most respected leaders in Georgia history and a woman of vast competence and widely admired achievement in her own right, is making a serious run to turn an important Senate seat from red to blue.

Sen. Mark WarnerMark Robert WarnerSenators press IRS chief on stimulus check pitfalls Hillicon Valley: Facebook takes down 'boogaloo' network after pressure | Election security measure pulled from Senate bill | FCC officially designating Huawei, ZTE as threats Overnight Defense: Democrats blast Trump handling of Russian bounty intel | Pentagon leaders set for House hearing July 9 | Trump moves forward with plan for Germany drawdown MORE (D-Va.), a highly respected former governor and brilliantly successful entrepreneur, appears headed toward a substantial reelection victory in Virginia. Both Warner and Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.), another widely respected former governor, will be on short lists for future presidential and vice presidential nominations.

In Arkansas, Sen. Mark PryorMark Lunsford PryorCoronavirus poses risks for Trump in 2020 Tom Cotton's only Democratic rival quits race in Arkansas Medicaid rollback looms for GOP senators in 2020 MORE, a moderate Democrat who has earned respect from Senate colleagues in both parties, is fighting back relentlessly against a slanderous GOP attack questioning his deeply felt Christianity.

Alison Lundergan Grimes, who shows signs of being a political natural with a Clintonian touch, is within striking range in Kentucky of upsetting the Republican leader in the U.S. Senate, who is backed by the political and financial armada of the national GOP power structure.

Sen. Mary LandrieuMary Loretta LandrieuBottom line A decade of making a difference: Senate Caucus on Foster Youth Congress needs to work to combat the poverty, abuse and neglect issues that children face MORE (D-La.), the daughter of a great Louisiana political family and the powerful chairwoman of the Senate Energy Committee, is barnstorming the state to keep her Senate seat in Democratic hands and keep the Energy Committee, which is vital to the economy of her state.

Meanwhile, a new poll from Public Policy Polling shows that, with Louisiana voters, Hillary Clinton is running neck and neck against potential GOP opponents in 2016.

And in Florida, former Gov. Charlie Christ, who was appalled by the extremism of the GOP and left in 2012 to become a Democrat, has a good chance of defeating the highly unpopular GOP governor, Rick Scott.

These are close, competitive races. It would be folly to predict winners and losers today, but this much is clear: While it is unlikely that every Democrat mentioned in this column will prevail in November, it is certainly possible. The Democrats are back in business in the South, big time. 

The tectonic plate of electoral politics in the South is shifting. Faced with adversity, Southern Democrats have elevated a new generation of savvy leaders with a political touch in Bill Clinton’s style, a moderate progressivism that appeals to small and new tech business, a soft populism that appeals to working-class voters, and a can-do attitude that contrasts nicely against gridlock in Washington and the hostile fanaticism of an unpopular GOP brand.

New-generation Southern Democrats attract, and hard-right Southern Republicans repel many Hispanics, moderates and moderate conservative women, as well as black voters energized by dynamic new leaders such as the Rev. William Barber, president of the North Carolina NAACP.

The battle between Johnny Cash Democrats and Ted Nugent Republicans could save the Democratic Senate in 2014 and plant the seed for a Hillary Clinton presidency. The outcome is far from certain, but ladies and gentlemen: The South is now in play.

 

Budowsky was an aide to former Sen. Lloyd Bentsen and Bill Alexander, then chief deputy majority whip of the House. He holds an LL.M. degree in international financial law from the London School of Economics. He can be read on The Hill’s Pundits Blog and reached at brentbbi@webtv.net.