Biden can't outrun the progressive beast that will devour him

Biden can't outrun the progressive beast that will devour him
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The “uncertainty principle” was the great contribution to science by Werner Heisenberg, the German theoretical physicist who famously spearheaded, and perhaps slow-walked, Germany’s atomic weapons program. In short, the principle asserts that it is impossible to know both the position and velocity, or momentum, of an object at any one moment in time. This creates unpredictability.

Let’s apply Heisenberg’s principle to the freshly declared presidential candidacy of Joe BidenJoe BidenThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Harris readies a Phase 2 as she seeks to rejuvenate campaign 2020 Dems put spotlight on disabilities issues MORE.  The former vice president formally announced his quest for the Oval Office in a video so dishonest that Democrats of all shapes and sizes should have rallied around it. His outright lie about President Trump’s comments about the violent 2017 white supremacist march in Charlottesville fits right in with the tactics of other leading voices in the party, ranging from Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy Patricia D'Alesandro PelosiThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump says no legislation until Dems end probes Threat of impeachment takes oxygen out of 2019 agenda Trump denies 'tantrum' in meeting with Pelosi: 'It is all such a lie!' MORE (D-Calif.) to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-CortezOcasio-Cortez makes endorsement for Queens district attorney Lawmakers call for 'time out' on facial recognition tech Markey releases infrastructure suggestions that align with Green New Deal goals MORE (D-N.Y.).

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Now, let’s study Biden’s exact position at this moment. He entered the race as the front runner, and quickly surged in polls. Even in a Washington Post-ABC News poll conducted in an open-ended format where no names were suggested to respondents, Biden had a plurality at 13 percent; Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersHarris readies a Phase 2 as she seeks to rejuvenate campaign 2020 Dems put spotlight on disabilities issues Lee, Sanders introduce bill to tax Wall Street transactions MORE (I-Vt.) followed at 9 percent.  

Now let’s try to gauge his momentum. Of those polled by the Post and ABC, 54 percent expressed no preference at this time. That means that over half the Democrats have not yet made any kind of choice about their nominee — neither Biden nor any of the other candidates is registering on their radar screen.

But “Uncle Joe” is on somebody’s radar screen: that of the progressive, militant socialists whose ideas are spreading in the Democrat Party. They are going to work with that 54 percent group and make sure that Biden’s presidential bid gets aborted. Mercifully, for a change, this is not an abortion they will target for late term.

As Biden formally launched his candidacy, the Washington Times reported that he was coming under fire from activist groups with an “anyone but Joe” message. Justice Democrats, the group that launched the congressional career of AOC, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), sent an email blast to its members stating, in part:

“The party needs new leadership with a bold vision capable of energizing voters in the Democratic base who stayed home in 2016. While we are going to support the Democratic nominee, we can’t let a so-called ‘centrist’ like Joe Biden divide the Democratic Party and turn it into the party of ‘No, we can’t.’”

The National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws (NORML, for short and for satire) also attacked Biden for having championed the drug war.

So, Biden’s current position: Front-runner. His momentum? Hard to gauge.

Since we can’t turn to physical science to predict Biden’s fate, let’s rely on experience and observations of today’s Democrats to make a prediction: Joe Biden will not become the nominee. He will be devoured by those in the party who cannot tolerate having an older white male represent them.

There are two very different varieties of Democrats today. The first are those who are older, associated with the working class and labor unions, and who think of great Democratic politicians as being John KennedyJohn Neely KennedyMORE, Hubert Humphrey and Daniel Patrick Moynihan. This group still has significant numbers, but it is aged and weak.

Then there are the revolutionaries, the people who follow Reps. Ocasio-Cortez, Ilhan OmarIlhan OmarCarson invokes abortion in Twitter response to jab from Omar WHIP LIST: Democrats who support an impeachment inquiry against President Trump Muslim lawmakers host Ramadan iftar to break fast at Capitol MORE (D-Minn.), Rashida TlaibRashida Harbi TlaibTlaib urges Mnuchin to seek personal legal advice Pelosi faces tipping point on Trump impeachment WHIP LIST: Democrats who support an impeachment inquiry against President Trump MORE (D-Mich.) and others who openly display disdain for America’s systems.  

The first of these two groups, along with people who call themselves “independents,” could find Biden’s candidacy appealing. His age alone allows them to experience political transference to a time when Democrats, like Republicans, loved America, too. They just loved it in a different way.

Don’t get me wrong. Joe Biden not a classical Kennedy Democrat. His race-baiting video on Thursday wasn’t pandering; that is exactly who he is. He has much more in common with AOC than he does with JFK.

It isn’t Biden’s belief system that is his problem. It is his biological system. This new movement can’t have Methuselah as its face. Sanders, meanwhile, ultimately will be devoured by the same insatiable progressive beast. He’s simply a bit tougher for them to chew and digest because of his adherence to socialist orthodoxy.

The #MeToo-type allegations against Biden before he even declared his candidacy was intended as a warning. They were trying to tell Biden to stay out of the race or expect a full-scale assault. He has ignored the warning. Though we can’t be certain, odds are his candidacy will not survive the offensive that is about to be launched by a progressive army that gives no quarter.

Charlie Kirk is the founder and president of Turning Point USA, a conservative nonprofit that aims to educate students on free-market values. You can follow him on Twitter @CharlieKirk11.