How the race stacks up from here
Mitt Romney is on track to win the nomination when the primaries and caucuses are over on June 6.
Currently, Romney has 498 of the 1,144 delegates he needs to be
nominated. He now has 53 percent of the selected delegates, a clip he
has been maintaining since the start of the process. Rick Santorum has
25 percent, Newt Gingrich 15 and Ron Paul 7.
CURRENT DELEGATE COUNT
Romney 498 (53%)
Santorum 239 (25%)
Gingrich 139 (15%)
Paul 69 (7%)
Romney is very likely to win the following winner-take-all primaries:
LIKELY ROMNEY WINNER-TAKE-ALL WINS
Puerto Rico 23
Rhode Island 19
New Jersey 50
+current Romney 498
In addition, Romney will probably win these winner-take-all states:
West Virginia 31
South Dakota 28
Finally, Romney will probably do very well in the following proportional-representation states. Some, like New York and Illinois, award most of their delegates as a winner-take-all by congressional district
PR State Delegates Prob Romney
New York 95 80
Illinois 69 45
Maine 24 20
New Mexico 23 15
Needed to nominate: 1,144
So, even if Romney loses the winner-take-all primaries in North Carolina and Pennsylvania and gets clobbered in Texas, Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana and a few other conservative states, he should win the nomination by the time the primaries are over on June 6.
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