What must the leaders of Russia, China, North Korea be thinking?

What must the leaders of Russia, China, North Korea be thinking?
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At the nadir of the political dysfunction in Washington, all eyes are on Attorney General William BarrWilliam Pelham BarrImmigration advocacy groups sue Trump administration over asylum restrictions Webb: Questions for Robert Mueller Groups sue Trump admin over new asylum restrictions MORE, the redactions throughout the more than 400 pages of the report from special counsel Robert MuellerRobert (Bob) Swan MuellerTop Republican considered Mueller subpoena to box in Democrats Kamala Harris says her Justice Dept would have 'no choice' but to prosecute Trump for obstruction Dem committees win new powers to investigate Trump MORE, and what all this could mean for President TrumpDonald John TrumpDozens of British lawmakers stand behind 'Squad' amid Trump attacks #IStandWithIlhan trends after crowd at Trump rally chants 'Send her back' 'Racism' top search after Trump rally: Merriam Webster MORE. But there is a big world out there, and other world leaders are using this moment to plot new strategies and advance their interests. 9/11 was the wakeup call where we should have learned that we are vulnerable, and that our foes look for asymmetric advantages. They attack us where and when we are at our weakest.

Well, this is another asymmetric opportunity. While authoritarian leaders across the globe concentrate their power, our government is paralyzed. The Washington political class is totally absorbed in Mueller drama. The top level of our Homeland Security Department is leaderless. Defense Secretary Patrick ShanahanPatrick Michael ShanahanThe Hill's Morning Report - Presented by JUUL Labs - House to vote to condemn Trump tweet Five things to watch for at Defense nominee's confirmation hearing Press: Acosta, latest to walk the plank MORE remains in “acting” status and now faces investigation by the Defense Department inspector general for alleged favoritism toward his former employer, Boeing, while at the Pentagon.

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Meanwhile, perhaps lost in the news this week was a laudable effort by Congress to push back on the administration and exercise its authority on foreign policy. With Republican support, Congress passed a bill to curtail American assistance to Saudi Arabia in its proxy war in Yemen, only to have the measure vetoed by President Trump. The silver lining is that Congress is making greater efforts to assert its constitutional role. But for now, the administration continues to defend illiberal leaders like Saudi Arabian crown prince Mohammad Bin Salman, despite his unpunished involvement in the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, and Egyptian strongman Abdel Fattah Sisi, who will likely remain in power as president in the long term thanks to a proposed constitutional change.

As all this plays out, many leaders are taking the cue to double down on asymmetric capabilities. After two love ins between President Trump and Kim Jong UnKim Jong UnThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump seizes House impeachment vote to rally GOP Trump blasts 2020 Dems during campaign rally New photo of Trump with Kim Jong Un hung in the White House MORE, North Korea has since demanded that Secretary of State Mike PompeoMichael (Mike) Richard PompeoThe Hill's Morning Report - Trump seizes House impeachment vote to rally GOP Mystery surrounds elusive sanctions on Russia House votes to block Trump's Saudi arms sale MORE stay out of future negotiations and bragged about testing a new tactical missile, dubbed by one commentator as a “weapon of mass embarrassment” to President Trump. Further, Kim and Russian President Vladimir PutinVladimir Vladimirovich PutinFBI's spreadsheet puts a stake through the heart of Steele's dossier The peculiar priorities of Adam Schiff Fox News's Shep Smith blasts Trump over 'xenophobic eruption' on minority lawmakers MORE plan to meet this month. That might easily become a joint rant against American sanctions, as well as an arms deal in which Russian weapons that violate the INF Treaty, now repudiated by the administration, become part of a perilous mutual research and development agreement.

In China, President Xi Jinping seems to be playing for time in trade talks as the Chinese economy slows and a summit to sign the final deal is still unscheduled. While European sentiment toward Chinese trade policies may be hardening, Italy recently became the first G-7 country to join the sprawling Belt and Road Initiative. As the United States looks inward, the alternative Chinese model becomes ever more appealing to the rest of the world. Xi may feel empowered to dig in rather than recalibrate his policy.

Rogue actors and organizations like the Islamic State are also watching the current moment in the United States. After all, terrorism is kept alive by a warped narrative that features the notion that the West is corrupt and dysfunctional. No matter how little territory the caliphate is left with, we have not yet defeated the dangerous ideas that powered its rise. In the absence of what Ronald Reagan called a “shining city on a hill,” rogue actors will keep pursuing opportunities where they are least expected.

There are perhaps two opposing metaphors for what the world is seeing. One is the catastrophic fire at Notre Dame in Paris. No one predicted it, and fire protection in the iconic cathedral was nonexistent. Fortunately, the outside structure remains, most artifacts are safe, and the rebuilding effort may be an opportunity to bring people across the world together and heal some of the frayed bonds that have been plaguing our societies.

The other is a black hole, which humanity caught a glimpse of in amazing photographs released last week. As the gloomy remains of a dead star, a black hole sucks everything in. No light escapes such a vortex. It goes without saying which metaphor is hopefully more accurate. Will we be stuck in the vortex of American politics? Or are we keeping our eyes on the outside world, as the outside world keeps its eyes on us? I worry.

Jane Harman is the president of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. She served in Congress as a Democratic representative from California and was ranking member of the House Intelligence Committee.