2020 forecast: A House switch, a slimmer Senate for GOP — and a bigger win for Trump

2020 forecast: A House switch, a slimmer Senate for GOP — and a bigger win for Trump
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This will be a big year for the nation, with an election in November and the start of a new decade. Here are a couple of my thoughts on what 2020 has in store:

The impeachment trial in the U.S. Senate will not have witnesses — but after evidence is presented, the Senate immediately will vote to acquit President TrumpDonald TrumpBiden prepares to confront Putin Biden aims to bolster troubled Turkey ties in first Erdoğan meeting Senate investigation of insurrection falls short MORE.

For reasons no one can really figure out, House Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiPelosi: 'No intention' of abandoning Democrats' infrastructure goals Senate investigation of insurrection falls short Ocasio-Cortez: 'Old way of politics' influences Manchin's thinking MORE (D-Calif.) has decided to stick it to the Senate by delaying the second phase of the impeachment process that she previously deemed so vitally necessary to “protect our Democracy.” 


Regardless of how much congressional Democrats and media figures want to grasp at straws to prevent the Senate trial from being a complete embarrassment to their impeachment crusade, Republican leadership is going to follow Constitutional guidance, which gives the Senate the “sole Power to try all Impeachments.” And with this sole power, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellWhat the Democrats should be doing to reach true bipartisanship Democrats mull overhaul of sweeping election bill McConnell seeks to divide and conquer Democrats MORE (R-Ky.) is likely to focus on one thing: decorum. 

If House Democrats thought their evidence was sufficient for an “indictment” in the House, there’s no reason for them to demand more testimony in the Senate. The trial will be swift and fair and will not be allowed to devolve into a partisan circus like the confirmation hearing of Supreme Court Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughSupreme Court confounding its partisan critics Gorsuch, Thomas join liberal justices in siding with criminal defendant Alyssa Milano says she could 'potentially run' for House in 2024 MORE.  

With possibly even a bipartisan acquittal of the president, the only hope left for the Democrats to remove the president will be at the ballot box. And heading into the 2020 election ...

Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Memo: Democratic tensions will only get worse as left loses patience McConnell seeks to divide and conquer Democrats Socially-distanced 'action figure' photo of G7 leaders goes viral MORE (I-Vt.) will be the Democratic nominee, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-CortezOcasio-Cortez: 'Old way of politics' influences Manchin's thinking Ocasio-Cortez: Senate Democrats 'blocking crucial items in a Democratic agenda' The Memo: Democratic tensions will only get worse as left loses patience MORE (D-N.Y.) will become the de facto leader of the Democratic Party.

Thanks to the House’s “impeachment,” you no longer can say the word “Ukraine” without mentioning “Joe BidenJoe BidenBiden prepares to confront Putin Ukrainian president thanks G-7 nations for statement of support Biden aims to bolster troubled Turkey ties in first Erdoğan meeting MORE.” The so-called moderate who was supposed to save the Democratic Party from itself will slowly but surely fail to meet that mandate. And with the base moving ever further to the left and realizing that Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenMcConnell seeks to divide and conquer Democrats Mark Cuban: ProPublica 'not being honest' about taxes on wealthy On The Money: Bipartisan Senate group rules out tax hikes on infrastructure | New report reignites push for wealth tax MORE (D-Mass.) can’t be trusted as a true progressive, given her past, the “Revolution” is back. 

With Sanders at the top of the ticket, the Democratic National Committee will realize that the soul of the party now belongs to democratic socialists. And who better to lead this new Democratic Party than the top Sanders affiliate in the House, Ocasio-Cortez? With such an inspiring coalition ...


Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives and Pelosi will become the first Speaker to become former Speaker twice, ending her political career.

Speaker Pelosi spent the months leading up to the 2018 election telling her caucus to tamp down the impeachment rhetoric and convince the American people that the Democratic Party was one of policy, not politics. 

After a complete failure to work with the Trump administration to advance legislation in health care, drug pricing and other Democratic mainstays, this message will not work again. Over and over again, Democrats proved themselves to be the party of “Resist,” choosing to launch fruitless investigations to harass a president they don’t like instead of taking the lead to address real issues facing the country’s citizens. 

The American people are smart, but, more importantly, they want Washington to work for them — and for that reason ... 

Republicans will hold the Senate, despite losing at least one incumbent. 

After the media predicted doom for Senate Republicans in 2016 and 2018, I think you’re able to guess the narrative for 2020. However, this time they are right in one small aspect: It is going to be a tough, possibly losing, battle for some incumbents. 

Colorado, Arizona, Maine — these are going to be very competitive races for the GOP candidates fighting to keep their seats. But some Democratic incumbents, such as Sen. Gary PetersGary PetersSenior Biden cyber nominees sail through Senate hearing Colonial Pipeline may use recovered ransomware attack funds to boost cybersecurity OVERNIGHT ENERGY: Biden ends infrastructure talks with key Republican | Colonial Pipeline CEO grilled over ransomware attack | Texas gov signs bills to improve power grid after winter storm MORE of Michigan and Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenPelosi: 'No intention' of abandoning Democrats' infrastructure goals McConnell seeks to divide and conquer Democrats Progressives want to tighten screws beyond Manchin and Sinema MORE of New Hampshire, will face big challenges of their own. 

And with Sen. Doug Jones facing extremely unlikely prospects for reelection in deep-red Alabama, Democrats and the media are going to have to get accustomed to saying “Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell” for another two years. Which still probably won’t prepare them for the fact that ... 

Donald J. Trump will win by an even larger electoral margin in 2020 than he won by in 2016. 

In 2016, candidate Trump ran on promises. In 2020, President Trump is running on results. Thanks to the actions of the Trump administration, the U.S. is again the world leader in energy production, other countries are paying their fair share in international agreements, and American farmers, workers, ranchers and manufacturers no longer are taken advantage of by other countries using a rigged system of international trade.  

Just as candidate Trump’s promise to fight for the American worker put in play some Midwestern states that Republicans hadn’t won in decades, President Trump’s four years of successes will push certain states, such as Minnesota and New Hampshire, back within Republican reach. And just to push on-the-fence voters ever more into the Republican-red column ... 

The economy will continue to boom and President Trump will get a trade deal done with China.

With more than 7 million new jobs added since Election Day, historic low unemployment levels for women, black Americans and Hispanic Americans, and real wage growth outpacing inflation for the first time in decades, America’s economy is the strongest it has been in more than 50 years.  

With pro-growth policies slashing unnecessary regulations and unleashing American businesses’ potential, 2020 will continue to see record highs in the market and record lows in unemployment. 

But possibly even more important for America and for the world, President Trump will kick off 2020 by signing a comprehensive phase one trade deal with China in mid-January. This is no small accomplishment: Since China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, no nation has had the will to step up and confront the country over its unfair trade practices — until now. And with the president heading to Beijing to start negotiations on a phase two deal, you can bet on him to shock the critics, as he always does, and win for the American people.

Corey R. Lewandowski is President Trump’s former campaign manager and senior adviser to both the Trump-Pence 2020 campaign and Great America Committee, Vice President Mike Pence's political action committee. He is co-author with David Bossie of the books “Trump’s Enemies” and “Let Trump Be Trump: The Inside Story of His Rise to the Presidency.” Follow him on Twitter @CLewandowski.