2020 forecast: A House switch, a slimmer Senate for GOP — and a bigger win for Trump

2020 forecast: A House switch, a slimmer Senate for GOP — and a bigger win for Trump
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This will be a big year for the nation, with an election in November and the start of a new decade. Here are a couple of my thoughts on what 2020 has in store:

The impeachment trial in the U.S. Senate will not have witnesses — but after evidence is presented, the Senate immediately will vote to acquit President TrumpDonald John TrumpMichael Flynn transcripts reveal plenty except crime or collusion 50 people arrested in Minneapolis as hundreds more National Guard troops deployed Missouri state lawmaker sparks backlash by tweeting 'looters deserve to be shot' MORE.

For reasons no one can really figure out, House Speaker Nancy PelosiNancy PelosiPelosi calls Trump's decision to withdraw US from WHO 'an act of extraordinary senselessness' House Democrats unveil measure to condemn police brutality The Hill's Coronavirus Report: Rep. Khanna says President Trump threatening violence against US citizens; Trump terminating relationship with WHO MORE (D-Calif.) has decided to stick it to the Senate by delaying the second phase of the impeachment process that she previously deemed so vitally necessary to “protect our Democracy.” 


Regardless of how much congressional Democrats and media figures want to grasp at straws to prevent the Senate trial from being a complete embarrassment to their impeachment crusade, Republican leadership is going to follow Constitutional guidance, which gives the Senate the “sole Power to try all Impeachments.” And with this sole power, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellSchumer to GOP: Cancel 'conspiracy hearings' on origins of Russia probe Overnight Health Care: Trump says US 'terminating' relationship with WHO | Cuomo: NYC on track to start reopening week of June 8 | COVID-19 workplace complaints surge 10 things to know today about coronavirus MORE (R-Ky.) is likely to focus on one thing: decorum. 

If House Democrats thought their evidence was sufficient for an “indictment” in the House, there’s no reason for them to demand more testimony in the Senate. The trial will be swift and fair and will not be allowed to devolve into a partisan circus like the confirmation hearing of Supreme Court Justice Brett KavanaughBrett Michael KavanaughSupreme Court denies California church's challenge to state restrictions Supreme Court denies Illinois churches' request for action after state eases restrictions Federal judges should be allowed to be Federalist Society members MORE.  

With possibly even a bipartisan acquittal of the president, the only hope left for the Democrats to remove the president will be at the ballot box. And heading into the 2020 election ...

Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe battle of two Cubas Coronavirus Report: The Hill's Steve Clemons interviews Rep. Ro Khanna Democrats gear up to hit GOP senators on DACA MORE (I-Vt.) will be the Democratic nominee, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-CortezAlexandria Ocasio-CortezThe battle of two Cubas An affordable zero-emissions grid needs new nuclear Recovery First: The American comeback shouldn't hinge on warmed-over policy agendas MORE (D-N.Y.) will become the de facto leader of the Democratic Party.

Thanks to the House’s “impeachment,” you no longer can say the word “Ukraine” without mentioning “Joe BidenJoe BidenTrump campaign launches Asian Pacific Americans coalition Biden: 'More than one African American woman' being considered for VP Liberal group asks Klobuchar to remove herself from VP consideration because of prosecutorial record MORE.” The so-called moderate who was supposed to save the Democratic Party from itself will slowly but surely fail to meet that mandate. And with the base moving ever further to the left and realizing that Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenThe Memo: Trump ratchets up Twitter turmoil Hillicon Valley: Twitter flags Trump tweet for 'glorifying violence' | Cruz calls for criminal investigation into Twitter over alleged sanctions violations | Senators urge FTC to investigate TikTok child privacy issues Warren condemns 'horrific' Trump tweet on Minneapolis protests, other senators chime in MORE (D-Mass.) can’t be trusted as a true progressive, given her past, the “Revolution” is back. 

With Sanders at the top of the ticket, the Democratic National Committee will realize that the soul of the party now belongs to democratic socialists. And who better to lead this new Democratic Party than the top Sanders affiliate in the House, Ocasio-Cortez? With such an inspiring coalition ...


Democrats will lose control of the House of Representatives and Pelosi will become the first Speaker to become former Speaker twice, ending her political career.

Speaker Pelosi spent the months leading up to the 2018 election telling her caucus to tamp down the impeachment rhetoric and convince the American people that the Democratic Party was one of policy, not politics. 

After a complete failure to work with the Trump administration to advance legislation in health care, drug pricing and other Democratic mainstays, this message will not work again. Over and over again, Democrats proved themselves to be the party of “Resist,” choosing to launch fruitless investigations to harass a president they don’t like instead of taking the lead to address real issues facing the country’s citizens. 

The American people are smart, but, more importantly, they want Washington to work for them — and for that reason ... 

Republicans will hold the Senate, despite losing at least one incumbent. 

After the media predicted doom for Senate Republicans in 2016 and 2018, I think you’re able to guess the narrative for 2020. However, this time they are right in one small aspect: It is going to be a tough, possibly losing, battle for some incumbents. 

Colorado, Arizona, Maine — these are going to be very competitive races for the GOP candidates fighting to keep their seats. But some Democratic incumbents, such as Sen. Gary PetersGary Charles PetersComey, Rice, Clapper among GOP senator's targets for subpoenas amid Obama-era probe GOP chairman to seek subpoena power in investigation of Russia probe, 'unmasking' requests Michigan GOP candidate's Senate petition deemed 'insufficient' over signatures MORE of Michigan and Sen. Jeanne ShaheenCynthia (Jeanne) Jeanne ShaheenThis week: Surveillance fight sets early test for House's proxy voting Open Skies withdrawal throws nuclear treaty into question GOP faces internal conflicts on fifth coronavirus bill MORE of New Hampshire, will face big challenges of their own. 

And with Sen. Doug Jones facing extremely unlikely prospects for reelection in deep-red Alabama, Democrats and the media are going to have to get accustomed to saying “Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell” for another two years. Which still probably won’t prepare them for the fact that ... 

Donald J. Trump will win by an even larger electoral margin in 2020 than he won by in 2016. 

In 2016, candidate Trump ran on promises. In 2020, President Trump is running on results. Thanks to the actions of the Trump administration, the U.S. is again the world leader in energy production, other countries are paying their fair share in international agreements, and American farmers, workers, ranchers and manufacturers no longer are taken advantage of by other countries using a rigged system of international trade.  

Just as candidate Trump’s promise to fight for the American worker put in play some Midwestern states that Republicans hadn’t won in decades, President Trump’s four years of successes will push certain states, such as Minnesota and New Hampshire, back within Republican reach. And just to push on-the-fence voters ever more into the Republican-red column ... 

The economy will continue to boom and President Trump will get a trade deal done with China.

With more than 7 million new jobs added since Election Day, historic low unemployment levels for women, black Americans and Hispanic Americans, and real wage growth outpacing inflation for the first time in decades, America’s economy is the strongest it has been in more than 50 years.  

With pro-growth policies slashing unnecessary regulations and unleashing American businesses’ potential, 2020 will continue to see record highs in the market and record lows in unemployment. 

But possibly even more important for America and for the world, President Trump will kick off 2020 by signing a comprehensive phase one trade deal with China in mid-January. This is no small accomplishment: Since China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, no nation has had the will to step up and confront the country over its unfair trade practices — until now. And with the president heading to Beijing to start negotiations on a phase two deal, you can bet on him to shock the critics, as he always does, and win for the American people.

Corey R. Lewandowski is President Trump’s former campaign manager and senior adviser to both the Trump-Pence 2020 campaign and Great America Committee, Vice President Mike Pence's political action committee. He is co-author with David Bossie of the books “Trump’s Enemies” and “Let Trump Be Trump: The Inside Story of His Rise to the Presidency.” Follow him on Twitter @CLewandowski.