Study: Most would be worse off under GOP tax plans

Study: Most would be worse off under GOP tax plans
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Most Americans would be worse off under Republican presidential candidates’ tax plans once the proposals’ likely offsets are taken into consideration, the liberal-leaning group Citizens for Tax Justice (CTJ) found.

The tax plans from Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpMost Americans break with Trump on Ukraine, but just 45 percent think he should be removed: poll Judge orders Democrats to give notice if they request Trump's NY tax returns Trump's doctor issues letter addressing 'speculation' about visit to Walter Reed MORE, Marco RubioMarco Antonio RubioMcConnell urges Trump to voice support for Hong Kong protesters GOP senator introduces bill to limit flow of US data to China GOP senators plan to tune out impeachment week MORE and Ted CruzRafael (Ted) Edward CruzOvernight Defense — Presented by Boeing — Stopgap spending bill includes military pay raise | Schumer presses Pentagon to protect impeachment witnesses | US ends civil-nuclear waiver in Iran Cruz, Graham and Cheney call on Trump to end all nuclear waivers for Iran Pompeo: US ending sanctions waiver for site where Iran resumed uranium enrichment MORE would each cost trillions of dollars over 10 years, and the United States is already projected to face large budget deficits. As a result, the candidates’ tax plans, if enacted, would inevitably lead to spending cuts and/or tax increases, CTJ said in a report released Wednesday.

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“As this report shows, when those inevitable spending cuts and tax increases are taken into account, the vast majority of Americans will end up as big losers,” the group said.

CTJ’s analysis assumes the candidates’ tax cuts would be paid for by equally cutting spending and raising income taxes across-the-board. This is similar to what happened after then-President Ronald Reagan cut taxes in 1981, according to the report.

Under CTJ’s model, each person would see the same dollar “cost” from the spending reductions, while tax increases would be allocated based on the overall personal income distribution, the group said.

Without considering offsets, CTJ estimates that the tax plans from Trump and Rubio would cut taxes for all, though they would cut taxes the most for the wealthy. However, only the top 5 percent of taxpayers would receive net benefits from the plans when factoring in pay-fors.

Taxpayers in the bottom 20 percent of income would on average receive a net income loss of $2,541 under Trump’s plan and a net loss of $1,563 under Rubio’s plan once the pay-fors of tax increases and spending cuts are considered, according to CTJ.

The group estimates Cruz’s tax plan would increase taxes on those in the bottom three fifths of income even without considering pay-fors. When the impact of future spending cuts and tax increases are taken into account, only those in the top 20 percent would receive net benefits. Taxpayers in the bottom 20 percent would receive net income losses of $6,234, according to the report.

The report did not mention presidential hopeful John Kasich.